Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: Gass3268 on October 17, 2016, 11:23:16 AM



Title: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Gass3268 on October 17, 2016, 11:23:16 AM
Cortez Masto 52
Heck 45

Burr 48
Ross 47

Portman 56
Strickland 40

Source (http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/17/politics/battleground-polls-2016-elections/index.html?sr=twCNN101716battleground-polls-2016-elections0415PMVODtopLink&linkId=30029050)


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Gass3268 on October 17, 2016, 11:24:37 AM
Anyone still think that Nevada is a toss up?


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Skye on October 17, 2016, 11:31:04 AM
Jesus, how can Heck be underperforming Trump by that much?


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Xing on October 17, 2016, 11:32:07 AM
Heck is underperforming Trump by 5? Geez, unendorsing him must have really hurt his chances. NC is definitely a toss-up.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 17, 2016, 11:33:38 AM
Wow! What's going on in Nevada? Whatever it is, it's fantastic!

And we should definitely put more resources into NC. Our chances there are good.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Gass3268 on October 17, 2016, 11:51:09 AM
Wow! What's going on in Nevada? Whatever it is, it's fantastic!

And we should definitely put more resources into NC. Our chances there are good.

Heck shot himself in the foot when he unendorsed Trump.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: RogueBeaver on October 17, 2016, 11:53:36 AM
No surprise in NV.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Figueira on October 17, 2016, 12:08:46 PM
What the Cortez-Masto?


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: 100% pro-life no matter what on October 17, 2016, 12:31:47 PM
I guess the unendorsement is really hurting Heck?


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Ebsy on October 17, 2016, 12:32:40 PM
Wow, was not expecting CCM to be up by 7.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: heatcharger on October 17, 2016, 12:35:07 PM
I'd like to think CCM is up 7, but CNN polls are garbage. She's on track to win though, that's for sure.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on October 17, 2016, 12:39:31 PM
Congratulations, Reid Machine


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: DavidB. on October 17, 2016, 12:44:14 PM
Cortez Masto +7? This song (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WkZ5e94QnWk) describes my ideas about that. Very sad, Heck was one of my favorite candidates. This race is now definitely lean D.

Anyway, good to see meowmeowgate didn't hurt Burr too much.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on October 17, 2016, 12:52:13 PM
If they cannot win NV, republicans need 4 of IN, PA, NH, MO, and NC to keep the senate, assuming they do not pull off an upset in WI. Though I do question how much a 50-50 "Manchin Majority" would be worth it to dems (which would happen if R's get 3 of those 5 seats).


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: windjammer on October 17, 2016, 12:54:49 PM
I'd like to think CCM is up 7, but CNN polls are garbage. She's on track to win though, that's for sure.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: DavidB. on October 17, 2016, 12:55:39 PM
If they cannot win NV, republicans need 4 of IN, PA, NH, MO, and NC to keep the senate, assuming they do not pull off an upset in WI. Though I do question how much a 50-50 "Manchin Majority" would be worth it to dems (which would happen if R's get 3 of those 5 seats).
They're not going to keep the Senate, which has been evident for months, and everyone who thinks they will is deluded.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on October 17, 2016, 12:57:38 PM
If they cannot win NV, republicans need 4 of IN, PA, NH, MO, and NC to keep the senate, assuming they do not pull off an upset in WI. Though I do question how much a 50-50 "Manchin Majority" would be worth it to dems (which would happen if R's get 3 of those 5 seats).
They're not going to keep the Senate, which has been evident for months, and everyone who thinks they will is deluded.

If they can claw back in NV or WI, it looks like they can do it, but they do need to make that happen somehow, It looks pretty likely that one of PA, IN, and NH goes R, which is probably enough if they have NV or WI, the problem is getting two of those to go R, which is what is needed if they don't have NV or WI. Ultimately I think MO/NC stay R narrowly.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Gass3268 on October 17, 2016, 01:17:06 PM
If they cannot win NV, republicans need 4 of IN, PA, NH, MO, and NC to keep the senate, assuming they do not pull off an upset in WI. Though I do question how much a 50-50 "Manchin Majority" would be worth it to dems (which would happen if R's get 3 of those 5 seats).

