Talk Elections

http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/9_22_2016_final_tables.pdf

FL-Suffolk(9/19-9/21)
Total 500 LV. (TRUMP 225 LV, Hillary 218 LV, Johnson 15 LV, Stein 6 LV)

TRUMP 45% | Hillary 43.6% | Johnson 3% | Stein 0.6%

Sampling: White 63.8% (319 LV) | Minorities 35.6% (178 LV)
(2012 it was White 67% | Minorities 33%)

Ouch

Decimals!

Fits CV of tight race down there though.

Interestingly, they have the non-white percent up from 2012 (35% vs 30%), but Trump is doing better than Romney (among non-whites). He's also winning young voters, and barely losing 45-65 year olds. it all seems wrong, though it probably cancels out.

Florida remains tight as a tick.

Florida is definitely tight right now.

Great Poll!

Good to see further confirmation that Clinton is leading here. Remember Suffolk stopped polling Florida in 2012 because it was supposedly safe for Romney.

That doesn't mean their methodology was flawed. It just means they made incorrect assumptions about the trajectory of the race in the aftermath of the first debate.

Wasn't that Mason Dixon?

Both actually

Lack of ground game in all these states is going to kill Trump.

Florida is between +5 for Clinton and +1 for Trump right now. Advantage Clinton.

This poll is leaning D cause of parties affiliations in this poll, 39% D, 36% R and 23% I, while in 2012

Florida exit poll  shows the parties affiliations 35% D, 33% R and 33 I.In this poll they did under sample

I.If we use 2012 data in this poll we will come up with a result like 46% Trump vs 42 % Clinton.The

difference here independents went by 14 % margin for Trump while in 2012 Obama won independents

by 3 points.

Damnnit we have another one!

They're reproducing!

To be fair, the amount of new trolls isn't as bad as it was in 2012.

Adjusted as your Ratios

TRUMP:  DEM(35%)x11% + REP(33%)x82% + IND(33%)x46% = 46.09%
Hillary: DEM(35%)x84% + REP(33%)x7% + IND(33%)x32% = 42.27%

This is what I am talking about.thanks my friend

Not buying it, CLINTON is keeping it close in NC & FL

So you do buy this poll then...

Hopefully this isn't the beginning of respectable/semi-respectable pollsters publishing their numbers in decimals.

Nobody questions that Florida is close, and will likely remain close and contested all the way up to ED.

I'll still take the A+ Monmouth over a B+ Uni poll in one of the hardest states to poll in the union.

#AngryPuertoRicans   ;)

Florida screwed us in 2000 I guess it makes sense that they choose too screw us now as well.

It's probably statespoll using another account lol

Well, we're hardly screwed if it's just FL flipping... now, a freiwal state, we'd be worried about.