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Title: Centre College National Poll: Clinton +5 (4-way), +7 (2-way) Post by: The Other Castro on October 24, 2016, 12:51:31 PM Clinton - 45%
Trump - 40% Johnson - 6% Stein - 1% Clinton - 49% Trump - 42% Poll of 569 Likely Voters (out of 710 Adult Americans interviewed) conducted over October 18-23. One thing to note is that Hawaii and Alaska were excluded, and that Party ID breaks down as: 31% Democrat, 31.4% Republican, 30.6% Independents, 6.1% no/other party. 46.5% Democrat/Independent-lean-Democrat, 47% Republicans/Independent-lean Republican. http://web.centre.edu/benjamin.knoll/2016FCSStopline.pdf Title: Re: Centre College National Poll: Clinton +5 Post by: windjammer on October 24, 2016, 12:52:21 PM It's 47-40 head to head
Title: Re: Centre College National Poll: Clinton +5 Post by: BundouYMB on October 24, 2016, 12:52:53 PM Even this junk poll that weights by party ID has Clinton dominating! GREAT HONOR!
Title: Re: Centre College National Poll: Clinton +5 (4-way), +7 (2-way) Post by: Landslide Lyndon on October 24, 2016, 12:53:24 PM Junk uni poll.
Title: Re: Centre College National Poll: Clinton +5 Post by: The Other Castro on October 24, 2016, 12:54:25 PM It's 47-40 head to head Where do you see that? I see 49-42. Title: Re: Centre College National Poll: Clinton +5 Post by: The Other Castro on October 24, 2016, 12:57:03 PM Even this junk poll that weights by party ID has Clinton dominating! GREAT HONOR! They said they weighted the entire sample for age and race. Party ID was offered. Title: Re: Centre College National Poll: Clinton +5 Post by: BundouYMB on October 24, 2016, 12:59:48 PM Even this junk poll that weights by party ID has Clinton dominating! GREAT HONOR! They said they weighted the entire sample for age and race. Party ID was offered. Wait, they got 31% Dem 31% Rep without weighting? Must be a junk sample then. Every other poll has had significant Dem advantage on self-identified party ID. Title: Re: Centre College National Poll: Clinton +5 (4-way), +7 (2-way) Post by: BoAtlantis on October 24, 2016, 01:04:38 PM "All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was
weighted to reflect national Census figures for age and race. " I assume they didn't weigh by education and gender? Title: Re: Centre College National Poll: Clinton +5 (4-way), +7 (2-way) Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on October 24, 2016, 01:06:37 PM LOL, even a poll skewed for Trump shows him behind. (Centre College is in Kentucky, so they obviously want Trump to win.)
Title: Re: Centre College National Poll: Clinton +5 (4-way), +7 (2-way) Post by: Person Man on October 24, 2016, 01:09:29 PM So if more Republicans vote than Democrats (for the first time since the Depression), Trump will probably still lose.
Title: Re: Centre College National Poll: Clinton +5 (4-way), +7 (2-way) Post by: Mr. Morden on October 24, 2016, 01:19:11 PM Dems
Clinton 83% Trump 6% Johnson 5% GOP Trump 74% Clinton 8% Johnson 8% men: Trump +6 women: Clinton +17 whites: Trump +14 non-white: Clinton +55 under 50: Clinton +11 over 50: Trump +3 Title: Re: Centre College National Poll: Clinton +5 (4-way), +7 (2-way) Post by: Devout Centrist on October 24, 2016, 01:23:56 PM No way Trump is down only seven with those internals.
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