"Manchin Majority" still means we get a liberal judiciary for a generation or two.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: windjammer on October 17, 2016, 01:23:38 PM
Hopefully they will poll Arizona, truly curious about the potentialités backlash.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: MASHED POTATOES. VOTE! on October 17, 2016, 01:26:53 PM
RIP Strickland


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Blackacre on October 17, 2016, 02:06:14 PM

The Ohio part wasn't to survey the state of the race, it was to prove to everyone that the rest of the poll's findings are legit.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Heisenberg on October 17, 2016, 02:15:47 PM
Well, NV is the state that almost elected despicable Shelley Berkley to the Senate. Looks like the state is probably gone for Republicans, although Heller will likely win in 2018.

Regarding NC: I have a gut feeling that Burr will win in the end, but it's a Tossup.
Nevada is going the way of New Mexico. :( Looks like un endorsing Trump backfired. Ugh. NC/MO/PA/IN/WI is the way to go forward, I guess.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: DavidB. on October 17, 2016, 02:22:59 PM
Well, NV is the state that almost elected despicable Shelley Berkley to the Senate. Looks like the state is probably gone for Republicans, although Heller will likely win in 2018.

Regarding NC: I have a gut feeling that Burr will win in the end, but it's a Tossup.
Nevada is going the way of New Mexico. :( Looks like un endorsing Trump backfired. Ugh. NC/MO/PA/IN/WI is the way to go forward, I guess.
NV is probably still more winnable than WI. Though as much as I hate it, Heck should probably reconcile with Trump for that to happen.


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Blackacre on October 17, 2016, 02:25:14 PM
Well, NV is the state that almost elected despicable Shelley Berkley to the Senate. Looks like the state is probably gone for Republicans, although Heller will likely win in 2018.

Regarding NC: I have a gut feeling that Burr will win in the end, but it's a Tossup.
Nevada is going the way of New Mexico. :( Looks like un endorsing Trump backfired. Ugh. NC/MO/PA/IN/WI is the way to go forward, I guess.

In fairness, the NM-GOP lacks one thing the Nevada-GOP has: The S-Bomb. A weapon that, when used effectively, devastates the state's Democratic party in one statewide race.

Of course, the S stands for Sandoval ;)


Title: Re: CNN: Cortez Masto +7 / Burr +1 / Portman +16
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 17, 2016, 03:55:41 PM
Wow! What's going on in Nevada? Whatever it is, it's fantastic!

And we should definitely put more resources into NC. Our chances there are good.

Heck shot himself in the foot when he unendorsed Trump.

That bothers me a lot, to be honest. Of course I want Democrats to win no matter what, but it sends a very dangerous message for the GOP going forward. Ideally it's the candidates who refused to unendorse who should suffer more.


Title: OH: CNN/ORC: Portman with Strong Lead in Ohio
Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 17, 2016, 09:17:37 PM
New Poll: Ohio Senator by CNN/ORC on 2016-10-15 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=39320161015219)

Summary: D: 40%, R: 56%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/10/17/link.3..pdf)


Title: NV: CNN/ORC: Cortez-Masto Has Lead in Nevada
Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 17, 2016, 09:19:13 PM
New Poll: Nevada Senator by CNN/ORC on 2016-10-15 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=32320161015219)

Summary: D: 52%, R: 45%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/10/17/link.2..pdf)


Title: NC: CNN/ORC: Close Senate Race in North Carolina
Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 17, 2016, 09:51:07 PM
New Poll: North Carolina Senator by CNN/ORC on 2016-10-15 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=37320161015219)

Summary: D: 47%, R: 48%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/10/17/link.1..pdf)