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Title: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: The Other Castro on October 18, 2016, 11:02:32 AM Florida
Rubio - 49% Murphy - 47% Ohio Portman - 54% Strickland - 41% Colorado Bennet - 56% Glenn - 38% Pennsylvania Toomey - 49% McGinty - 45% https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2389 Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Gass3268 on October 18, 2016, 11:09:43 AM That's a 4 point improvement for McGinty in PA, 2 point improvement for Murphy in FL, and a 4 point improvement for Portman in OH since the beginning of the month. 9 point improvement for Bennet in CO since the middle of September.
Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 18, 2016, 11:12:15 AM Yeah Quinnipiac has been one of the best polls for Toomey so that's not a terrible result for McGinty.
I really hope Rubio doesn't end up winning by 1-2% ugh Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Fargobison on October 18, 2016, 11:17:40 AM Yeah Quinnipiac has been one of the best polls for Toomey so that's not a terrible result for McGinty. I really hope Rubio doesn't end up winning by 1-2% ugh Rubio is going to win unless Trump does something to really upend the race. Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: 100% pro-life no matter what on October 18, 2016, 11:18:40 AM Toomey safer than Rubio?
Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on October 18, 2016, 11:20:29 AM It'll be interesting to see who is right on Florida - the public polls showing Rubio up 2-6 points, or the DSCC internals showing Murphy losing in a landslide.
Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Landslide Lyndon on October 18, 2016, 12:34:08 PM Can someone explain to me why Cillizza says that this poll confirms his opinion about how Colorado is a missed opportunity for Republicans?
Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 18, 2016, 12:57:52 PM Yeah Quinnipiac has been one of the best polls for Toomey so that's not a terrible result for McGinty. Maybe, but it's still bad. I fear this race is slipping away. Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Xing on October 18, 2016, 01:46:51 PM This is a four-point shift for McGinty, and it's been the case that polling for that race has been all over the place. It's definitely a toss-up. I want to believe that Florida is within reach, but I'm having a hard time not seeing Flawless Beautiful Marco <3 <3 <3 win relatively easily.
Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Gass3268 on October 18, 2016, 02:25:45 PM Yeah Quinnipiac has been one of the best polls for Toomey so that's not a terrible result for McGinty. Maybe, but it's still bad. I fear this race is slipping away. Gaining 4 points over the course of 2 weeks is slipping away? Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Heisenberg on October 18, 2016, 02:48:58 PM Yeah Quinnipiac has been one of the best polls for Toomey so that's not a terrible result for McGinty. Maybe, but it's still bad. I fear this race is slipping away. Gaining 4 points over the course of 2 weeks is slipping away? Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 18, 2016, 04:25:28 PM Yeah Quinnipiac has been one of the best polls for Toomey so that's not a terrible result for McGinty. Maybe, but it's still bad. I fear this race is slipping away. Gaining 4 points over the course of 2 weeks is slipping away? Exactly. And the fact that regression to the mean here apparently still results in a Toomey lead is more than a bit concerning. Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: BuckeyeNut on October 18, 2016, 04:36:47 PM Portman +13 is actually an improvement for Strickland...
Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Gass3268 on October 18, 2016, 05:29:06 PM Portman +13 is actually an improvement for Strickland... I have a feeling Portman will win in the high single digits. Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on October 18, 2016, 06:16:58 PM Yeah Quinnipiac has been one of the best polls for Toomey so that's not a terrible result for McGinty. Maybe, but it's still bad. I fear this race is slipping away. Gaining 4 points over the course of 2 weeks is slipping away? Exactly. And the fact that regression to the mean here apparently still results in a Toomey lead is more than a bit concerning. Talleyrand? Is that you? Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 18, 2016, 06:20:41 PM Yeah Quinnipiac has been one of the best polls for Toomey so that's not a terrible result for McGinty. Maybe, but it's still bad. I fear this race is slipping away. Gaining 4 points over the course of 2 weeks is slipping away? Exactly. And the fact that regression to the mean here apparently still results in a Toomey lead is more than a bit concerning. Talleyrand? Is that you? Thinking that a poll that has the Republican leading by 4 points in a critical State is bad news = being like Talleyrand? ??? Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on October 18, 2016, 06:25:05 PM Yeah Quinnipiac has been one of the best polls for Toomey so that's not a terrible result for McGinty. Maybe, but it's still bad. I fear this race is slipping away. Gaining 4 points over the course of 2 weeks is slipping away? Exactly. And the fact that regression to the mean here apparently still results in a Toomey lead is more than a bit concerning. Talleyrand? Is that you? Thinking that a poll that has the Republican leading by 4 points in a critical State is bad news = being like Talleyrand? ??? I was half-joking, but it's more the fact that getting all worried about a poll that has traditionally shown much better results for Toomey throughout the cycle in a race that leans Democratic (albeit only by a little bit) is kinda Talleyrandish :P Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 18, 2016, 06:57:22 PM Yeah Quinnipiac has been one of the best polls for Toomey so that's not a terrible result for McGinty. Maybe, but it's still bad. I fear this race is slipping away. Gaining 4 points over the course of 2 weeks is slipping away? Exactly. And the fact that regression to the mean here apparently still results in a Toomey lead is more than a bit concerning. Talleyrand? Is that you? Thinking that a poll that has the Republican leading by 4 points in a critical State is bad news = being like Talleyrand? ??? I was half-joking, but it's more the fact that getting all worried about a poll that has traditionally shown much better results for Toomey throughout the cycle in a race that leans Democratic (albeit only by a little bit) is kinda Talleyrandish :P I'm not sure what allows you to say it leans Democratic. Very few recent polls have seen McGinty ahead. Maybe there's something I'm missing, since 538 seems to agree with you, but I'd like to understand what it is. Title: Re: Quinnipiac-FL/OH/CO/PA: Rubio +2, Portman +13, Bennet +18, Toomey +4 Post by: DavidB. on October 18, 2016, 07:45:27 PM Weird poll. Toomey safer than Rubio? Color me skeptical. It means he'd be overperforming Trump by, like, 10?
Title: FL: Quinnipiac University: Close Senate Race in Florida Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 22, 2016, 11:01:26 AM New Poll: Florida Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2016-10-16 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=12320161016015)
Summary: D: 47%, R: 49%, I: 0%, U: 4% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://poll.qu.edu/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2389) Title: OH: Quinnipiac University: Portman Leads Strickland in Ohio Senate Race Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 22, 2016, 11:02:25 AM New Poll: Ohio Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2016-10-16 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=39320161016015)
Summary: D: 41%, R: 54%, I: 1%, U: 4% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://poll.qu.edu/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2389) Title: CO: Quinnipiac University: Bennett with Strong Lead in Colorado Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 22, 2016, 11:03:23 AM New Poll: Colorado Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2016-10-16 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=8320161016015)
Summary: D: 56%, R: 38%, I: 0%, U: 6% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://poll.qu.edu/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2389) Title: PA: Quinnipiac University: Toomey with Slight Lead in Pennsylvania Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 22, 2016, 11:04:08 AM New Poll: Pennsylvania Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2016-10-16 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=42320161016015)
Summary: D: 45%, R: 49%, I: 0%, U: 6% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://poll.qu.edu/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2389) |