Talk Elections

Pennsylvania

47% Clinton (D)
42% Trump (R)

http://weneednine.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/PAToplines1.pdf

New Hampshire

46% Clinton (D)
41% Trump (R)

http://weneednine.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/NHToplines1.pdf

Iowa

45% Clinton (D)
43% Trump (R)

http://weneednine.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/IAToplines1.pdf

No change for PA, Clinton lead down 1 in NH and her first lead in an Iowa poll since mid August.

I'd say good news, and a good indicator that the CNN poll was definitely an outlier.

The race has stabilized kind of where we were at in 2012 with some places being more 2000ish and others more 2008ish. 

Again, doesn't seem like Trump is making any actual gains of his own.

One week old poll, Aug 30-31.

BEAUTIFUL!

Below was one of the questions. It makes it seem a bit of a push poll to me having it included, and the way it was phrased.

"There are currently 92 vacancies in lower federal Courts that have not been filled because Senate Republicans have shut down confirmation hearings of any nominees named by President Obama. Do you approve or disapprove of Senate Republicans refusing to allow votes on President Obama’s nominees to lower federal Courts?"

Actually one of my bigger complaints with PPP. They put out good polls, but when they do stuff like this or ask 20 questions about if Trump is more favorable than cockroaches (and don't even ask the same of Clinton), it hurts their credibility.

As long as the presidential preference question is first, this isn't much of a problem. It looks silly, but it shouldn't affect the results much.

Since this poll was done for WeNeedNine, which is a lobbying group trying to get the Senate to hold hearings on Garland, the question likely came from them.  It looks like the Presidential and Senatorial preference questions came first, so it shouldn't have affected those answers.

I agree that PPP does ask some stupid questions in their public polls (the ones not for a client).  It makes them look unprofessional, which is a shame because on the whole I think they're a decent pollster.

This is a D Internal. To the trash!

It is a head-to-head. In last polls third parties started to get more from Clinton than Trump. So pretty much in line. But PPP seems right now like little bit pro-Hillary house effect though. Especially not-public ones.

I'm so glad we have the Junk Poll Police (Wulfric) to remind us that every single poll that could any way he considered an internal is junk. I need to see that in literally every thread, otherwise I'll forget.

It is not a public poll, so it has the some problems that internals, right? Those got published only if the firm liked the results (the results does not need to have something to do with Trump vs Clinton though), and not othervise. Am I right? :)


But it is fine by me, as long as we look at average :)

Nice !

It just makes me satisfied to see that the clown isn't near anything in PA except losing.

It's a bad sign for Clinton if it's this close in these 3 states in a poll done for a left leaning advocacy group.

Happy with these polls especially that result in Iowa.

Five points is hardly insurmountable for Trump.

I suppose it's good to see him behind in Iowa for once though.

If he actually had a campaign then many would agree with you.

272 blue wall along with CO, NM and NV alive!!!

Too old for my home-stretch polling thread

Thank God.

Remember, this is a PPP advocacy group poll, not their own poll, so I am sure the Federal Courts question was intentional.

With that said, that last PPP national poll may have been skewed slightly Democrat because of the tone of questions asked. They really should tone it down to a question or two like that instead of 10 or 15 or whatever they had there.