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Title: Oregon Polling Insights: Clinton +14 Post by: dspNY on July 07, 2016, 09:22:46 AM Clinton 46
Trump 32 Undecided 22 This is actually a state where Johnson and Stein combined can cleave off about 10% https://icitizen.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/OR-Weighted-Tabs-Public-1.pdf Title: Re: Oregon Polling Insights: Clinton +14 Post by: Sir Mohamed on July 07, 2016, 09:24:45 AM Looks about right.
My guess for OR is Clinton 55-43%. Title: Re: Oregon Polling Insights: Clinton +14 Post by: Podgy the Bear on July 07, 2016, 09:35:36 AM Depending on how the Stein campaign takes off, the 14 point margin may be a little generous. But 32 percent (even in a state like Oregon) shows how weak Trump is in the west.
Title: Re: Oregon Polling Insights: Clinton +14 Post by: Sir Mohamed on July 07, 2016, 09:39:03 AM Depending on how the Stein campaign takes off, the 14 point margin may be a little generous. But 32 percent (even in a state like Oregon) shows how weak Trump is in the west. Not just the west. He’s also weak in TX and FL. Title: Re: Oregon Polling Insights: Clinton +14 Post by: pbrower2a on July 07, 2016, 10:08:05 AM Looks about right. My guess for OR is Clinton 55-43%. Clinton 53 Johnson 9 Stein 3 Trump 35 Title: Re: Oregon Polling Insights: Clinton +14 Post by: Cruzcrew on July 07, 2016, 10:25:22 AM Now we wait for StatesPoll to do some unskewing for the new swing state of 2916.
Title: Re: Oregon Polling Insights: Clinton +14 Post by: Xing on July 07, 2016, 10:35:13 AM Looks about right. Oregon's not even going to be close.
Title: Re: Oregon Polling Insights: Clinton +14 Post by: Dumbo on July 07, 2016, 11:19:17 AM Even Dukakis won this state. Why wasn't Al Gore a good fit
for Oregon? Title: Re: Oregon Polling Insights: Clinton +14 Post by: dspNY on July 07, 2016, 12:04:08 PM Looks about right. My guess for OR is Clinton 55-43%. Clinton 53 Johnson 9 Stein 3 Trump 35 Hillary 50 The Donald 38 Johnson 6 Stein 4 would be my call Title: Re: Oregon Polling Insights: Clinton +14 Post by: HAnnA MArin County on July 07, 2016, 02:53:14 PM Even Dukakis won this state. Why wasn't Al Gore a good fit for Oregon? He was, it's just that Ralph Nader took a good share of the vote (~5 percent) that would have went to Gore had he not been on the ticket. Had Nader not been on the ticket, it would have been like 51-47 Gore, similar to the 2004 John Kerry/George W. Bush results. It's encouraging to see that the good granola and Birkenstock voters of Oregon are not going to be dabbling in Trumpism. Title: Re: Oregon Polling Insights: Clinton +14 Post by: IceSpear on July 07, 2016, 04:04:36 PM but muh clout
Title: OR: Other Source: Clinton up 14 in Oregon Post by: IceSpear on July 07, 2016, 04:30:17 PM New Poll: Oregon President by Other Source on 2016-06-27 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=4120160627106)
Summary: D: 46%, R: 32%, U: 22% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://pamplinmedia.com/pt/9-news/313880-192141-governors-race-tight-trump-in-trouble-here-new-poll-shows) |