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Title: Democracy Corps: Republicans ahead in NV/AZ/PA, Democrats barely ahead elsewhere Post by: MT Treasurer on June 30, 2016, 02:17:58 PM Nevada (Clinton 44%, Trump 44%)
Joe Heck (R): 46% Catherine Cortez-Masto (D): 41% Arizona (Clinton 39%, Trump 45%) John McCain (R, inc.): 44% Ann Kirkpatrick (D): 42% Pennsylvania (Clinton 45%, Trump 36%) Pat Toomey (R, inc.): 46% Katie McGinty (D): 38% Ohio (Clinton 41%, Trump 41%) Ted Strickland (D): 43% Rob Portman (R, inc.): 40% New Hampshire (Clinton 41%, Trump 41%) Maggie Hassan (D): 47% Kelly Ayotte (R, inc.): 46% North Carolina (Clinton 48%, Trump 38%) Deborah Ross (D): 38% Richard Burr (R, inc.): 36% Wisconsin (Clinton 44%, Trump 32%) Russ Feingold (D): 46% Ron Johnson (R, inc.): 45% http://www.wvwvaf.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Dcorps_WV_BG_06.30.16_for-release-1.pdf Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Republicans ahead in NV/AZ/PA, Democrats barely ahead elsewhere Post by: ElectionsGuy on June 30, 2016, 02:20:06 PM This whole thing is terrible, both on the presidential level and here. Russ Feingold ahead by 1 while Burr is losing?
Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Republicans ahead in NV/AZ/PA, Democrats barely ahead elsewhere Post by: Kevin on June 30, 2016, 02:55:37 PM Junk poll!
Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Republicans ahead in NV/AZ/PA, Democrats barely ahead elsewhere Post by: Heisenberg on June 30, 2016, 03:05:02 PM My analysis:
Nevada: This would be great news for Republicans! It's a left leaning poll, and while the presidential race is tied, Heck outperforming Cortez Masto is good. Arizona: Looks like fool's gold as usual. Pennsylvania: See Nevada (minus the presidential race being tied). Ohio: As I suspected, Strickland has potential to outperform Clinton, and Trump/Strickland voters are not too hard to imagine. New Hampshire: Fool's gold for Republicans. North Carolina: I suspect this is totally junk. I can't imagine Clinton leading by that much, unless rural whites are breaking for her, and/or Never Trump Republicans are still unhappy with the Donald. I also can't imagine that many undecideds in the Senate race, especially since there aren't nearly as many in the presidential race. Wisconsin: Far more undecideds in the presidential race than on the Senate race. I suspect the Republicans are all fully set on Johnson, and that 45 or 46 is his ceiling. The state is very polarized, but I think nearly all undecideds will break for Feingold. Johnson won't lose by double digits, but Republican groups are right to write him off. Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Republicans ahead in NV/AZ/PA, Democrats barely ahead elsewhere Post by: Xing on June 30, 2016, 03:10:34 PM All around nonsensical poll. Throw it in the trash.
Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Republicans ahead in NV/AZ/PA, Democrats barely ahead elsewhere Post by: Ebsy on June 30, 2016, 06:45:32 PM Junk.
Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Republicans ahead in NV/AZ/PA, Democrats barely ahead elsewhere Post by: Ebsy on June 30, 2016, 06:50:36 PM But really, taken together with the national horse race results, these Senate results are beyond absurd.
Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Republicans ahead in NV/AZ/PA, Democrats barely ahead elsewhere Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on June 30, 2016, 06:53:54 PM Toomey is up 8 in a poll that has Clinton up 9 and was paid for by Democrats. That race is over unless 2016 is 2008 all over again on the senate level, and even then it would be a Toss-Up at best.
Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Republicans ahead in NV/AZ/PA, Democrats barely ahead elsewhere Post by: Ebsy on June 30, 2016, 06:56:22 PM Toomey is up 8 in a poll that has Clinton up 9 and was paid for by Democrats. That race is over unless 2016 is 2008 all over again on the senate level, and even then it would be a Toss-Up at best. Title: Re: Democracy Corps: Republicans ahead in NV/AZ/PA, Democrats barely ahead elsewhere Post by: Eraserhead on June 30, 2016, 08:17:37 PM Wisconsin better not be that close...
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