Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: The Other Castro on August 31, 2016, 05:17:53 PM



Title: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: The Other Castro on August 31, 2016, 05:17:53 PM
Trump - 44%
Clinton - 40%
Johnson - 8%
Stein - 1%

Poll was of 1,244 likely Arizona voters conducted on August 27th.

http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/08/31/exclusive-breitbartgravis-arizona-presidential-poll-trump-44-clinton-40-with-johnson-8-stein-1/


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: Devout Centrist on August 31, 2016, 05:18:19 PM
So Clinton is in the lead?


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: dspNY on August 31, 2016, 05:18:51 PM
Breitbart is only able to put Trump up 4 in AZ?

Tossup. Bill McInturff, John McCain's pollster, is right (Clinton and Trump are essentially even in AZ)


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: Dr. Arch on August 31, 2016, 05:20:31 PM
It does look like the country is becoming depolarized...


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: Xing on August 31, 2016, 05:24:16 PM
If Breibart can only find Trump up 4 in AZ, the state is definitely in play.


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on August 31, 2016, 05:29:11 PM
If Breibart can only find Trump up 4 in AZ, the state is definitely in play.
Despite all the polls, you're playing this!


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on August 31, 2016, 05:30:36 PM
Why don't you liberals trust the firm that showed Paul Nehlen and Carlos Beruff in striking distance from their primary foes?


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: Associate Justice PiT on August 31, 2016, 05:38:47 PM
It does look like the country is becoming depolarized...

     Geographical polarization might be weakening, but political polarization in general is as strong now as I have ever seen it.


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: Dr. Arch on August 31, 2016, 05:56:39 PM
It does look like the country is becoming depolarized...

     Geographical polarization might be weakening, but political polarization in general is as strong now as I have ever seen it.

This is what I meant.


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: NOVA Green on August 31, 2016, 06:50:24 PM
It does look like the country is becoming depolarized...

     Geographical polarization might be weakening, but political polarization in general is as strong now as I have ever seen it.

This is what I meant.

Nate Silver had an interesting article earlier today or yesterday that indicates that in terms of statewide polarization compared to national PVI. 2016 thus far appears to be less significantly polarized than in recent election cycles and essentially reversing a trend that been occurring since the early '90s


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: IceSpear on August 31, 2016, 08:08:03 PM
So Breitbart shows Trump up 4. That other D-friendly poll shows Hillary up 1. Internals show a dead heat. It's starting to look like that CNN poll was an outlier.


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: pbrower2a on August 31, 2016, 08:09:36 PM
A poll by Breitbart is the best news for Democrats on what must be the most dreadful day in polling this year for them.


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: IceSpear on August 31, 2016, 08:14:09 PM
A poll by Breitbart is the best news for Democrats on what must be the most dreadful day in polling this year for them.

Er...what? It wasn't exactly a great day of polling for Democrats, but Hillary still leads by 2-6 points in every national poll. In late May and late July the race was a dead heat, with Trump even slightly ahead in the aggregate.

I knew your guys' standards would get way too high from a temporary convention bounce...


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on August 31, 2016, 08:14:54 PM
So Breitbart shows Trump up 4. That other D-friendly poll shows Hillary up 1. Internals show a dead heat. It's starting to look like that CNN poll was an outlier.
()


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: Trapsy on August 31, 2016, 08:19:57 PM
()

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/27/us/politics/donald-trump-minority-voters-hispanic-latino-west.html


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: Liberalrocks on August 31, 2016, 10:36:44 PM


Title: Re: AZ-Breitbart/Gravis: Trump +4
Post by: Ronnie on August 31, 2016, 10:45:16 PM
It does look like the country is becoming depolarized...

I imagine Arizona is one of the most polarized states in the country right now.  Full of both red-hot Trump supporters, and people who have a seething, visceral hatred of him.