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Title: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: MT Treasurer on August 09, 2016, 04:04:52 PM Iowa: Grassley (R, inc.) 52 - Judge (D) 42
Ohio: Portman (R, inc.) 48 - Strickland (D) 43 Pennsylvania: McGinty (D) 48 - Toomey (R, inc.) 44 http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/polls-clinton-ahead-trump-midwest-battlegrounds-n626541 Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: heatcharger on August 09, 2016, 04:06:13 PM I didn't realize how bad a candidate Strickland was.
Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: windjammer on August 09, 2016, 04:06:51 PM Well,
Portman is clearly ahead right now, but I still have high hopes!!! Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: Gass3268 on August 09, 2016, 04:08:34 PM RIP Toomey
Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: Ebsy on August 09, 2016, 04:09:44 PM That Portman and Toomey are invincible is probably one of Atlas' worst hot takes.
Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: windjammer on August 09, 2016, 04:10:35 PM That Portman and Toomey are invincible is probably one of Atlas' worst hot takes. But that can change!!! Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: Heisenberg on August 09, 2016, 04:21:31 PM Wow, Pennsylvania has been getting more Dem in polls. I wonder if there's extra residual post-convention bump in Pennsylvania (the host state)? Toomey is still overperforming Trump, but by way less than he needs to. I consider that race Tilt D at the moment, Ohio is Lean R.
Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: Senator Cris on August 09, 2016, 04:30:12 PM Marist: Clinton + 10 / McGinty + 4 --> Toomey overperforming Trump by 6.
Susquehanna: Clinton + 9 / McGinty + 2 --> Toomey ov. by 7. Franklin: Clinton + 9 / McGinty + 1 --> Toomey ov. by 8. PPP: Clinton + 4 / Toomey + 1 --> Toomey ov. by 5. AVERAGE: Toomey overperforms Trump by 6.5 points. Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: Vega on August 09, 2016, 04:30:48 PM Wow, Pennsylvania has been getting more Dem in polls. I wonder if there's extra residual post-convention bump in Pennsylvania (the host state)? Toomey is still overperforming Trump, but by way less than he needs to. I consider that race Tilt D at the moment, Ohio is Lean R. Yeah, an event that clogs up traffic and is a burden isn't going to help win you any voters. Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: Xing on August 09, 2016, 04:34:47 PM My, how things change. I remember when Strickland was leading in most polls, and Toomey was up by double digits. These numbers are more in line with what I initially thought would happen. Ohio's probably Lean R, for now, but it's hard not to see McGinty as a modest favorite, especially since she'll probably be ahead in the Q poll as well (which had Hillary up 10 in PA.)
Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: JMT on August 09, 2016, 04:35:04 PM I figured this would happen in PA, recent polls have been giving McGinty the edge. I think McGinty wins in November.
Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: syntaxerror on August 09, 2016, 04:42:27 PM Strickland behind, but not out.
He has failed to united Democrats so far (around 77%), so a +5 Clinton would should put him over the top. Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: syntaxerror on August 09, 2016, 04:43:09 PM Strickland behind, but not out.
He has failed to united Democrats so far (around 77%), so a +5 Clinton would should put him over the top. Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: Skye on August 09, 2016, 05:09:50 PM My, how things change. I remember when Strickland was leading in most polls, and Toomey was up by double digits. These numbers are more in line with what I initially thought would happen. Ohio's probably Lean R, for now, but it's hard not to see McGinty as a modest favorite, especially since she'll probably be ahead in the Q poll as well (which had Hillary up 10 in PA.) Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: IceSpear on August 09, 2016, 05:58:59 PM But Atlas told me Toomey was invincible and McGinty was unelectable!
Honestly though, Toomey would probably be close to doomed if Sestak was the nominee. He still caught a huge break. Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: Gass3268 on August 09, 2016, 06:21:07 PM That Portman and Toomey are invincible is probably one of Atlas' worst hot takes. It really is. Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: Xing on August 09, 2016, 06:23:06 PM That Portman and Toomey are invincible is probably one of Atlas' worst hot takes. It really is. The Rubio hype is slightly worse. Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: Xing on August 09, 2016, 06:36:26 PM That Portman and Toomey are invincible is probably one of Atlas' worst hot takes. It really is. The Rubio hype is slightly worse. Yeah, we all know that Murphy is an unbeatable titan. Murphy might be an overrated opportunist, but he's not as bad or hyped up as Rubio. Title: Re: IA/OH/PA-NBC/WSJ/Marist: Grassley +10, Portman +5, McGinty +4 Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on August 09, 2016, 10:06:06 PM That Portman and Toomey are invincible is probably one of Atlas' worst hot takes. It really is. Yeah, it's ridiculous. |