Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Devout Centrist on September 30, 2016, 10:58:03 am



Title: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Devout Centrist on September 30, 2016, 10:58:03 am
https://twitter.com/davidpaleologos/status/781885360460664833

Quote
David Paleologos ‏@davidpaleologos  2m2 minutes ago
Suffolk Poll of Nevada - Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 44-38 with GJ 7, others 2, "none of these" 3 (a NV option), 5 und, and 1 refused


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: NV less likely to flip than FL/WI on September 30, 2016, 10:58:59 am
HOLY SH*T! Maybe Nevada polls are getting better. ;)


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Arch on September 30, 2016, 10:59:06 am
Good game, Trump.


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: psychprofessor on September 30, 2016, 11:00:56 am
yeah, let's tweetstorm about Alicia Machado "Miss Housekeeping" "Miss EatingMachine" "Miss Piggy" some more...


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Ozymandias on September 30, 2016, 11:01:28 am
fyi, last Suffolk poll (Aug 15-17) had Clinton 44, Trump 42, Johnson 5


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Trapsy on September 30, 2016, 11:02:32 am
Looks like it's over.

Don't worry Clinton will find a way to fumble this bounce somehow.


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Ozymandias on September 30, 2016, 11:03:22 am
David Paleologos ‏@davidpaleologos  3m3 minutes ago
SUPRC Nevada likely voters U.S. Senate – GOP Joe Heck leads Dem Catherine
Cortez Masto 38-35, others 2, "none of these" 4, und 18, and ref 2

They had a 37-37 tie in their Aug. poll


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: mark_twain on September 30, 2016, 11:03:30 am
HOLY SH*T! Maybe Nevada polls are getting better. ;)

They are getting better by being more accurate.

Great poll!


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: King Francis I on September 30, 2016, 11:03:56 am
Suffolk is garbage


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Wiz in Wis on September 30, 2016, 11:04:37 am
Keep attacking the Latina Beauty Queen Donny... it's working wonders!

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Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Wiz in Wis on September 30, 2016, 11:05:13 am
David Paleologos ‏@davidpaleologos  3m3 minutes ago
SUPRC Nevada likely voters U.S. Senate – GOP Joe Heck leads Dem Catherine
Cortez Masto 38-35, others 2, "none of these" 4, und 18, and ref 2

They had a 37-37 tie in their Aug. poll

That's less fun


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Gass3268 on September 30, 2016, 11:05:47 am
David Paleologos ‏@davidpaleologos  3m3 minutes ago
SUPRC Nevada likely voters U.S. Senate – GOP Joe Heck leads Dem Catherine
Cortez Masto 38-35, others 2, "none of these" 4, und 18, and ref 2

They had a 37-37 tie in their Aug. poll

That's a huge number of undecideds, I imagine most will fall in line with their presidential choice.


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Ozymandias on September 30, 2016, 11:06:13 am
David Paleologos ‏@davidpaleologos  2m2 minutes ago
SUPRC Nevada poll - Debate watchers: Clinton won debate 57-23, Draw 12, Und 7; Exceeded expectations: Clinton 60, Trump 27, Both 5, Und 8


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: BlueSwan on September 30, 2016, 11:07:07 am
It is most definitely NOT over.

But this poll result is nice - keep them coming, please!


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Trapsy on September 30, 2016, 11:07:09 am
David Paleologos ‏@davidpaleologos  3m3 minutes ago
SUPRC Nevada likely voters U.S. Senate – GOP Joe Heck leads Dem Catherine
Cortez Masto 38-35, others 2, "none of these" 4, und 18, and ref 2

They had a 37-37 tie in their Aug. poll

That's a huge number of undecideds, I imagine most will fall in line with their presidential choice.

What the hell is Reid doing.


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: mark_twain on September 30, 2016, 11:08:31 am
Keep attacking the Latina Beauty Queen Donny... it's working wonders!

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Img
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This is like a boxer who tries so hard to swing a knockout punch that he hits himself on the head!



Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: HillOfANight on September 30, 2016, 11:08:37 am
http://www.suffolk.edu/academics/10740.php
http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/9_30_2016_tables.pdf
http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/9_30_2016_marginals.pdf

Male
Clinton 38
Trump 43

Female
Clinton 49
Trump 34

Clark County
Clinton 46
Trump 35

Washoe
Clinton 44
Trump 34

White
Clinton 38
Trump 46


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Gass3268 on September 30, 2016, 11:13:49 am
David Paleologos ‏@davidpaleologos  3m3 minutes ago
SUPRC Nevada likely voters U.S. Senate – GOP Joe Heck leads Dem Catherine
Cortez Masto 38-35, others 2, "none of these" 4, und 18, and ref 2

They had a 37-37 tie in their Aug. poll

That's a huge number of undecideds, I imagine most will fall in line with their presidential choice.
What the hell is Reid doing.

With this cycle it's been really hard for local races to break though.


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: RJEvans on September 30, 2016, 11:21:58 am
Looks like it's over.

Don't worry Clinton will find a way to fumble this bounce somehow.

Let's be honest Clinton never fumbled her bump. It was the media who were obsessed with non scandals.


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: HokeyDood on September 30, 2016, 11:55:12 am
So this is what you get when you actually try to talk to someone in Spanish?  Cool beans!


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Secret Cavern Survivor on September 30, 2016, 12:07:52 pm
Finally a NV poll that (sort of) makes sense.


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: ProudModerate2 on September 30, 2016, 12:15:33 pm
yeah, let's tweetstorm about Alicia Machado "Miss Housekeeping" "Miss EatingMachine" "Miss Piggy" some more...

