Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: amdcpus on September 14, 2016, 09:31:22 PM



Title: Patterson Polling (Johnson/Weld internal) shows close race in Maine CD 2
Post by: amdcpus on September 14, 2016, 09:31:22 PM
Poll was conducted August 29 of 1169 LV in Maine CD 2.

Results were:

Clinton 40%

Trump 39%

Johnson 11%

Stein 3%


The results of their poll conducted August 3 (Before they spent 100k on ads for Johnson/Weld in Maine CD 2)

Clinton 43%

Trump 40%

Johnson 6%

Stein 4%


Title: Re: Patterson Polling (Johnson/Weld internal) shows close race in Maine CD 2
Post by: Boston Bread on September 14, 2016, 09:42:20 PM
At 11% in your own internal after spending $100K.  Sad.
If they really went up 5% due to 100k in spending, that is actually impressive.


Title: Re: Patterson Polling (Johnson/Weld internal) shows close race in Maine CD 2
Post by: amdcpus on September 14, 2016, 09:45:20 PM
At 11% in your own internal after spending $100K.  Sad.

Why? They're trying to get 5%, not win the state. Seems like they are helping secure that 5%.


Title: Re: Patterson Polling (Johnson/Weld internal) shows close race in Maine CD 2
Post by: NOVA Green on September 14, 2016, 09:52:21 PM
Dems can't count on this 1-EV at this point...

It will likely swing based upon national numbers, but at this point I'm thinking that ME-02 will go Trump before NE-02 will go Clinton.


Title: Re: Patterson Polling (Johnson/Weld internal) shows close race in Maine CD 2
Post by: Xing on September 14, 2016, 10:16:45 PM
I have to wonder... If ME-02 really is this competitive, why isn't Hillary defending it? Do her internals have her well ahead there? I doubt she'd think it's not worth it, since she does seem to be contesting NE-02.


Title: Re: Patterson Polling (Johnson/Weld internal) shows close race in Maine CD 2
Post by: KingSweden on September 14, 2016, 10:21:36 PM
I have to wonder... If ME-02 really is this competitive, why isn't Hillary defending it? Do her internals have her well ahead there? I doubt she'd think it's not worth it, since she does seem to be contesting NE-02.

Do Benenson's polls have a reputation for being superior to public polls?


Title: Re: Patterson Polling (Johnson/Weld internal) shows close race in Maine CD 2
Post by: Fuzzy Bear on September 14, 2016, 10:24:29 PM
I do think that the Johnson effect will make a number of states more competitive both ways.  ME is a state where Johnson would actually hurt the Democrat more.



Title: Re: Patterson Polling (Johnson/Weld internal) shows close race in Maine CD 2
Post by: KingSweden on September 14, 2016, 10:33:50 PM
I do think that the Johnson effect will make a number of states more competitive both ways.  ME is a state where Johnson would actually hurt the Democrat more.



Agreed.


Title: Re: Patterson Polling (Johnson/Weld internal) shows close race in Maine CD 2
Post by: ApatheticAustrian on September 14, 2016, 10:39:44 PM
still baffles me that it looks like about half of johnson's support comes from the dem side too.

combined with stein there should be ...about....6-9% of center-left voters who are not voting democratic this year according to polls.