Atlas Forum

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: HillOfANight on October 17, 2016, 02:20:43 pm



Title: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: HillOfANight on October 17, 2016, 02:20:43 pm
http://www.azhighground.com/blog/post/latest-poll-shows-arizona-is-officially-a-battleground-state
https://www.scribd.com/document/327920049/HG-Survey-Toplines-10-14

Clinton 39
Trump 37
Johnson 8
Stein 3
Someone else 5
Undecided 7
Refused 3

Maricopa County
Clinton +5 (Romney +10)

Pima County
Clinton +24 (Obama +7)


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Arch on October 17, 2016, 02:26:45 pm
Wonderful news!


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Alcon on October 17, 2016, 02:27:03 pm
Republican firm, I believe


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Illiniwek on October 17, 2016, 02:27:53 pm
Oh man... 11/8/2016 may be a really fun night...


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: ApatheticAustrian on October 17, 2016, 02:29:23 pm
republican +10%

like some number crunchers said....the independents have decided.


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Lief 🐋 on October 17, 2016, 02:30:13 pm
Wow! McCain up by 10, but under 50... a late collapse here would be nice.


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Yank2133 on October 17, 2016, 02:30:37 pm
Welp.


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: BoAtlantis on October 17, 2016, 02:32:14 pm
Maricopa +5? Sounds too good to be true.


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: mark_twain on October 17, 2016, 02:32:34 pm
Great poll!


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Gass3268 on October 17, 2016, 02:32:54 pm
Clinton up 5 in Maricopa!!


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Ronnie on October 17, 2016, 02:33:35 pm
Maricopa +5? Sounds too good to be true.

Plus, the county is consistently more Republican than the statewide average.  If she's leading in Maricopa by 5, then she'd probably be leading by 7 or so statewide.


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Holmes on October 17, 2016, 02:35:10 pm
Clinton +5 in Maricopa and +27 in Pima seems like it should be larger than +2 statewide?


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Chaddyr23 on October 17, 2016, 02:35:38 pm
This close to the election and it's 38.5 to 36.5?! In the words of Trump, we need to stop this until we figure out what the hell is going on! haha


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Fargobison on October 17, 2016, 02:37:02 pm
Somebody might want to break the news about this new poll to Donnie...

Quote
Donald J. TrumpVerified account
‏@realDonaldTrump
New polls are good because the media has deceived the public by putting women front and center with made-up stories and lies, and got caught

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/788100107220709376


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: HillOfANight on October 17, 2016, 02:39:47 pm
Maricopa +5? Sounds too good to be true.

Plus, the county is consistently more Republican than the statewide average.  If she's leading in Maricopa by 5, then she'd probably be leading by 7 or so statewide.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_Arizona,_2012
I calculated the "rural" #s from here, excluding Pima/Maricopa. Obama got 41% and Romney got 57% (16 points).

The poll says he's up 22 among the rural parts... Rural is 24% of the vote.


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Interlocutor on October 17, 2016, 02:43:21 pm
Somebody might want to break the news about this new poll to Donnie...

Quote
Donald J. TrumpVerified account
‏@realDonaldTrump
New polls are good because the media has deceived the public by putting women front and center with made-up stories and lies, and got caught

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/788100107220709376

This is a guy who thought being up 5 in South Carolina was something to brag about. He'll probably think of it as a bump in the road


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: psychprofessor on October 17, 2016, 02:44:12 pm
Wow! McCain up by 10, but under 50... a late collapse here would be nice.

i want this to happen...we need some surprises on election night!


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Alcon on October 17, 2016, 02:44:22 pm
Somebody might want to break the news about this new poll to Donnie...

Quote
Donald J. TrumpVerified account
‏@realDonaldTrump
New polls are good because the media has deceived the public by putting women front and center with made-up stories and lies, and got caught

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/788100107220709376

I'll do that after I figure out wtf that sentence is


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: MasterJedi on October 17, 2016, 02:47:20 pm
Would love for have Trump lose AZ and have McCain have a blowout so he can hold that over the tiny handed freak.


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: BoAtlantis on October 17, 2016, 03:03:59 pm
Maricopa +5? Sounds too good to be true.

Plus, the county is consistently more Republican than the statewide average.  If she's leading in Maricopa by 5, then she'd probably be leading by 7 or so statewide.

I know. In order to reconcile Maricopa +5 with Clinton +2, Maricopa turnout would have to be insane.


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Ebsy on October 17, 2016, 03:04:58 pm
Tremendous!


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: ProudModerate2 on October 17, 2016, 03:20:01 pm
Nice !


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Baki on October 17, 2016, 03:26:47 pm
Good, GOOD!

Michelle Obama will be there, and not a moment too soon.


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Secret Cavern Survivor on October 17, 2016, 05:12:06 pm
Wow. She might actually win it. Though I'd like to see more polls from more reputable sources first.


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: The Unbearable Inevitability of Nevada going Democratic on October 17, 2016, 05:24:46 pm
Those third party/undecideds are definitely too high, but I'm loving #BattlegroundArizona. I'm going to guess that Hillary will narrowly win Arizona, knowing that I could be wrong. Sometimes, the kool aid is so sweet, it's worth risking ending up with egg on your face.


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: voter1993 on October 17, 2016, 05:46:48 pm
This poll is a joke lol


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: ReapSow on October 17, 2016, 05:54:05 pm
Somebody might want to break the news about this new poll to Donnie...

Quote
Donald J. TrumpVerified account
‏@realDonaldTrump
New polls are good because the media has deceived the public by putting women front and center with made-up stories and lies, and got caught

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/788100107220709376

He's a clown tit. He tweeted the CNN Ohio poll despite criticizing the polls and the Clinton News Network. And his supporters eat it up while dismissing all other polls. There's going to be a lot of eggs on a lot of deplorable faces come November 8th.


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Badger on October 18, 2016, 01:07:18 am
This poll is a joke lol

because........?


Title: Re: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2
Post by: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on October 18, 2016, 01:09:46 am
This poll is a joke lol

because........?

#reasons, duh