Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: HillOfANight on July 11, 2016, 02:03:02 PM



Title: OnMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: HillOfANight on July 11, 2016, 02:03:02 PM
http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/florida-poll-trump-has-narrow-lead-over-clinton/2284961

http://letsgettowork.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/LGTW_Statewide_Topline_Deck.pdf

Trump 47
Clinton 45
Undecided/Other 8

Quote
Democratic strategist Steve Schale (Obama's 2012 Florida guy) questioned the findings, nothing that pollsters did not release demographics.


Title: Re: OneMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: dspNY on July 11, 2016, 02:21:14 PM
Rick Scott with positive approval ratings? Who did they poll, Rick Scott's family and friends?


Title: Re: OneMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: Gass3268 on July 11, 2016, 02:21:31 PM
Rick Scott with a +7 approval rating seems off.


Title: Re: OneMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: Ljube on July 11, 2016, 02:24:13 PM
Rick Scott with a +7 approval rating seems off.

Why? Because the two of you don't like Rick Scott?


Title: Re: OneMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: Gass3268 on July 11, 2016, 02:27:18 PM
Rick Scott with a +7 approval rating seems off.

Why? Because the two of you don't like Rick Scott?


Last PPP had him at -9 and that is much more consistent with his historical numbers.


Title: Re: OneMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: Ebsy on July 11, 2016, 02:31:37 PM
Who are these guys?


Title: Re: OneMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: President Johnson on July 11, 2016, 02:34:02 PM
Rick Scott with a +7 approval rating seems off.

Why? Because the two of you don't like Rick Scott?


Last PPP had him at -9 and that is much more consistent with his historical numbers.

I think his numbers were underwater almost ever since he took office. I still wonder how this guy managed his reelection in 2014.


Title: Re: OneMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: Wells on July 11, 2016, 02:36:38 PM
GOP pollster? No demographics? Weird Scott approvals? Sure.


Title: Re: OneMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: Fusionmunster on July 11, 2016, 02:37:13 PM
Rick Scott with a +7 approval rating seems off.

Why? Because the two of you don't like Rick Scott?


Him bieng above water would be surprising but not that surprising. Him bieng almost 10 points above water with no demographic breakdown leads me to belive this poll has a heavy R-bias.


Title: Re: OneMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: Xing on July 11, 2016, 02:50:32 PM
I mean, this poll isn't necessarily inaccurate, but saying that Florida must be tied or that Trump is ahead is quite inaccurate, if you look at the polling average.


Title: Re: OneMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: Skye on July 11, 2016, 03:23:03 PM
To be fair, Morning Consult found Scott's approval to be +9 like 2 months ago.


Title: Re: OnMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ on July 11, 2016, 04:45:51 PM
Uhh, I hate Rick Scott more than every governor in this country, but PPP is well-known for their high unfavorable for everybody compared to just about any other pollster. A -9 there might as well be even.


Title: Re: OneMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: Seriously? on July 11, 2016, 05:03:36 PM
To be fair, Morning Consult found Scott's approval to be +9 like 2 months ago.
I still don't know what a Morning Consult really is.

If Republican pollster, assume nothing other than Florida is close, as it is supposed to be this cycle.


Title: Re: OneMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: Holmes on July 11, 2016, 07:26:12 PM
To be fair, Morning Consult found Scott's approval to be +9 like 2 months ago.
I still don't know what a Morning Consult really is.

Me too...


Title: Re: OneMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: Virginiá on July 11, 2016, 07:28:10 PM
To be fair, Morning Consult found Scott's approval to be +9 like 2 months ago.
I still don't know what a Morning Consult really is.

Me too...

what you call your first trip to the bathroom in the morning? ()


Title: Re: OnMessage FL: Trump +2
Post by: Human on July 11, 2016, 10:09:58 PM
Donald Trump will get crushed in Florida. Junk poll!