Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: MT Treasurer on August 29, 2016, 08:45:55 AM



Title: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: MT Treasurer on August 29, 2016, 08:45:55 AM
Ohio

Rob Portman (R, inc.): 40%
Ted Strickland (D): 25%

Portman favorability: 41/35 (+6)
Strickland favorability: 26/54 (-28)

Pennsylvania

Pat Toomey (R, inc.): 46%
Katie McGinty (D): 39%

Toomey favorability: 35/38 (-3)
McGinty favorability: 28/39 (-11)

Link. (http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_865ec63b1c494be78da4af7d7834766c.pdf)


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: Citizen (The) Doctor on August 29, 2016, 08:52:22 AM
wut


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: windjammer on August 29, 2016, 09:00:15 AM
That confirms this pollster is junk lol. I know Portman is leading, but Strickland is definitely not at 25%.  And regarding PA, most polls have shown a close race in Mcginty's favour, so Toomey, while him leading is clearly a possibility, isn't leading by 7 points.


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: heatcharger on August 29, 2016, 09:00:22 AM
How stupid are the people of Atlas to believe this crap? Give me a break, folks!


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: Sir Mohamed on August 29, 2016, 09:04:35 AM
Way off, but Strickland is doing poorly in all recent polls. OH-Sen. is likely R at this point. Just hope this won't help Mr. Drumpf over the top to 18 electoral votes.


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: Heisenberg on August 29, 2016, 09:08:05 AM
Junk. Portman is up, but not by this much. Also, this is one of the very few PA-Sen polls I've seen since Clinton's post convention bump faded. I'd say Portman is up by 5 or 6, while Toomey is up by 1.


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: heatcharger on August 29, 2016, 09:31:43 AM
How stupid are the people of Atlas to believe this crap? Give me a break, folks!

Can you unskew the polls for us?

First of all, Emerson has a significant R lean. Everyone knows this. The last 3 PA polls from Quinnipiac, Susquehanna, and Marist, had McGinty +3/+4. You really believe Toomey has gained 10+ points since three weeks ago? I don't think so. This race is Lean D until I see some non-junk polls.

As for Ohio, yeah, Portman is leading, probably by upper single digits as this point, but any poll that has 35% undecided shouldn't be taken seriously.


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 29, 2016, 09:32:01 AM
Way off, but Strickland is doing poorly in all recent polls. OH-Sen. is likely R at this point. Just hope this won't help Mr. Drumpf over the top to 18 electoral votes.

It won't because as long as Pa remains a tossup Trump can't win without Iowa.


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on August 29, 2016, 09:36:55 AM
Way off, but Strickland is doing poorly in all recent polls. OH-Sen. is likely R at this point. Just hope this won't help Mr. Drumpf over the top to 18 electoral votes.

It won't because as long as Pa remains a tossup Trump can't win without Iowa.

Uh, FL/OH/PA equals 270. Tossup means roughly equal chance for both sides.


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 29, 2016, 09:41:18 AM
You should known by now the 538 272 model Pa/Iowa/NH/CO/NV/Me 2. Strickland isnt at 25%. QU is more reliable.


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: Leahy16 on August 29, 2016, 09:42:10 AM
This is terrible... Our chances for the senate getting harder. NH, WI, NV, IL?


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 29, 2016, 09:56:34 AM
FL, NH, IN, IL, WI will get us to 51 and NV a tossup. But McGinty can win


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: Ebsy on August 29, 2016, 10:34:54 AM
Junk.


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: Vosem on August 29, 2016, 11:02:25 AM
McGinty seems like exactly the sort of candidate who would be able to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory (and while Emerson leans R I don't think they lean so R that the D is leading when they show R up by 7 points), but I'd still wait for confirmation on this poll.


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: Mehmentum on August 29, 2016, 11:21:17 AM
These results call into question their presidential numbers.


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: publicunofficial on August 29, 2016, 04:41:42 PM
Land-line only. Pure junk.


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: Coolface Sock #42069 on August 29, 2016, 07:02:17 PM
These polls are trash and mean nothing, but the D internal showing Evan Bayh up by 18 in Indiana means he's definitely favored. [/RedAvatarLogic]


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: heatcharger on August 30, 2016, 12:11:18 PM

Bad!


Title: Re: OH/PA-Emerson: Portman +15, Toomey +7
Post by: IceSpear on August 31, 2016, 06:59:20 PM
35% undecided? lmao