Title: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6
Post by: amdcpus on October 04, 2016, 05:35:29 AM
http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/data-points/poll-hillary-clinton-holds-national-lead-over-donald-trump-n658721
Clinton 46
Trump 40
Johnson 9
Stein 3
Clinton 50
Trump 44
Clinton 46
Trump 40
Johnson 9
Stein 3
Clinton 50
Trump 44
Title: Re: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6
Post by: Gustaf on October 04, 2016, 05:49:39 AM
Well well. It's coming together.
Title: Re: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6
Post by: mark_twain on October 04, 2016, 06:19:21 AM
Great poll!
Go Clinton!
Title: Re: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6
Post by: Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck on October 04, 2016, 06:25:56 AM
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That's fatal, Donald. Buh bye.
That's fatal, Donald. Buh bye.
Title: Re: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6
Post by: Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck on October 04, 2016, 06:29:05 AM
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WOW! Would not have guessed the gap would be this large.
WOW! Would not have guessed the gap would be this large.
Title: Re: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6
Post by: dspNY on October 04, 2016, 06:41:01 AM
The crosstabs of married and unmarried men and women suggest a much larger lead than 6 points. Clinton is winning married women by 8, unmarried women by 49! and unmarried men by 23! In the 2012 exit poll, Romney won men by 7 and lost women by 11 to lose the election by 4 points. If Trump wins men by 9 and loses women by 18 he will lose by 9-10 points
Title: Re: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6
Post by: Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck on October 04, 2016, 06:46:36 AM
Not to toot the ol' horn, folks, but this mid-single digits lead, combined with Trump's complete lack of ground game and GOTV effort, and 3rd party candidates that are only going to continue to bleed support as Election Day draws near... my 52-43 Clinton prediction is looking MIGHTY good right now. Which would probably give us this map;
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Title: Re: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6
Post by: Gustaf on October 04, 2016, 07:05:52 AM
The crosstabs of married and unmarried men and women suggest a much larger lead than 6 points. Clinton is winning married women by 8, unmarried women by 49! and unmarried men by 23! In the 2012 exit poll, Romney won men by 7 and lost women by 11 to lose the election by 4 points. If Trump wins men by 9 and loses women by 18 he will lose by 9-10 points
No, with the same gender turnout as last time this implies a Clinton lead of about 5.3%.
Title: Re: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6
Post by: Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ on October 04, 2016, 07:14:34 AM
Well,we tried our best folks, but we knew America just wasn't ready to be made great again. Truly a sad (not 'Sad!'), sad day even though we all saw it coming. RIP to a land that I loved. :'( :'( :'(
Title: Re: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6
Post by: BlueSwan on October 04, 2016, 07:20:11 AM
Freedom poll!
Title: Re: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6
Post by: dspNY on October 04, 2016, 07:45:23 AM
The crosstabs of married and unmarried men and women suggest a much larger lead than 6 points. Clinton is winning married women by 8, unmarried women by 49! and unmarried men by 23! In the 2012 exit poll, Romney won men by 7 and lost women by 11 to lose the election by 4 points. If Trump wins men by 9 and loses women by 18 he will lose by 9-10 points
No, with the same gender turnout as last time this implies a Clinton lead of about 5.3%.
You're right! I was overestimating the # of women in the poll
Title: Re: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6
Post by: Seriously? on October 04, 2016, 08:45:08 AM
Well well. It's coming together.
Last poll was +5 (4-way), +7 (2-way). This poll was +6/+6.
Title: Re: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6
Post by: Gustaf on October 04, 2016, 08:54:59 AM
Well well. It's coming together.
Las poll was +5 (4-way), +7 (2-way). This poll was +6/+6.
By "coming together" I mean the opposite of your 2014 predictions who aren't even coming forward.
Title: Re: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6
Post by: ProudModerate2 on October 04, 2016, 01:03:26 PM
Nice.
A comfortable lead.
A comfortable lead.