Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: The Other Castro on October 24, 2016, 12:16:45 PM



Title: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: The Other Castro on October 24, 2016, 12:16:45 PM
Florida
Clinton - 45%
Trump - 39%
Johnson - 6%
Stein - 2%

North Carolina
Clinton - 42%
Trump - 41%
Johnson - 8%
*Stein - 2% (Not on the ballot)

Georgia
Clinton - 44%
Trump - 40%
Johnson - 8%
Stein - 1%

Virginia
Clinton - 43%
Trump - 38%
Johnson - 9%
Stein - 3%

Polls of Likely Voters conducted over October 17-18.

http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Florida-Battleground-Results.pdf
http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/North-Carolina-Battleground-Results.pdf
http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Georgia-Battleground-Results.pdf
http://luc.id/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Virginia-Battleground-Results.pdf


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: Dr. Arch on October 24, 2016, 12:18:43 PM
Oh my goodness (!!)


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: windjammer on October 24, 2016, 12:18:49 PM
The results are all weird lol


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: Devout Centrist on October 24, 2016, 12:21:54 PM
Junk


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: Xing on October 24, 2016, 12:25:46 PM
I'm definitely not buying GA voting to the left of NC, and almost as far left as VA.


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: BlueSwan on October 24, 2016, 12:27:26 PM
I'll take it!


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: pbrower2a on October 24, 2016, 12:37:35 PM
Lethal to Trump if true.


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: Roronoa D. Law on October 24, 2016, 12:38:19 PM
I don't see how this poll is junk everything seems consistent with polling except GA. Still the demographics in GA is consistent with prediction. 2014 was 64% white this one shows 61%.


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: rafta_rafta on October 24, 2016, 12:47:22 PM
these numbers make no sense. At least the Georgia ones


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: TC 25 on October 24, 2016, 12:48:06 PM
Junk

Georgia and Virginia practically the same?   


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: Brittain33 on October 24, 2016, 12:52:09 PM
Bqhatevwr


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on October 24, 2016, 12:52:48 PM
What's that Lucid company?
Do they have any track record?


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: BlueSwan on October 24, 2016, 12:56:02 PM
Margin of error, folks. Just because the numbers look weird does not mean that the poll is junk. The Clinton lead in Georgia might be Trump +3 and it would still be within the margin of error. Likewise, the Virginia Clinton lead of only +5, might be +12 and still be within the margin of error.

So basically:

Florida: Somewhere between Trump +1 and Clinton +13
Virginia: Somewhere between Trump +2 and Clinton +12
Georgia: Somewhere between Trump +3 and Clinton +11
North Carolina: Somewhere between Trump +6 and Clinton +8


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: ProudModerate2 on October 24, 2016, 01:02:28 PM


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: Speed of Sound on October 24, 2016, 01:03:13 PM
As they say, add the numbers to the pile.


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: Eraserhead on October 24, 2016, 01:49:41 PM
Stein isn't on the ballot in Georgia either (although she can be written in).


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 24, 2016, 03:24:22 PM
This looks like junk.


Title: Re: FL/NC/GA/VA-Times-Picayune/Lucid: Clinton +6 in FL, +1 in NC, +4 in GA, +5 in VA
Post by: Lachi on October 24, 2016, 04:08:08 PM
Junk, it's pre-debate polling