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Title: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: HillOfANight on October 14, 2016, 03:32:01 PM I was scrolling here and noticed these. Next week they'll have FL/GA/NC/VA.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/updates/ https://luc.id/2016/10/14/battleground-state-polls/ http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Battleground-Pennsylvania-Methodology.pdf http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Battleground-Indiana-Methodology.pdf http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Battleground-Ohio-Methodology.pdf http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Battleground-Iowa-Methodology.pdf Ohio Clinton 44 Trump 39 Johnson 7 Iowa Clinton 42 Trump 36 Johnson 10 Pennsylvania Clinton 45 Trump 39 Johnson 7 Indiana Clinton 36 Trump 45 Johnson 10 Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 14, 2016, 03:34:31 PM Underwhelming in PA, otherwise seems about right.
Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: dspNY on October 14, 2016, 03:35:47 PM Underwhelming in PA, otherwise seems about right. Probably too low in PA, too high in IA Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck on October 14, 2016, 03:37:09 PM Stick to the national tracker, Lucky Pickle Polling. No way is the margin the same in PA and OH. OH doesn't have the high energy Philadelphia area.
Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: Southern Delegate matthew27 on October 14, 2016, 03:37:41 PM Overall a good poll. A little low in PA.
Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: Skye on October 14, 2016, 03:40:28 PM Underwhelming in PA, otherwise seems about right. Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: Xing on October 14, 2016, 03:41:30 PM Seems a bit Trump friendly in IN/PA, a bit Clinton friendly in IA.
Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 14, 2016, 03:42:16 PM Underwhelming in PA, otherwise seems about right. It's +6, and it's certainly consistent with her being at +7/8 nationwide. Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: Skye on October 14, 2016, 03:45:31 PM Underwhelming in PA, otherwise seems about right. It's +6, and it's certainly consistent with her being at +7/8 nationwide. Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: mark_twain on October 14, 2016, 03:52:54 PM I'll take it! Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: ProudModerate2 on October 14, 2016, 05:05:28 PM Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: Xing on October 14, 2016, 05:07:05 PM "A bit" Clinton friendly in IA? lol If she's up by 7 nationally, she's probably ahead in Iowa. Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: Bismarck on October 14, 2016, 05:14:19 PM Trump +10 seems more likely than the Monmouth poll that has us as a tossup.
Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: GeorgiaModerate on October 14, 2016, 05:18:49 PM Trump +10 seems more likely than the Monmouth poll that has us as a tossup. The Monmouth poll was Trump +4. Average them (what a concept :) ) and it's +7, which sounds reasonable. Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: RR1997 on October 14, 2016, 07:30:39 PM I told you guys "angry sexist Indiana men" is a real phenomenon. Donald Trump is ahead by 10 points in Indiana despite the fact that he is so far behind nationwide. Amazing!
Indiana is Arkansas 2.0. Indiana is a safe R state. Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: Gass3268 on October 14, 2016, 07:34:49 PM Trump +10 seems more likely than the Monmouth poll that has us as a tossup. Monmouth is closer to WTHR/HPI poll. Title: Re: OH/IA/PA/IN Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +~5 in OH/IA/PA, Trump +10 in IN Post by: pbrower2a on October 14, 2016, 09:21:34 PM Donald Trump may have suddenly made Iowa a bad match for him. He may have been making many states bad matches for him.
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