Talk Elections

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http://thehayride.com/2016/08/the-hayrideremington-research-louisiana-senate-poll-kennedy-with-sizable-lead-conservative-candidates-struggling/

LOL @ Rob Maness. Can't even beat David Duke!

Glad the racist asshole Duke is only in 6th place. Nowhere near the top 2!

Also, considering there's another democrat in the race who wasn't included here (Gary Landrieu) and considering that the D vote is splitting basically evenly between Fayard and Campbell, it looks like this could be R. vs. R in the runoff.

John Kennedy would be a considerable improvement over Vitter. Glad to see he's ahead

Landrieu doesn't have support from his distant relatives Mitch and Mary, but he would likely get a decent 5% or so, I can see some Democrats voting for him based on his name. This might be a Kennedy vs. Boustany runoff (though not too likely).

Confirms what another pollster told me: for all Maness' presence on social media, and his statewide exposure from running last time, he's struggling.

he's tied with an actual congressman though. That's still horrifying.

The scary number to me is that Fayard also pulls around 12%. My fear is that it ends up being a Kennedy vs. Boustany run-off.

Why does that scare you?  Wouldn't Kennedy be favored to win any runoff?

It's embarassing not to have a Democrat in the run-off, just like it should've been embarassing for Republicans not to have someone even close to the run-off in California.

If the Republicans get 2/3 of the U.S Senate vote in Louisiana on election day, does it really matter if Campbell or Fayard get 16% of the vote while Boustany gets 15% of the vote and the Democrat advanced to the runoff, or if Boustany gets 16% vs 15% for Campbell or Fayard and he advances to the runoff?

Yeah, it doesn't really make a difference. Dems aren't winning this seat unless Duke snags a runoff slot.

Oh, they also polled the runoff:

Q: In Louisiana if a candidate does not receive 50% of the vote in the general election a runoff election will occur. If the candidates in the runoff election were the Republican John Kennedy and the Democrat Foster Campbell, for whom would you vote?

John Kennedy: 51%
Foster Campbell: 27%
Undecided: 22%

I can't imagine Kennedy losing. Safe R.

Only a strong David Duke performance would make this even slightly possible for Dems.

Well,
I tend to think Kennedy's lead is mostly built up on higher name recognition, so I would be surprised if he continues to hold this lead.
Miles, what do you think about that? :D

Likely R. This is a weird state.

Republican: 56%
Democratic: 28%

This race is safe R, and I think Kennedy wins regardless of who he faces in the runoff.