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Title: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: Ozymandias on October 03, 2016, 01:16:48 PM Harry Enten just tweeted about another CO poll that shows same margin as Monmouth:
https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/783004625263820801 https://twitter.com/JoeStGeorge/status/783003698460971008 Clinton - 44 Trump - 33 Johnson - 10 Stein - 3 602 LVs polled 9/27-9/29 Title: Re: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: Wiz in Wis on October 03, 2016, 01:17:11 PM Sweet sassy mollassy...
Title: Re: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: Dr. Arch on October 03, 2016, 01:17:31 PM CO is definitely gone.
Title: Re: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: Xing on October 03, 2016, 01:18:46 PM Looks like Colorado really is New New Mexico.
Title: Re: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: Xing on October 03, 2016, 01:41:16 PM Looks like Colorado really is New New Mexico. Not really, CO would have been perfectly winnable with just about any other Republican candidate. If Hillary's winning by this margin, I tend to doubt that another Republican would have an easy time here. Title: Re: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: Beefalow and the Consumer on October 03, 2016, 01:54:52 PM Looks like Colorado really is New New Mexico. Not really, CO would have been perfectly winnable with just about any other Republican candidate. I honestly have no clue why Trump had been polling within 5% of Hillary in the first place. Everything about that state looks like a disaster for him. The GOP base consists of: 1. Educated, wealthy elites. 2. The religious right. 3. The military establishment. All I can think is that Hillary Clinton's unpopularity with both the right and the left (which is basically a transplanted Cascadia) drove voters towards either considering staying home, voting Johnson, or holding their nose and voting Trump. The right-wing intelligentsia (pro-establishment, pro-globalism, neo-con) has to be the weakest part of the Republican coalition for Trump. It looks like the state is finally drifting back to what I would expect from them given the fundamentals. Title: Re: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: ProudModerate2 on October 03, 2016, 02:11:49 PM Wowza !
Excellent number. Very nice lead in Colorado. 8-) Title: Re: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: mark_twain on October 03, 2016, 02:15:43 PM Great poll!
Title: Re: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck on October 03, 2016, 02:19:01 PM Sweet sassy mollassy... WELL SAID!!! Great poll! Monmouth confirmed! Title: Re: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: Landslide Lyndon on October 03, 2016, 02:20:50 PM Magnificent poll!
Trump is as bad a fit for Colorado as Jennifer Lopez was for Ben Affleck. Title: Re: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: heatcharger on October 03, 2016, 02:47:59 PM Yeah, that CNN poll with Trump leading by 1 was a total joke.
Title: Re: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: Tender Branson on October 03, 2016, 02:57:23 PM Yeah, that CNN poll with Trump leading by 1 was a total joke. Nah, because polls always reflect voter sentiment at a given time. It could have been the Hillary pneumonia and the deplorables thing. Or ad spending by Trump, which pushed him to a tie a few weeks ago. That doesn't mean the poll was wrong at that given time. Other polls showed a close race too. But the debate brought back the educated voters into the Clinton camp it seems. Title: Re: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: heatcharger on October 03, 2016, 03:05:51 PM Yeah, that CNN poll with Trump leading by 1 was a total joke. Nah, because polls always reflect voter sentiment at a given time. It could have been the Hillary pneumonia and the deplorables thing. Or ad spending by Trump, which pushed him to a tie a few weeks ago. That doesn't mean the poll was wrong at that given time. Other polls showed a close race too. But the debate brought back the educated voters into the Clinton camp it seems. The deplorables thing did absolutely nothing so let's dispel with that fiction. Is it realistic to say she was sliding at the time? Yes. But I don't buy the idea that voters are actually that elastic. Hillary's campaign internals suggested CO was still in the blue wall, while that CNN poll was maybe 6-8 points too Trump-friendly. That's kind of ridiculous. Title: Re: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it. on October 03, 2016, 03:16:42 PM Buhhhh I was told Trump had CO in the bag!
Title: Re: Keating Research: Clinton +11 in CO Post by: BlueSwan on October 04, 2016, 01:27:31 PM Magnificent poll! Trump is as bad a fit for Colorado as Jennifer Lopez was for Ben Affleck. |