Title: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: JRoby on September 15, 2016, 09:45:59 AM
https://www.umw.edu/news/wp-content/uploads/sites/7/2016/09/UMW-VA-Survey-2016_First-Release-Topline.pdf
September 6-12:
LVs:
Clinton 40
Trump 37
Johnson 8
Stein 1
McMullin 1
September 6-12:
LVs:
Clinton 40
Trump 37
Johnson 8
Stein 1
McMullin 1
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: JRoby on September 15, 2016, 09:48:55 AM
Clinton is also up 46-41 in the H2H
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: Dr. Arch on September 15, 2016, 09:49:22 AM
VA is off the map.
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: StatesPoll on September 15, 2016, 09:49:31 AM
()
not bad!
:D
not bad!
:D
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: ApatheticAustrian on September 15, 2016, 09:50:12 AM
those VA polls are also all over the place.....would be the strangest of all places for a trump surge.
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ on September 15, 2016, 09:51:20 AM
those VA polls are also all over the place.....would be the strangest of all places for a trump surge.
If his gains are with educated whites, then, no, it would be among the most logical. But it's unwinnable for a Republican at this point.
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it. on September 15, 2016, 10:02:39 AM
Lmaooooooo
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: 100% pro-life no matter what on September 15, 2016, 10:11:41 AM
If Trump wins Virginia, he's already won the election.
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What the map probably looks like if Virginia is tied on Election Night
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What the map probably looks like if Virginia is tied on Election Night
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: JRoby on September 15, 2016, 10:13:45 AM
one possibly scary fact about this poll for Ds to consider, most of it was done before Hillary's 9/11 health scare.
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it. on September 15, 2016, 10:58:51 AM
If Trump wins Virginia, he's already won the election.
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What the map probably looks like if Virginia is tied on Election Night
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What the map probably looks like if Virginia is tied on Election Night
Lol no
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: HillOfANight on September 15, 2016, 11:09:08 AM
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/776449568560951297
Nate Cohn of NYT Upshot says there's no defense of basically *only* including self-reported 12 vote.
Their likely vote screen excludes anyone that didn't vote in 2012, including young people.
Nate Cohn of NYT Upshot says there's no defense of basically *only* including self-reported 12 vote.
Their likely vote screen excludes anyone that didn't vote in 2012, including young people.
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on September 15, 2016, 11:45:56 AM
Superb news for Trump. VA is probably most to the left of nation of all swing states :)
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: EpicHistory on September 15, 2016, 03:21:44 PM
Superb news for Trump. VA is probably most to the left of nation of all swing states :)
Of the four most recent polls of Virginia, PPP was the only one not to find Clinton barely leading in the low single digits. Given that, I'm honestly starting to think that poll was an outlier.
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on September 15, 2016, 03:30:24 PM
Superb news for Trump. VA is probably most to the left of nation of all swing states :)
Of the four most recent polls of Virginia, PPP was the only one not to find Clinton barely leading in the low single digits. Given that, I'm honestly starting to think that poll was an outlier.
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: EpicHistory on September 15, 2016, 03:39:21 PM
It seems like PPP has lately gone a bit more D. But they polled SEP. 9-11, before/during Hillary showed who she really is.
There's also the fact that, statistically speaking, they will produce a bad poll every once in a while. So yeah, I'm feeling very confident in saying Virginia is pure tossup right now.
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: NOVA Green on September 15, 2016, 04:07:18 PM
I'm not sure about the veracity of this pollster....
It's a Uni poll, but they are based out of Virginia, so maybe there's a bit of an offset there.
I'd have to think VA is actually more like Clinton +5-6% considering what we have seen in other national and statewide polls (Especially NC polls).
It's a Uni poll, but they are based out of Virginia, so maybe there's a bit of an offset there.
I'd have to think VA is actually more like Clinton +5-6% considering what we have seen in other national and statewide polls (Especially NC polls).
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: Ebsy on September 15, 2016, 04:28:45 PM
It seems like PPP has lately gone a bit more D. But they polled SEP. 9-11, before/during Hillary showed who she really is.
There's also the fact that, statistically speaking, they will produce a bad poll every once in a while. So yeah, I'm feeling very confident in saying Virginia is pure tossup right now.
Always nice to see someone err terribly in their logic.
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: EpicHistory on September 15, 2016, 04:54:23 PM
Always nice to see someone err terribly in their logic.
Please enlighten me into how I am wrong in saying every polling company will produce a bad poll at some point in their career.
Title: Re: VA: University of Mary Washington, Clinton +3
Post by: pbrower2a on September 20, 2016, 10:59:06 AM
Even at a bad point in Hillary Clinton's polling, Virginia still suggests a narrow lead for her.