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Title: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: HillOfANight on October 21, 2016, 10:49:29 AM http://landmarkcommunications.net/clinton-improves-slightly-after-final-debate-trump-47-clinton-43-johnson-5/
http://landmarkcommunications.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Landmark-Statewide-Poll-of-Georgia-10.21.16-2.pdf Trump 47 (48) Clinton 43 (42) Johnson 5 (4) White Trump 66 Clinton 25 Johnson 4 Black Trump 12 Clinton 78 Johnson 5 GOP Trump 82 Clinton 11 Johnson 3 Democrat Trump 10 Clinton 83 Johnson 4 Independent Trump 22 Clinton 57 Johnson 8 Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: SPQR on October 21, 2016, 10:51:14 AM Georgia is one new Trump videotape away from falling into Clinton's column.
Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: HillOfANight on October 21, 2016, 10:53:44 AM Doesn't look like this one will be a VA 2008 redux. He has a very tenuous lead here. The black crosstabs look wacky and he's not doing well enough with whites. Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: OneJ on October 21, 2016, 10:57:49 AM The margin is close, but there is absolutely no way Trump is getting 12% of "the blacks."
Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: Fargobison on October 21, 2016, 10:58:46 AM AZ is where it is at for HRC, she was wise to invest there.
Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: OneJ on October 21, 2016, 11:03:18 AM Yeah, I just don't think this one is going to happen for her anymore. Looks like black turnout won't quite match 2012. Don't give up hope. There is still a bit of time to go before we can say that officially say that states like OH, IA, and GA are gone completely. Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: HillOfANight on October 21, 2016, 11:03:55 AM Yeah, I just don't think this one is going to happen for her anymore. Looks like black turnout won't quite match 2012. Give it some time. The black vote has been ticking up per @ElectProject, and weekend voting starts tomorrow. Gwinnett and other counties greatly expand voting 10/29. http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/21/politics/early-voting-hillary-clinton-battleground-states/index.html Quote the African-American share of the early vote is slightly lower than it was at this point in 2012. But Hispanic and Asian voters have slightly boosted their share of the early electorate this year. Title: GA: Landmark Communications: Slight Lead for Trump in Georgia Post by: ElectionAtlas on October 21, 2016, 11:18:22 AM New Poll: Georgia President by Landmark Communications on 2016-10-20 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1320161020231)
Summary: D: 47%, R: 43%, U: 5% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://landmarkcommunications.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Landmark-Statewide-Poll-of-Georgia-10.21.16-2.pdf) Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: Roronoa D. Law on October 21, 2016, 11:24:24 AM I'll just post this again. Easiest scenario in which Hillary wins GA is looking realistic
Share D R 3rd Non Hispanic Whites (59%) 27% 70% 3% African Americas (30%) 92% 7% 1% Other Minorities (11%) 54% 46% 0% This gives Clinton a 1 point victory. Lets also remember that Indiana in 2008 was Republican on majority of predictions. Including 538. Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: ProudModerate2 on October 21, 2016, 11:30:35 AM AZ is where it is at for HRC, she was wise to invest there. Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: DavidB. on October 21, 2016, 12:27:13 PM This poll has been entered into the database incorrectly, should be R 47%, D 43% instead of the other way around.
Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: Speed of Sound on October 21, 2016, 12:30:00 PM This poll has been entered into the database incorrectly, should be R 47%, D 43% instead of the other way around. Good catch. Hopefully it can get fixed up soon. Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: Maxwell on October 21, 2016, 12:35:30 PM Doesn't look like this one will be a VA 2008 redux. perhaps it's like Montana 2008 or North Carolina 2012. Title: Re: GA: Landmark Communications: Slight Lead for Trump in Georgia Post by: On Fleek on October 21, 2016, 12:48:55 PM New Poll: Georgia President by Landmark Communications on 2016-10-20 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1320161020231) Summary: D: 47%, R: 43%, U: 5% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://landmarkcommunications.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Landmark-Statewide-Poll-of-Georgia-10.21.16-2.pdf) () Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: RI on October 21, 2016, 12:58:31 PM Dave entered a poll incorrectly?! I can't even edit it.
Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: Tender Branson on October 21, 2016, 12:58:46 PM The database entry is wrong.
Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: Tender Branson on October 21, 2016, 12:59:37 PM Dave entered a poll incorrectly?! I can't even edit it. I can't edit either (even though I can edit all other poll entries). It seems Dave has "special powers". Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: Speed of Sound on October 21, 2016, 01:00:24 PM Hey guys, has anyone happened to notice that the database entry is wr--
The database entry is wrong. Dave entered a poll incorrectly?! I can't even edit it. New Poll: Georgia President by Landmark Communications on 2016-10-20 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1320161020231) Summary: D: 47%, R: 43%, U: 5% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://landmarkcommunications.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Landmark-Statewide-Poll-of-Georgia-10.21.16-2.pdf) [Trump "wrong" .gif] This poll has been entered into the database incorrectly, should be R 47%, D 43% instead of the other way around. :P Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: Lachi on October 21, 2016, 03:31:04 PM People, stop being so pessimistic. This was a 1 day Robo poll, it's not exactly good. Just wait for a few days for the full effects of the debate to kick in.
Title: Re: GA-Landmark: Trump +4 Post by: Adam Griffin on October 21, 2016, 05:20:47 PM Way to get my hopes up. :'(
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