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Title: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: Tender Branson on August 14, 2016, 09:30:41 AM ()
https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/08/14/cbs-battleground-florida-georgia-new-hampshire Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: dspNY on August 14, 2016, 09:32:00 AM Clinton +5 in FL is significant
Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: heatcharger on August 14, 2016, 09:32:37 AM Yeah I didn't expect a tie or lead for Hillary in GA, but being up 5 in FL is even better.
Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: riceowl on August 14, 2016, 09:36:19 AM NH: Women who are not currently supporting Trump - Would you consider voting for Trump?
No - 91% Maybe - 9% Yes - 0% Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: john cage bubblegum on August 14, 2016, 09:39:27 AM You know things are going good when Trump +4 in GA is a "bad" poll. Overall a solid set of numbers for Clinton.
I love how CBS aired those numbers from angry NH women about how they're never ever voting for Trump. Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: dspNY on August 14, 2016, 09:42:35 AM New Hampshire is 99.9% gone for Trump
Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: psychprofessor on August 14, 2016, 09:43:59 AM FL is quite strong for Hillary, NH about where everyone expected and GA better for Trump than I would have thought. fully online polls with an R lean this cycle that usually underestimated POC support for Clinton. Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: Tender Branson on August 14, 2016, 09:48:02 AM Those numbers are in line with a 7-9% Clinton-lead nationally.
Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: ProudModerate2 on August 14, 2016, 10:00:09 AM The numbers in Florida are very promising.
Agree that NH is at least Likely at this point, and will not fall lower than Lean by Nov. This will not be a toss-up state, but will be guaranteed win for Hillary. GA needs work ; I question if Hillary should spend resources here. Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on August 14, 2016, 10:00:41 AM One thing that is important... with LV screens in place the Johnson/Stein numbers drop.
Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: Brittain33 on August 14, 2016, 10:06:48 AM GA needs work ; I question if Hillary should spend resources here. There's a lot of upside for her in investing in Georgia. She doesn't need to spend the money elsewhere to win, and there are a lot of inactive voters who can be registered and motivated to vote and start turning things around. Trump having zero campaign in the state would subtract a few points from his lead. Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: Xing on August 14, 2016, 10:26:13 AM The idea of GA voting to the left of FL was also strange to me, so these numbers make more sense. I'll certainly take a 5-point lead in FL, and this confirms NH being out of play.
Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: PresidentSamTilden on August 14, 2016, 10:45:10 AM The idea of GA voting to the left of FL was also strange to me, so these numbers make more sense. I'll certainly take a 5-point lead in FL, and this confirms NH being out of play. Out of play seems a little strong to me. These are good numbers for HRC, no doubt - but she's also leading by like 7 points or so nationally. If the race was to tighten after the debate or with some kind of economic trouble, NH could be swingin' again. Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: Dr. Arch on August 14, 2016, 10:56:57 AM The idea of GA voting to the left of FL was also strange to me, so these numbers make more sense. I'll certainly take a 5-point lead in FL, and this confirms NH being out of play. Out of play seems a little strong to me. These are good numbers for HRC, no doubt - but she's also leading by like 7 points or so nationally. If the race was to tighten after the debate or with some kind of economic trouble, NH could be swingin' again. "NH: Women who are not currently supporting Trump - Would you consider voting for Trump? No - 91% Maybe - 9% Yes - 0%" No. It's gone. Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: LLR on August 14, 2016, 11:07:30 AM Maybe if Clinton killed a girl on live TV and said that women shouldn't be allowed to vote, Trump would only lose NH by 2. We have reached peak TN Volunteer, folks. Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: Brittain33 on August 14, 2016, 11:07:38 AM GA needs work ; I question if Hillary should spend resources here. There's a lot of upside for her in investing in Georgia. She doesn't need to spend the money elsewhere to win, and there are a lot of inactive voters who can be registered and motivated to vote and start turning things around. Trump having zero campaign in the state would subtract a few points from his lead. I want to agree, but the 50% runoff threshold could severely hurt Dem downballot progress there. Let's see if McMullin gets on the AZ ballot. If he does, I think AZ becomes the better Clinton target. If not, invest in AZ. Put that way—I agree that AZ is a better target than GA. Certainly its Republican statewide officials sound more scared than Georgia's already! I'd say to fund both, but I don't know if the Clinton campaign can do that. Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: Lyin' Steve on August 14, 2016, 11:24:47 AM Haha, who's doing the names for the poll tracker? "Deep blue granite state" love it
Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: ProudModerate2 on August 14, 2016, 12:10:12 PM From the (approx.) 7 most widely known media outlets to track the presidential race, The Cook Political Report is the last to still show NH as "toss-up."
I predict that by latter this week, The Cook will adjust the status to show NH at least "Lean," but possibly "Likely" for Hillary. (Cook's status ladder = Toss-Up / Lean / Likely / Solid.) Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: Heisenberg on August 14, 2016, 01:46:39 PM No Florida Senate poll?
Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: No War, but the War on Christmas on August 14, 2016, 01:47:54 PM No Florida Senate poll? Seems like they only polled New Hampshire; Quote NEW HAMPSHIRE SENATE The Battleground Tracker also polled New Hampshire voters about a competitive Senate race in the state between incumbent Republican US Senator Kelly Ayotte and the state's Democratic Governor, Maggie Hassan. The race is essentially tied, with the Democrat holding a nominal lead over Ayotte, 42% to 41%. Seventeen percent of voters are still undecided. The poll contains a clue to how Ayotte can poll five points ahead of Donald Trump: 78% of New Hampshire voters say Ayotte is a “different kind of Republican” than the party’s presidential nominee, a view that is shared by most Republicans and even most Democrats. Ayotte also polls seven points higher than Trump among Republicans, while Hassan polls eight points behind Hillary Clinton among Democrats. Link (https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/08/14/cbs-battleground-florida-georgia-new-hampshire/) Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: Speed of Sound on August 14, 2016, 01:49:58 PM No Florida Senate poll? No :( But yet they wasted their time polling non-competitive NH ::) Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: Ronnie on August 14, 2016, 01:56:13 PM If these polls are correct, it doesn't appear Trump is down double digits nationally anymore. 7-8 seems more like it.
Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on August 14, 2016, 02:02:56 PM Maybe if Clinton killed a girl on live TV and said that women shouldn't be allowed to vote, Trump would only lose NH by 2. Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: LLR on August 14, 2016, 02:07:21 PM Haha, who's doing the names for the poll tracker? "Deep blue granite state" love it I'd presume TNVol, given that. Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: Maxwell on August 14, 2016, 02:17:21 PM lol Trump being up less in Georgia than he is down in Florida is no reason to celebrate.
Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: Miles on August 14, 2016, 03:38:48 PM Wow, Trump is only up 4 in GA and he's already winning whites 66/19 there.
Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: publicunofficial on August 14, 2016, 03:58:09 PM Quote Among women in New Hampshire, zero percent of those not with him are an affirmative "yes" and a scant nine percent say "maybe" they'd consider him going forward. Ninety-one percent say they never would. TnVol, I still hate all of your posts but I will declare you 100% right on NH. Title: Re: CBS/YouGov: Clinton leads in FL, NH - Trump ahead in GA Post by: PikaTROD on August 16, 2016, 05:46:04 PM Look at Gary Johnson go! He already has, like, 5% more than Jim Gilmore.
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