Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: heatcharger on August 30, 2016, 12:02:32 PM



Title: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: heatcharger on August 30, 2016, 12:02:32 PM
http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_PA_083016/

McGinty - 45%
Toomey - 41%

Lean D!


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: swf541 on August 30, 2016, 12:04:03 PM
Race change for me from tossup to tilt d

Still rather hilarious we went from OH being more likely to flip dem than PA and now OH looks like its likely r


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon on August 30, 2016, 12:04:57 PM
Wow, this is actually getting scary now.


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: heatcharger on August 30, 2016, 12:05:51 PM
Wow, this is actually getting scary beautiful now.

Toomey's not coming back folks. It was cute how people thought he would survive the wrath of Trump. Now he's only outperforming him by 4 points!


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: Xing on August 30, 2016, 12:15:57 PM
Toomey's not DOA, at least not yet, but I'm confidently calling McGinty a modest favorite. Tilt D, and LOL at people thinking Toomey was invulnerable.


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: Gass3268 on August 30, 2016, 12:17:56 PM
Wow, this is actually getting scary now.

Aren't you pumped for Senators Duckworth and McGinty? :D



Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: Gass3268 on August 30, 2016, 12:18:55 PM
Toomey's not DOA, at least not yet, but I'm confidently calling McGinty a modest favorite. Tilt D, and LOL at people thinking Toomey was invulnerable.

But he's so moderate...


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: President Punxsutawney Phil on August 30, 2016, 12:20:44 PM
Toomey's not DOA, at least not yet, but I'm confidently calling McGinty a modest favorite. Tilt D, and LOL at people thinking Toomey was invulnerable.
This is my posture.


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: Lief 🗽 on August 30, 2016, 12:33:40 PM
Incumbents who are down 4 points and at 41% in August rarely go on to win. He's screwed.


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: JMT on August 30, 2016, 12:40:26 PM
Yeah, I still wouldn't count out Toomey entirely, but McGinty is the clear favorite and I fully expect her to win in November.


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: windjammer on August 30, 2016, 12:44:17 PM
Wuuuuut,
I'm schocked guys, although Monmouth has some flaws (although it's not totally garbage though)


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: swf541 on August 30, 2016, 12:49:16 PM
Race change for me from tossup to tilt d

Still rather hilarious we went from OH being more likely to flip dem than PA and now OH looks like its likely r

I still remember the good ol' Quinnipiac polls from 2015 showing Strickland 9 points ahead of Portman while Toomey was up like 18 points, lol.

That being said, I'll give Toomey the benefit fo the doubt and still rate PA a Tossup. Looks as If I was right and this will be the bellwether Senate race.

Agreed on it being the bellwether either PA or NC imo


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: Bismarck on August 30, 2016, 02:14:57 PM
So basically Toomey has to hold out for two possibilities. Either Trump is able to improve by 3-4 points nationally which is certainly possible, or McGinty needs to implode.


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on August 30, 2016, 05:18:15 PM
Pa, NH, IN, IL WI and FL 52/48 Senate.


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: Free Bird on August 30, 2016, 07:56:48 PM
Are we going to ignore Emerson?


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: publicunofficial on August 31, 2016, 02:59:51 AM

Yes, absolutely, why wouldn't we?


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: morgieb on August 31, 2016, 03:35:11 AM
Well...it's worth noting that every other poll I've seen this month had McGinty ahead. I'm willing to say that's an outlier.


Title: Re: PA-Monmouth: McGinty +4
Post by: Speed of Sound on August 31, 2016, 08:51:39 AM
Well...it's worth noting that every other poll I've seen this month had McGinty ahead. I'm willing to say that's an outlier.
It's also worth noting that it robo-called landlines only.