Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: heatcharger on October 12, 2016, 03:02:51 PM



Title: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: heatcharger on October 12, 2016, 03:02:51 PM
Link (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NV_101216.pdf).

Cortez-Masto - 43%
Heck - 39%


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: Bojack Horseman on October 12, 2016, 03:04:43 PM
Hello Senate majority.


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: Blair on October 12, 2016, 03:09:13 PM


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: ursulahx on October 12, 2016, 03:13:10 PM
Poll done for CCM's campaign, but good to see nevertheless.


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: Kingpoleon on October 12, 2016, 03:13:47 PM
Quote
80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel.

Internet polls are notoriously unreliable. This is also a CCM internal, so...


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: Vosem on October 12, 2016, 03:17:14 PM
This was predictable.


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: The world will shine with light in our nightmare on October 12, 2016, 03:20:43 PM
You're welcome, Atlas.

My meme magic knows no bounds.


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: Gass3268 on October 12, 2016, 03:22:04 PM
Quote
80% of participants, selected through a list based sample, responded via the phone, while 20% of respondents who did not have landlines conducted the survey over the internet through an opt-in internet panel.

Internet polls are notoriously unreliable. This is also a CCM internal, so...

This is how PPP does all there polls, internet polling has gotten much better recently too.


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: Ebsy on October 12, 2016, 03:23:37 PM
Wow!


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: Terry the Fat Shark on October 12, 2016, 03:28:06 PM
lol a literal internal


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: KingSweden on October 12, 2016, 03:36:39 PM
This has got to be the first positive poll for CCM in ages


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: Heisenberg on October 12, 2016, 03:44:30 PM
Way too many umdecideds, and Heck will likely outperform Trump by quite a bit, even if he loses.
Agree on all accounts, but I'm relieved that this is at least an internal.


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 12, 2016, 04:06:37 PM
This has got to be the first positive poll for CCM in ages

I'd even say it's the first genuinely good Senate poll for Democrats in quite a while.

When was it conducted?


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on October 12, 2016, 04:12:42 PM



Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: Xing on October 12, 2016, 05:03:11 PM
I guess unendorsing Trump hurt Heck, rather than helping him. If this is accurate, Heck's done. He needs to overperform Trump by at least 6, though given the past week, probably more than that.


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: Gass3268 on October 12, 2016, 05:45:41 PM

Democratic internal polls were better than much of the public polling in 2012.


Title: Re: NV-PPP: Cortez-Masto +4
Post by: mencken on October 12, 2016, 06:09:48 PM

Were these internals publicly released before the election, or revealed after the fact. I do not doubt that internals are generally more accurate than public polling, but I suspect that one tail of the bell curve is usually omitted in public releases of internals, which inherently biases publicly released internals.


Title: NV: Public Policy Polling: Cortez-Masto with Slight Lead in Nevada
Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 12, 2016, 07:52:32 PM
New Poll: Nevada Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2016-10-11 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=32320161011108)

Summary: D: 43%, R: 39%, U: 18%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NV_101216.pdf)