Agree. The Machado story is hurting.
And we still have yet to see more stories, articles, videos, commentary and the like, on trump bumbling with his comments regarding his federal taxes (and the lack of paying any).


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on September 30, 2016, 12:24:45 pm
yeah, let's tweetstorm about Alicia Machado "Miss Housekeeping" "Miss EatingMachine" "Miss Piggy" some more...

Agree. The Machado story is hurting.
And we still have yet to see more stories, articles, videos, commentary and the like, on trump bumbling with his comments regarding his federal taxes (and the lack of paying any).

Is the Machado story covered by the media or is it just another one of those little incidents that only political junkies are aware about?


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Brittain33 on September 30, 2016, 12:28:39 pm
yeah, let's tweetstorm about Alicia Machado "Miss Housekeeping" "Miss EatingMachine" "Miss Piggy" some more...

Agree. The Machado story is hurting.
And we still have yet to see more stories, articles, videos, commentary and the like, on trump bumbling with his comments regarding his federal taxes (and the lack of paying any).

Is the Machado story covered by the media or is it just another one of those little incidents that only political junkies are aware about?

I don't know how much people are following him carrying on about it, but 80+ million Americans saw Hillary thrash him with it in the debate and it is currently the main news story about him.


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Virginiá on September 30, 2016, 12:29:33 pm
Is the Machado story covered by the media or is it just another one of those little incidents that only political junkies are aware about?

I've left CNN on all afternoon while I worked the past 2 days and it's (Machado/Trump's treatment of women/etc) basically all they talk about, save for some time on the NJ crash and on misc topics. Then Trump surrogates brought up Bill's infidelities, and the topic switched back and forth between Trump's past sexual escapades and the Machado story. Last night they had another beauty queen, former Miss Australia on, who backed up Alicia on how Trump treated his models like dirt.

They are absolutely skewering him over all of this, and every time he opens his big yap, it makes it worse. I don't understand why he thinks he can win this.


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on September 30, 2016, 12:31:57 pm
Well, good to know that. Although it would be much better if the media focused instead on his tax returns and fraudulent foundation.


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Virginiá on September 30, 2016, 12:36:02 pm
Well, good to know that. Although it would be much better if the media focused instead on his tax returns and fraudulent foundation.

Oh they did, pretty often, though admittedly I wasn't listening intently most of the time. They were really foaming over the mouth over the general theme of "how Trump treats women" tho. This entire week has basically been a giant non-stop discussion on everything that's wrong with Trump.


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: ProudModerate2 on September 30, 2016, 12:45:39 pm
yeah, let's tweetstorm about Alicia Machado "Miss Housekeeping" "Miss EatingMachine" "Miss Piggy" some more...

Agree. The Machado story is hurting.
And we still have yet to see more stories, articles, videos, commentary and the like, on trump bumbling with his comments regarding his federal taxes (and the lack of paying any).

Is the Machado story covered by the media or is it just another one of those little incidents that only political junkies are aware about?

It's probably a combination of a number of things/topics, but all of them originating directly from the debate and the fact that trump was stomped.
But have you seen the early morning tweets from trump (today Sept 30) on the Machado story (Go to this Atlas thread for info :  https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=246991.0  ).
trump is just feeding the fire by adding more wood and now dumping gasoline on this inferno.
It's just absolutely incredible.


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Eraserhead on September 30, 2016, 01:44:33 pm
Suffolk is not very good.

Still this has to be the first NV poll that Clinton has lead in in a hot minute.


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: Secret Cavern Survivor on September 30, 2016, 02:04:32 pm
Well, good to know that. Although it would be much better if the media focused instead on his tax returns and fraudulent foundation.

Oh they did, pretty often, though admittedly I wasn't listening intently most of the time. They were really foaming over the mouth over the general theme of "how Trump treats women" tho. This entire week has basically been a giant non-stop discussion on everything that's wrong with Trump.

Good, good!


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: mark_twain on September 30, 2016, 02:04:53 pm
yeah, let's tweetstorm about Alicia Machado "Miss Housekeeping" "Miss EatingMachine" "Miss Piggy" some more...

Agree. The Machado story is hurting.
And we still have yet to see more stories, articles, videos, commentary and the like, on trump bumbling with his comments regarding his federal taxes (and the lack of paying any).

Is the Machado story covered by the media or is it just another one of those little incidents that only political junkies are aware about?

It's probably a combination of a number of things/topics, but all of them originating directly from the debate and the fact that trump was stomped.
But have you seen the early morning tweets from trump (today Sept 30) on the Machado story (Go to this Atlas thread for info :  https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=246991.0  ).
trump is just feeding the fire by adding more wood and now dumping gasoline on this inferno.
It's just absolutely incredible.

This whole combination of events shows the clear differences between people like Barack Obama (aka Hillary Clinton) and Kim Jong Un (aka Donald Trump).

"Which kind of leader would you rather have as our next President?"

When people start thinking about their answer to this question, they will finally wake up...




Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: heatcharger on September 30, 2016, 03:12:58 pm
It seems like Hillary was playing 4D space chess by inserting the Machado story at the end of the debate to bait Trump into a checkmate. Hispanics all over the country are getting energized and will vote against him in large numbers.

Although I want to see higher quality polls prove this.


Title: Re: Nevada Suffolk: Clinton +6
Post by: NOVA Green on September 30, 2016, 04:19:33 pm
So Nevada is falling more in line with what we would expect from national polling numbers....

Key question is will Trump be able to regain the support that he lost to Johnson/undecided among Angry Anglo Women in Nevada?