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Title: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: Know Nothing on July 11, 2016, 12:09:31 PM https ://twitter.com/sahilkapur/status/752549133114830848
Don't have the full poll right now. Joe Heck (R): 42% Catherine Cortez Masto (D): 40% Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: Heisenberg on July 11, 2016, 12:13:50 PM Excellent news! Let's go Joe!
Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: windjammer on July 11, 2016, 12:14:19 PM Masto is going to win this race. No way she loses when Clinton will win by a 10+ margin.
Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: Gass3268 on July 11, 2016, 12:15:18 PM Awful number for Heck.
Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: Xing on July 11, 2016, 12:33:52 PM Heck's probably going to have to overperform Trump by more than 6 if he's going to win. If Heck is consistently only up by 1-3 points, that's concerning to him in a state like NV.
Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on July 11, 2016, 12:37:51 PM Clinton's not going to win NV by 4 and Heck is not going to win this election. Climbing Catherine marches on.
I look forward to seeing how under-sampled content NV Hispanics were when the full poll is out. Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: Gass3268 on July 11, 2016, 12:40:49 PM Lol, it was an English only poll.
http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NV_071116/ http://www.monmouth.edu/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=40802209093 Quote Interviews were conducted by a live caller in English, including 353 drawn from a list of registered voters (203 on a landline and 150 on a cell phone) and a random digit dial supplement of 55 cell phone interviews. Problematic to poll in Nevada English only... Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on July 11, 2016, 12:43:01 PM That explains it. Content NV Hispanics would never bother to answer such a racist poll.
Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: Kingpoleon on July 11, 2016, 01:34:03 PM http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NV_071116/ Among Whites: Heck +12 (47-35) vs. Trump +12 (49-37) Among Non-Whites: Masto +20 (49-29) vs. Clinton +41 (64-23) 66% White 11% Black 15% Hispanic 8% Other Considering that even that terrible human being Shelley freaking Berkley almost won here in 2012, it's probably still a difficult race for the GOP to win. Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: IceSpear on July 11, 2016, 04:33:05 PM Dems can't afford to take this race for granted, that's for sure.
http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NV_071116/ Among Whites: Heck +12 (47-35) vs. Trump +12 (49-37) Among Non-Whites: Masto +20 (49-29) vs. Clinton +41 (64-23) 66% White 11% Black 15% Hispanic 8% Other Considering that even that terrible human being Shelley freaking Berkley almost won here in 2012, it's probably still a difficult race for the GOP to win. Nobody knew who VanDerBeek was, much less his ideology. Romney and Heller got nearly the same share of the vote. VDB and "None of the Above" were mostly protest votes from Obama voters who couldn't stomach Berkley. Any competent Democrat would've won that race with room to spare, as Heller demonstrated little to no crossover appeal. Heck, on the other hand, has demonstrated some crossover appeal in his swing district, so he'll be a tougher nut to crack. But CCM <3 is also a much better candidate than Berkley, and Heck will have to deal with Trump. Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: The Arizonan on July 11, 2016, 05:43:25 PM Why all the hate for Shelley Berkley?
Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: Miles on July 11, 2016, 06:43:34 PM ^ Because that was a very winnable race and a noncorrupt Democrat would have likely won.
Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: syntaxerror on July 11, 2016, 07:47:05 PM After the polls got Reid '10 sensationally wrong, and underestimated Obama '12 by almost 4 points, I'm not believing these numbers.
Clinton isn't +4 (it'll be more like +8-10), and if Heck is only outpacing Trump by +2, it isn't enough. Also have big doubts about Latino representation in this poll. Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: Free Bird on July 12, 2016, 05:23:33 PM Safe to say the winner of this race will be the party of the winner of the Prez election?
Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: publicunofficial on July 12, 2016, 05:24:43 PM Safe to say the winner of this race will be the party of the winner of the Prez election? Safer to say it'll be the same as the winner of Prez race in Nevada. Title: Re: NV-Monmouth: Heck+2 Post by: Maxwell on July 12, 2016, 05:44:04 PM Heck's number isn't great, but I'm worried about this race - Heck probably runs ahead of Trump, the question is by how much?
Such a shame Harry Reid decided to retire. |