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Election Archive => 2016 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: MT Treasurer on August 08, 2016, 06:57:47 pm



Title: MO-Remington Research: Blunt +7
Post by: MT Treasurer on August 08, 2016, 06:57:47 pm
47% Roy Blunt (R, inc.)
40% Jason Kander (D)
6% Other

https://www.stlmag.com/news/in-missouri-voter-polls-president-governor/


Title: Re: MO-Remington Research: Blunt +7
Post by: Xing on August 08, 2016, 07:03:23 pm
Blunt's not more vulnerable than Toomey.


Title: Re: MO-Remington Research: Blunt +7
Post by: Chief Justice windjammer on August 08, 2016, 07:07:43 pm
I thought that he was going to overperform a bit Clinton, this result surprises me.


Title: MO: Other Source: Blunt +7
Post by: Landslide Andy on August 08, 2016, 07:09:54 pm
New Poll: Missouri Senator by Other Source on 2016-08-06 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=29320160806106)

Summary: D: 40%, R: 47%, I: 6%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://www.stlmag.com/news/in-missouri-voter-polls-president-governor/)


Title: Re: MO-Remington Research: Blunt +7
Post by: jimmie on August 09, 2016, 01:57:50 pm
I thought that he was going to overperform a bit Clinton, this result surprises me.

I think this is just about the end of the line for Missouri D's.  And yes, the whole "OMG Toomey is such an overperformer" stuff needs to stop.  To think Democrats will pick up seats in places Obama lost twice before they snag one in PA just because McGinty is a hack isn't rational.

No, the state is too independent to become another Arkansas, West Virginia, or Kentucky.

It should not even be competitive for Clinton based on state Demographics. However, the last two recent polls show it is.

The governors race has had to recent results of D+2 and D+19. Obviously, the second one is likely a an outliner, but the cross tabs held up.

Yes, the city of St. Louis has lost significant influence on the vote. However, counties around the KC area are largely swing counties, especially locally. Even if they voted for Romney and McCain, they often swing hard to the Democrats in statewide races. There are a lot of Democratic vote sinks in Missouri which makes the legislature inflatedly Republican.

So, no, Missouri Democrats are not at the end of the line.


Title: Re: MO-Remington Research: Blunt +7
Post by: jimmie on August 09, 2016, 05:16:04 pm
Update: The Kander campaign responded to our story with an important piece of context: Remington Research, the group commissioned to do the poll cited here, is founded by Republican political consultant Jeff Roe, who also worked on Ted Cruz’s presidential campaign. Two polls published before the primary election—from Mason-Dixon Polling & Research and Public Policy Polling—put the race between Kander and Blunt at a statistical tie. The original story continues below.

https://www.stlmag.com/news/in-missouri-voter-polls-president-governor/

I do think Blunt wins though.