Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: MT Treasurer on September 15, 2016, 01:28:47 PM



Title: GA-OpinionSavvy/InsiderAdvantage: Isakson +13
Post by: MT Treasurer on September 15, 2016, 01:28:47 PM
47% Johnny Isakson (R, inc.)
34% Jim Barksdale (D)
6% Allen Buckley (L)

http://opinionsavvy.com/2016/09/15/poll-trump-pulls-ahead-in-ga/


Title: Re: GA-OpinionSavvy/InsiderAdvantage: Isakson +13
Post by: Heisenberg on September 15, 2016, 01:33:07 PM
I think the NRSC should stop airing attack ads against Barksdale and focus on real races.


Title: Re: GA-OpinionSavvy/InsiderAdvantage: Isakson +13
Post by: Xing on September 15, 2016, 01:37:11 PM
Safe R.


Title: Re: GA-OpinionSavvy/InsiderAdvantage: Isakson +13
Post by: Mr.Phips on September 15, 2016, 01:51:29 PM
But, but, but...Isakson's below 50%.


Title: Re: GA-OpinionSavvy/InsiderAdvantage: Isakson +13
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 15, 2016, 02:31:25 PM
This race is far from done since Isakson is below 50


Title: Re: GA-OpinionSavvy/InsiderAdvantage: Isakson +13
Post by: Mr.Phips on September 15, 2016, 06:49:39 PM
This race is far from done since Isakson is below 50


The below 50% rule is garbage.  If an incumbent is ahead something like 44%-41%, then yeah, the incumbent is in big trouble and could well lose, but being up 47%-34% usually means something like a 55%-45% win in the end for the incumbent.


Title: Re: GA-OpinionSavvy/InsiderAdvantage: Isakson +13
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 15, 2016, 06:54:21 PM
This race is far from done since Isakson is below 50


The below 50% rule is garbage.  If an incumbent is ahead something like 44%-41%, then yeah, the incumbent is in big trouble and could well lose, but being up 47%-34% usually means something like a 55%-45% win in the end for the incumbent.

If it's a wave Isakson will be washed away. Jim Martin was down by the same margin and forced Chambliss into a runoff, and McCain will lose.