Talk Elections

Link. (http://www.flchamber.com/new-florida-chamber-of-commerce-statewide-poll-shows-presidential-race-leaning-toward-hillary-clinton-in-florida/)

Rubio - 51%
Murphy - 37%

Wait, this must be a DNC internal!  Only they could show him up by that much!

Yep, this looks like reality. In all likelihood, the only real question is if Rubio can win Miami-Dade County   - I think the answer is no, but it's going to be tight.

I think there are many people on this forum who have the Patrick Murphy deranged syndrom.

Rubio isn't leading by 14 points lol

This. I find the tied poll to be more realistic. What's funny is despite the senate numbers, Hillary is leading by the same margin in both polls.

The republican internals show Rubio leading by 3 points.

Flawless Beautiful Marco <3 <3 <3 is probably going to win, but not by this much, lol. I'll change my sig to a picture of him inside of a giant heart if he does.

If your best poll is a tie and your worst poll has you trailing by 14... you're probably not gonna win.

Look, I'm the first who would like to see FBM <3 go down in flames. I'd love to see that, but sadly it probably won't happen.

I am on my phone. But it is the article showing NV narrowly dem and PA, NH, IN narrowly rep incumbent. In the same article they were surprised by Rubii only leading by 3 points considering the dscc abandoned him.

I can find you this article tomorrow evening if you want.


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Did I say he was going to win?

Fair enough.

My guess is FBM <3 wins by 4-5 points, fwiw.

I think he's going to win too by low single digits. Trump needs to totally implode to make that happen, which is a possibility hehe

No way Rubio wins Miami-Dade while Trump loses it by like 30 points.

Also, why does the garbage editorializing of thread titles continue? Can't mods do something about the users that do it?

Rubio probably has a rock solid 3-4 point lead here, only some kind of Donnie nuclear meltdown can derail him.

I don't think Rubio will win by this much, but this poll is probably closer to the truth than some of the very close polls based on the behavior of the DSCC and the NRSC in this state.

I was being facetious about it because of Wulfric's title that didn't even state the margin.

Seems unlikely that Obama would go to Florida to campaign for Murphy if he's so far behind.

This must also be due to Marco Rubio's strong debate performance on October 17 when he slammed Murphy for his family's money transfers from partnership with Donald Trump, accused him of not only flip-flopping but also metamorphosing and reminded him that he gropped a woman at the tits on a picture posted on Facebook.

Maybe, but it also seems unlikely that the DSCC would have pulled out of the race if their numbers said it was winnable.

But seriously, Rubio is not winning by this kind of margin. The "anyone who isn't Katherine Harris and doesn't eat babies will get 45% in Florida" rule still stands, Rubio isn't a good enough politician to take natural Democratic votes and Murphy isn't bad enough to lose those votes.


I doubt it; the debate wasn't very publicized and not very watched. The reporting of it the next day in most of the big Florida papers didn't talk about a huge Rubio win; most of them seemed to say either both had won or that it was very close.

I think Rubio will probably win by around 4 points or so.

Quoted for posterity.
Not that I think it'll happen.