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Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: HillOfANight on July 23, 2016, 09:41:11 am



Title: RABA Research: Trump surges to just 5 points behind Clinton
Post by: HillOfANight on July 23, 2016, 09:41:11 am
https://twitter.com/jheil/status/756860003731009538
http://www.rabaresearch.com/documents/RABA-Updated-National-Survey-July-2016.pdf

Clinton 39 (41)
Trump 34 (29)
Johnson 8 (9)
Stein 3 (3)

Male voters are largely responsible for Trumpís movement in the polls. RABA Researchís July 12th survey showed Trump with a 3-point deficit among men.  Since then, Trump has moved to a 9-point lead among male voters.

Seniors are also coming around to Trumpís message.  Clintonís 22-point lead two weeks ago has shrunk to just 5 points in RABAís latest survey.



Title: Re: RABA Research: Trump surges to just 5 points behind Clinton
Post by: Stranger in a strange land on July 23, 2016, 09:43:19 am
So in other words, a previously unknown polling firm put out a poll showing Trump behind by 12 points two weeks ago, and then comes out with another poll showing him only 5 points behind. Color me suspicious.


Title: Re: RABA Research: Trump surges to just 5 points behind Clinton
Post by: Seriously? on July 23, 2016, 10:38:17 am
It's just the swing here with these guys +7 is a nice bounce, if it is replicated through the other pollsters. Which it may or may not be, because Clinton +12 was on the outlier side of things two weeks ago.


Title: Re: RABA Research: Trump surges to just 5 points behind Clinton
Post by: dspNY on July 23, 2016, 11:14:21 am
This was a junk poll when it had Clinton with a 41-29 lead, it is a junk poll now