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Election Archive => 2016 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Gass3268 on October 04, 2016, 10:23:02 am



Title: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: Gass3268 on October 04, 2016, 10:23:02 am
Duckworth 48%
Kirk 34%
McMillen (L) 3%
Summers (G) 2%

Duckworth is beating Kirk by 20 points in Subirban Chicago, ouch!

Source (http://paulsimoninstitute.siu.edu/_common/documents/opinion-polling/simon-institute-poll/2016/oct-3-psppi-simon-poll-clinton-leads-trump.pdf)


Title: Re: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: For Trump everything, for immigrants the law on October 04, 2016, 10:26:45 am
I doubt Hillary will beat Trump by 25, so this is probably somewhat Democratic-friendly, but I have a hard time seeing Kirk winning, at this point. Likely D.


Title: Re: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: Gass3268 on October 04, 2016, 10:28:18 am
I look forward to the Blanching!


Title: Re: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: heatcharger on October 04, 2016, 10:29:11 am
Looks like Kirk's gonna get Santorum'd.


Title: Re: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 04, 2016, 10:31:46 am
Bye-bye. Better to have a real Democrat holding this seat than Democrat-lite like Kirk.


Title: Re: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: Secret Cavern Survivor on October 04, 2016, 10:38:16 am
DOMINATING!


Title: Re: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: RINO Tom on October 04, 2016, 12:33:10 pm
Bye-bye. Better to have a real Democrat holding this seat than Democrat-lite like Kirk.

Maybe not in Tennersee, but in the rest of the country, there are issues besides UHBORTION!  Kirk is not "Democrat-lite," and to say so suggests an extreme ignorance of his policies.


Title: Re: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 04, 2016, 12:35:58 pm
Bye-bye. Better to have a real Democrat holding this seat than Democrat-lite like Kirk.

Maybe not in Tennersee, but in the rest of the country, there are issues besides UHBORTION!  Kirk is not "Democrat-lite," and to say so suggests an extreme ignorance of his policies.

I knew you were going to reply to this, haha. Anyway, he's still clearly the least conservative of all the Republican Senators up for reelection this year, so it makes sense to triage him and focus on winnable races like PA and NV.


Title: Re: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: Heisenberg on October 04, 2016, 12:39:00 pm
Bye-bye. Better to have a real Democrat holding this seat than Democrat-lite like Kirk.

Maybe not in Tennersee, but in the rest of the country, there are issues besides UHBORTION!  Kirk is not "Democrat-lite," and to say so suggests an extreme ignorance of his policies.

I knew you were going to reply to this, haha. Anyway, he's still clearly the least conservative of all the Republican Senators up for reelection this year, so it makes sense to triage him and focus on winnable races like PA and NV.
I hear the NRSC is at least putting their feet back in the water here, ugh. These new polls show that while Kirk will overperform Trump, he won't win. Time to traige this, WI, and NH, and go all in on the winnable races.


Title: Re: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: Nyvin on October 04, 2016, 02:20:05 pm
FINALLY we have a poll in this state!    Geez, what took so long?

I expected this to be a double digit lead for Duckworth, even though some right wing posters here seem to have a fantasy of Kirk winning this race.


Title: Re: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 04, 2016, 02:21:44 pm
I expected this to be a double digit lead for Duckworth, even though some right wing posters here seem to have a fantasy of Kirk winning this race.

Just like you have the fantasy of Murphy, Strickland and Kirkpatrick winning. Bad!


Title: Re: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: Chief Justice windjammer on October 04, 2016, 03:04:49 pm
For the record, I think this poll is trash.


Title: Re: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: RINO Tom on October 04, 2016, 07:13:56 pm
Bye-bye. Better to have a real Democrat holding this seat than Democrat-lite like Kirk.

Maybe not in Tennersee, but in the rest of the country, there are issues besides UHBORTION!  Kirk is not "Democrat-lite," and to say so suggests an extreme ignorance of his policies.

I knew you were going to reply to this, haha. Anyway, he's still clearly the least conservative of all the Republican Senators up for reelection this year, so it makes sense to triage him and focus on winnable races like PA and NV.

I mean, why wouldn't I?  A solid Republican like Kirk being called names by someone who's not in our party?  Needs called out.

Anyway, the GOP shouldn't be as stupid as the Democrats were by giving up on states where the cultural attitude differs from their base.  You can't run a granola type in Arkansas, and you can't run a Bible Thumper in Illinois; you HAVE to tailor your candidate to the region.  The more culturally diverse the GOP is (uniting behind actual POLICY issues, like Republicans from all areas of the US supporting tax cuts and lowering spending), the stronger it will be.


Title: Re: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: Kingpoleon on October 04, 2016, 09:15:43 pm
Bye-bye. Better to have a real Democrat holding this seat than Democrat-lite like Kirk.

Maybe not in Tennersee, but in the rest of the country, there are issues besides UHBORTION!  Kirk is not "Democrat-lite," and to say so suggests an extreme ignorance of his policies.

I knew you were going to reply to this, haha. Anyway, he's still clearly the least conservative of all the Republican Senators up for reelection this year, so it makes sense to triage him and focus on winnable races like PA and NV.

That depends upon your definition of conservatism.


Title: Re: SIU - IL: Duckworth +14
Post by: DavidB. on October 05, 2016, 08:00:40 am
I hear the NRSC is at least putting their feet back in the water here, ugh. These new polls show that while Kirk will overperform Trump, he won't win. Time to traige this, WI, and NH, and go all in on the winnable races.
Exactly, a waste of money. Invest more in FL, NC, PA, NV instead.