Talk Elections

NBC Survey Monkey Weekly Tracking National (July 18-24)

4-way
Trump 41% (+1)
Clinton 39% (-)
Johnson 10% (-)
Stein 5% (-)

2-way
Clinton 46% (-)
Trump 45% (-)


Article:
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/poll-no-post-convention-bounce-donald-trump-n616426

Details:
https://www.scribd.com/document/319270782/NBC-News-SurveyMonkey-Toplines-and-Methodology-7-18-724

Head to head Clinton still leads by 1 (46-45) which is the more accurate number. No bounce in this poll. That makes three national polls (CBS/NYT, YouGov, and NBC/SurveyMonkey) with no bounce

You should put the topline numbers in the thread header instead of making us click f.y.i. So this thread would be: "NBC National: Trump +2, Clinton +1 in Two way" or something to that effect.

Also this should labeled as "NBC/SurveyMonkey" not "NBC National."

That CNN poll is starting to feel a bit like an outlier.

Here's a doozie:

It’s really shocking that this narcissistic fake billionaire who has no clue about politics is even tied.

More accurate title

[Citation needed]

Nope. Enjoy the loss in November because Jill Stein, the only woman qualified for the job, causes Clinton to lose.

Nope, she's completely unqualified. Also, a mod will be coming by soon to fix your title. The fact that you don't like Hillary Clinton doesn't give you license to be disingenuous. You are openly refusing to follow the decorum of this page.

If you are going to post polls, be accurate in how you present the results.

She will get, at most, 1%.

I support Trump a lot more than most on here, but that title needs to be fixed so that we can just look at it and see the results.

NBC News/Survey Monkey National: Clinton +1 (2-way); Trump +2 (4-way) or something like that

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tor00iWUhDQ

Yes. Shocking. He should be leading by a lot. But alas, the Dem smear machine and the dishonest media have done their work.

     This poll was conducted back to 7/18. Doesn't really seem like it would capture a bounce anyway.

Hm... 18 - 24 July. So they have 50/50.
Why didn't they split the sample into two parts ???

Says quite a bit about the state of the Clinton campaign.

America is in urban and racial chaos, and we are uncertain about America's military strength and cultural changes.

Because it's a weekly tracking poll.

By the nature of it, it's going to be difficult to measure a bounce for either party.

So Trump is getting a "Romney bounce"

Not true. There's a legit bounce somewhere between 2-4 points on aggregate. Hillary! was up in the 2-way by about 3 points last week. It's now Trump +.9.

Ditto for the 4-way conversation. We obviously do not have all the data points in yet.

I have edited the original post and headline. Again for this sub we want to keep the headlines to 'just the facts' and leave the commentary to the posts themselves.

So headlines should contain pollster, state of national, horserace number(s) or margin

Also original posts ideally contain
- Name of Media outlet and pollster
- Identify if national or state
- All available horse race numbers (2-way, 3-way, 4-way)
- All available samples (RV, LV and Adults)
- Link to source (ideally media article and to detailed poll if available)

Also nice to have
- change since last poll (especially with more frequent polls and trackers)
- methodology and MoE
- interesting crosstabs or details (this can also be in an additional comment to OP)