Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Seriously? on September 21, 2016, 05:07:53 AM



Title: Economist/You Gov National: Clinton +1 (2-way RV); +2 (4-way RV)
Post by: Seriously? on September 21, 2016, 05:07:53 AM
Economist/YouGov (Change from 9/10-13) Clinton +1
Clinton 45% (-1)
Trump 44% (--)
Undecided 9%
Won't Vote 2%

936 RV; MOE 3.9%%; September 18-19, 2016

Economist/YouGov (Change from 9/10-13) Clinton +2
Clinton 42% (-2)
Trump 40%  (-2)
Johnson 7%  (+2)
Stein 2% (-1)
Undecided 9%
Other 2%
Won't Vote 2%

936 RV; MOE 3.9%%; September 18-19, 2016

Link: http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/zcgy71ddez/econToplines.pdf


Title: Re: Economist/You Gov National: Clinton +1 (2-way RV); +2 (4-way RV)
Post by: Southern Delegate matthew27 on September 21, 2016, 05:09:41 AM
Way too close but any poll showing clinton ahead is better then nothing. ;)


Title: Re: Economist/You Gov National: Clinton +1 (2-way RV); +2 (4-way RV)
Post by: Sorenroy on September 21, 2016, 05:13:08 AM
Economist/YouGov (Change from 9/11-12) Clinton +1
Clinton 45% (-1)
Trump 44% (--)
Undecided 9%
Won't Vote 2%

Economist/YouGov (Change from 9/11-12) Clinton +2
Clinton 42% (-2)
Trump 40%  (-2)
Johnson 7%  (+2)
Stein 2% (-1)
Undecided 9%
Other 2%
Won't Vote 2%

I can understand including the "won't vote" responce if you're forcing the choice between two candidates, but why in the world do they include it in an option that has all four choices plus a "other"? If you're not even voting in that scenario, why include you in the poll (basically - I have an issue with RV polls).


Title: Re: Economist/You Gov National: Clinton +1 (2-way RV); +2 (4-way RV)
Post by: Seriously? on September 21, 2016, 05:18:36 AM
Economist/YouGov (Change from 9/11-12) Clinton +1
Clinton 45% (-1)
Trump 44% (--)
Undecided 9%
Won't Vote 2%

Economist/YouGov (Change from 9/11-12) Clinton +2
Clinton 42% (-2)
Trump 40%  (-2)
Johnson 7%  (+2)
Stein 2% (-1)
Undecided 9%
Other 2%
Won't Vote 2%

I can understand including the "won't vote" responce if you're forcing the choice between two candidates, but why in the world do they include it in an option that has all four choices plus a "other"? If you're not even voting in that scenario, why include you in the poll (basically - I have an issue with RV polls).
I'm not shocked about other since there are other candidates theoretically in the four-way. What I don't like in the Reuters LV poll is a choice for "Won't Vote." How are you a LV if you won't vote?

With that said, Economist/YouGov is the last remaining major RV national poll after NBC/Survey Monkey switched yesterday.


Title: Re: Economist/You Gov National: Clinton +1 (2-way RV); +2 (4-way RV)
Post by: Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers on September 21, 2016, 05:19:37 AM
Liberal pollster along with survey monkey.


Title: Re: Economist/You Gov National: Clinton +1 (2-way RV); +2 (4-way RV)
Post by: Cruzcrew on September 21, 2016, 05:50:59 AM
Is the Economist always showing a close Clinton lead?


Title: Re: Economist/You Gov National: Clinton +1 (2-way RV); +2 (4-way RV)
Post by: Southern Delegate matthew27 on September 21, 2016, 05:56:56 AM
Appears that the last two yougov polls have shown Clinton at +2.


Title: Re: Economist/You Gov National: Clinton +1 (2-way RV); +2 (4-way RV)
Post by: Seriously? on September 21, 2016, 06:01:04 AM
Is the Economist always showing a close Clinton lead?
Not really. 2-way has been between Clinton +1 and Clinton +7. (This is the first time Trump has trailed by just 1.)

4-way has bounced around a 2-6 point range. Trump has been within 2 four times.


Title: Re: Economist/You Gov National: Clinton +1 (2-way RV); +2 (4-way RV)
Post by: Wiz in Wis on September 21, 2016, 09:27:15 AM
Is the Economist always showing a close Clinton lead?
Not really. 2-way has been between Clinton +1 and Clinton +7. (This is the first time Trump has trailed by just 1.)

4-way has bounced around a 2-6 point range. Trump has been within 2 four times.

It really hasn't bounced that much... the biggest shift week to week has been 3 points, which was the Dem convention bump.


Title: Re: Economist/You Gov National: Clinton +1 (2-way RV); +2 (4-way RV)
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on September 21, 2016, 10:02:21 AM
Way too close but any poll showing clinton ahead is better then nothing. ;)

But still WAY too close.