|
Title: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Tender Branson on September 12, 2016, 10:51:47 AM IVR FOX 2 Detroit – Mitchell Poll of Michigan
Conducted September 6-7, 2016 Survey (N=940 Likely Voters) 45% Clinton 39% Trump 7% Johnson 1% Stein 47% Clinton 42% Trump http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/FOX_2_Detroit-Mitchell_Poll_of_MI_Press_Clinton_v_Trump_9-9-16.pdf Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on September 12, 2016, 10:56:03 AM From Clinton +11 in early August
Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Tender Branson on September 12, 2016, 10:56:45 AM Compared with their previous poll:
Clinton: +1 Trump: +6 Johnson: -2 Stein: -4 Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: windjammer on September 12, 2016, 10:57:57 AM It's MI polling so I guess it's good news lol?
Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Lief 🗽 on September 12, 2016, 11:19:38 AM Yup, Clinton is set for a double digit win here. Great news!
Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Classic Conservative on September 12, 2016, 11:19:46 AM It seems right
Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: HillOfANight on September 12, 2016, 11:56:46 AM https://twitter.com/AlanIAbramowitz/status/775353693331914753
Alan Abramowitz who writes for the Crystal Ball Quote Robo-dialer Mitchell Research claims Clinton leads among Latinos by 12 and among Af-Amer voters by 61 in Michigan. Both ludicrous. Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: The Other Castro on September 12, 2016, 12:17:52 PM Also, this is a landline-only poll according to Nate Cohn.
Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Xing on September 12, 2016, 12:56:25 PM Trump isn't going to win Michigan.
Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Maxwell on September 12, 2016, 12:58:23 PM Michigan isn't even going to trend Republican! Terrific!
Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Southern Delegate matthew27 on September 12, 2016, 01:12:20 PM https://twitter.com/AlanIAbramowitz/status/775353693331914753 Alan Abramowitz who writes for the Crystal Ball Quote Robo-dialer Mitchell Research claims Clinton leads among Latinos by 12 and among Af-Amer voters by 61 in Michigan. Both ludicrous. Lol, trash poll. Double Clintons lead to at least 10. Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Phony Moderate on September 12, 2016, 02:23:59 PM https://twitter.com/AlanIAbramowitz/status/775353693331914753 Alan Abramowitz who writes for the Crystal Ball Quote Robo-dialer Mitchell Research claims Clinton leads among Latinos by 12 and among Af-Amer voters by 61 in Michigan. Both ludicrous. Polling subsamples aren't intended to be accurate representations of the subsample groups. It's kind of disturbing that even people on *this* forum don't understand that. Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Phony Moderate on September 12, 2016, 02:27:43 PM Having said that, it's still a Michigan pollster, so if this is right it's an accident.
Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Maxwell on September 12, 2016, 02:29:30 PM Michigan pollsters also said Obama would only win Michigan by 4 in 2012. He won by 10. Michigan pollsters are just genuinely bad at this.
Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: 100% pro-life no matter what on September 12, 2016, 03:27:59 PM RCP moves Michigan to tossup. Should a couple Trump-friendly polls shift CO and MN to tossup as well, tossup would actually be "leading" both Trump and Clinton!!
Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: NOVA Green on September 12, 2016, 03:42:17 PM Michigan pollsters also said Obama would only win Michigan by 4 in 2012. He won by 10. Michigan pollsters are just genuinely bad at this. Not sure if it just Michigan pollsters in general, but as I noted on another thread elsewhere Democrats tend to close really strong in Michigan (And Wisconsin '04 being the exception) come November compared to early Fall polling. Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Lachi on September 12, 2016, 04:52:02 PM Is anyone gonna notice that
This is a landline-only poll according to Nate Cohn. Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on September 12, 2016, 06:29:00 PM Is anyone gonna notice that This is a landline-only poll according to Nate Cohn. No... don't highlight methodological shortcomings, that's 'unskewing'. Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Gass3268 on September 12, 2016, 06:47:44 PM Is anyone gonna notice that This is a landline-only poll according to Nate Cohn. No... don't highlight methodological shortcomings, that's 'unskewing'. Quote Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn 6h6 hours ago Washington, DC Nate Cohn Retweeted Nate Cohn Let me be clearer: by landline only, I mean total garbage Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: NOVA Green on September 12, 2016, 07:22:32 PM So it looks like Michigan is actually falling in line as a +6-8 Clinton state, if not higher.
I'm curious as to what this means for Wisconsin, since one could reasonably accept that they will be 2-3% to right of Michigan. Title: Re: MI-FOX2 Detroit/Mitchell: Hillary up 5 (and 6) Post by: Dr. Arch on September 12, 2016, 07:24:31 PM So it looks like Michigan is actually falling in line as a +6-8 Clinton state, if not higher. I'm curious as to what this means for Wisconsin, since one could reasonably accept that they will be 2-3% to right of Michigan. Hillary will end up winning Wisconsin by no less than 5. |