Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: swf541 on August 01, 2016, 03:41:41 PM



Title: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: swf541 on August 01, 2016, 03:41:41 PM
http://www.wsbtv.com/news/politics/clinton-trump-deadlocked-in-latest-georgia-poll/415167092

45% Clinton
45% Trump
4% Johnson
1% Stein


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it. on August 01, 2016, 03:43:08 PM
GA= Toss up


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: heatcharger on August 01, 2016, 03:43:12 PM
No wonder GA Republicans are running scared.


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: Wells on August 01, 2016, 03:43:39 PM
Could it be?


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: Yank2133 on August 01, 2016, 03:43:50 PM
Oh!


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: RI on August 01, 2016, 03:44:52 PM
Eh, this is close to Clinton's ceiling in GA.


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: dspNY on August 01, 2016, 03:45:11 PM
Two Georgia polls in a matter of minutes! I'm more inclined to believe the Trump +4 but lots of polling has shown Georgia within reach and it's no wonder Clinton's Georgia donors have been told to get ready to house volunteers

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Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: ElectionsGuy on August 01, 2016, 03:46:02 PM
45% will probably be what Hillary Clinton ends up with in the end.


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: Xing on August 01, 2016, 03:48:44 PM
If Clinton actually wins by 7-8 percent nationally, maybe Georgia will be extremely close. Otherwise, Trump should win it, though by single digits.


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: Trapsy on August 01, 2016, 04:51:17 PM
This poll is way more important than these national polls imo. Trump lacks org/$$ to compete.


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: Lief 🗽 on August 01, 2016, 04:53:19 PM
BEAUTIFUL!!!! Someone post that "george is evolving" gif.


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: Wells on August 01, 2016, 04:56:52 PM
BEAUTIFUL!!!! Someone post that "george is evolving" gif.

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Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: pbrower2a on August 01, 2016, 05:11:56 PM
Georgia has one huge metro area, and Greater Atlanta is to Georgia what Chicago is to Illinois politically, a metro area that votes very differently and contrary to the largely-rural remainder of the state. Hillary Clinton is unlikely to make gains in votes among blacks from Obama in 2012, so if she is gaining in Georgia, then she is picking up some white suburban voters (those are well-educated people, in general) or is winning back some white voters at military bases (Georgia has a large military presence)  or in rural areas who couldn't vote for a black man or someone whose patriotism was suspect.  Whatever is going on in Georgia, the state has become very shaky for Republicans in the Presidential election in 2016.

Atlanta suburbs were much more Republican than the suburbs of Northern or Western cities. See also Arizona and Texas. Should suburbs in Arizona, Georgia, and Texas start voting like suburbs of Boston, Chicago, Cleveland, Detroit, San Francisco, Seattle, and Baltimore/Washington, then the Republican Party is in deep trouble, staring down a 400-EV loss this year. Suburbia was reliably R until the 1990s.    

Georgia is one of the states that can make the biggest swings from R to D in 2016, and such a swing can be a calamity for Republicans.  



Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: Lachi on August 01, 2016, 05:15:59 PM
If the polls are to believe right now, one thing is clear, Georgia will be really close. Still don't think it will flip unless it is C+6-7 on Election Day


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: Podgy the Bear on August 01, 2016, 05:24:57 PM
This is great news!  At the very least, placing a decent effort here will force Trump to spend resources to hold the state. 


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: Maxwell on August 01, 2016, 05:54:26 PM
God bless the great state of GEORGIA!


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: pbrower2a on August 01, 2016, 05:55:48 PM
The Johnson vote has much room for expansion in Georgia.  Most likely such would happen in Atlanta suburbs. Johnson is likely to pick up educated conservatives mostly from among people who usually vote Republican.  


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: IceSpear on August 01, 2016, 06:14:57 PM
Eh...this is still the same poll that showed Nunn and Perdue tied all year.

If Georgia does flip though, I'll give Adam Griffin and BK all the credit. ;)


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: Adam Griffin on August 01, 2016, 06:15:24 PM
Can OP edit title to "GA-Landmark/Rosetta Stone: Tied" so it's got the standard title format? I nearly missed this BEAUTIFUL poll!


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: Adam Griffin on August 01, 2016, 06:16:55 PM
It is worth noting, however, that it was around this time in 2014 when Carter (and maybe Nunn?) began to surge in the polls, with Carter having multiple polls that showed him up by 5 or more. If this becomes more consistent over a longer period of time, then there may be something to it...but let's wait before we get too excited. If Clinton isn't up by at least 3 in the final couple of weeks, then it's going to Trump.


Title: Re: Landmark/ Rossetta Stone WSB-TV GA Tied
Post by: Adam Griffin on August 01, 2016, 06:25:56 PM

Don't forget the other!

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