Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: amdcpus on October 03, 2016, 05:39:00 PM



Title: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: amdcpus on October 03, 2016, 05:39:00 PM
https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/10/03/yougoveconomist-poll-october-1-3-2016/

YouGov Weekly Tracking Poll:

Clinton 43 (-1)
Trump 40 (-1)
Johnson 5 (-)
Stein 3 (+1)


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: Frozen Sky Ever Why on October 03, 2016, 05:39:53 PM
Trump is going to win this. The undecideds are going to break heavily for him. Garbage country.


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: Maxwell on October 03, 2016, 05:41:01 PM
Trump is going to win this. The undecideds are going to break heavily for him. Garbage country.

There's no evidence of this. If anything, the mass amount of voter registrations in favor of the Dems show the Silent Hilllary effect.


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: GeorgiaModerate on October 03, 2016, 05:41:28 PM
Trump is going to win this. The undecideds are going to break heavily for him. Garbage country.

And your evidence for this is....?


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: Ebsy on October 03, 2016, 05:42:07 PM
YouGov has had near 0 variation the entire cycle.


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: Frozen Sky Ever Why on October 03, 2016, 05:44:04 PM
Trump is going to win this. The undecideds are going to break heavily for him. Garbage country.

There's no evidence of this. If anything, the mass amount of voter registrations in favor of the Dems show the Silent Hilllary effect.

Why is Hillary not polling at least above 45%? This is ridiculous. Even the state polls all have her leads around the mid-40s.


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 03, 2016, 05:47:25 PM
YouGov has had near 0 variation the entire cycle.

I think YouGov's national poll is the same panel of people the whole year.


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 03, 2016, 05:47:57 PM
Trump is going to win this. The undecideds are going to break heavily for him. Garbage country.

There's no evidence of this. If anything, the mass amount of voter registrations in favor of the Dems show the Silent Hilllary effect.

Why is Hillary not polling at least above 45%? This is ridiculous. Even the state polls all have her leads around the mid-40s.

No evidence, the third-parties are being over-egged and poll after poll is showing the undecideds have a Dem/Obama-voting lean.

Calm the f*** down.


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: Frozen Sky Ever Why on October 03, 2016, 05:48:00 PM
YouGov has had near 0 variation the entire cycle.

I think YouGov's national poll is the same panel of people the whole year.

Worthless poll then.


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: Maxwell on October 03, 2016, 05:51:04 PM
Trump is going to win this. The undecideds are going to break heavily for him. Garbage country.

There's no evidence of this. If anything, the mass amount of voter registrations in favor of the Dems show the Silent Hilllary effect.

Why is Hillary not polling at least above 45%? This is ridiculous. Even the state polls all have her leads around the mid-40s.

You could say the same for the Donald - Donald has maxed out at around 45% in National polls, while Clinton has hovered between 45% and closer to 50%.

The whole "muh ceilings" conversation is pretty stupid.


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: amdcpus on October 03, 2016, 05:54:11 PM
YouGov has had near 0 variation the entire cycle.

I think YouGov's national poll is the same panel of people the whole year.

Worthless poll then.

They aren't. They choose different people each time. I've been signed up for YouGov the whole election season and have only been polled 4 times by them the past 3 months.


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: Seriously? on October 03, 2016, 05:55:12 PM
YouGov has had near 0 variation the entire cycle.

I think YouGov's national poll is the same panel of people the whole year.

I don't think so. I believe they have thousands of people that opt-in to be surveyed by them, they choose a certain number of people from that list each week. 1,300 are generally surveyed.

I basically got an opt-in notice when I went on their website to look at the top lines, which I declined.

Quote
Respondents were selected from YouGov’s opt-in Internet panel using sample
matching. A random sample (stratified by gender, age, race, education,
and region) was selected from the 2014 American Community Study. Voter
registration was imputed from the November 2014 Current Population Survey
Registration and Voting Supplement.


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: dspNY on October 03, 2016, 05:55:44 PM
The head to head is Clinton 48, Trump 43


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: NOVA Green on October 03, 2016, 06:53:10 PM
Wishing we could have a few more subthreads on this thread to make it easier to separate national "tracker polls" from "national polls" from "state polls" and "internal polls"....   :(

Probably too much since although our mod team does a great job, there's just too much going on in a GE year, and too few volunteers, to be able to effectively police all of these threads/subthreads/ etc....



Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 03, 2016, 06:55:33 PM
Wishing we could have a few more subthreads on this thread to make it easier to separate national "tracker polls" from "national polls" from "state polls" and "internal polls"....   :(

That would be a great idea, yeah.


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: Prince of Salem on October 03, 2016, 09:51:40 PM
Wishing we could have a few more subthreads on this thread to make it easier to separate national "tracker polls" from "national polls" from "state polls" and "internal polls"....   :(

That would be a great idea, yeah.


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: Ebsy on October 06, 2016, 09:56:03 PM
I wonder why the OP didn't post that she is ahead by 5 in the head to head, 48-43, up one.


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: StatesPoll on October 06, 2016, 10:37:21 PM

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/82ukqyqyn7/econTabReport.pdf

Page 11

Total 1055 LV

Democrat 415 LV = 39.33% | Republican 255 LV = 24.17% | Independent 385 LV = 36.49%
D +15% Samples.

And, Red Avatars are complaining of this Poll results?

()


Title: Re: YouGov National Poll: Clinton +3
Post by: Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck on October 06, 2016, 10:41:24 PM
I wonder why the OP didn't post that she is ahead by 5 in the head to head, 48-43, up one.

SweatingLikeADog.gif