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Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: ApatheticAustrian on October 25, 2016, 07:05:06 am



Title: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: ApatheticAustrian on October 25, 2016, 07:05:06 am
Pres: 46 - 39
Senate:  Ross +1
Gov:  Cooper +6
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/10/25/upshot/north-carolina-poll.html?_r=0


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7
Post by: Edgar Suit Larry on October 25, 2016, 07:05:25 am
It gone.


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7
Post by: Gass3268 on October 25, 2016, 07:08:11 am
White Voters:

53% Trump
32% Clinton

Black Voters:

88% Clinton
2% Trump

Early Voters:

61% Clinton
36% Trump

That early voter number is very close to what PPP had.


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: ApatheticAustrian on October 25, 2016, 07:10:30 am
if those number are too high....the senate is going to be a real nailbiter.


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: psychprofessor on October 25, 2016, 07:13:45 am
these are live interviews based on voter reg data - that's why high quality pollsters are showing high single digit and low double digit national leads


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Castro on October 25, 2016, 07:14:58 am
Wow, it's also +8 in the 2-way. They had this as Tie/C+2 back in mid-September.


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Eraserhead on October 25, 2016, 07:18:25 am
North Carolina must have had the most polls of any state this election.


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Castro on October 25, 2016, 07:19:13 am
Jonathan Martin from NYT says this mirrors private GOP polling.


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Castro on October 25, 2016, 07:20:10 am
(
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Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: HokeyDood on October 25, 2016, 07:20:25 am
WOWIE!  GREAT POLL!  

Has North Carolina joined Das Freiwall?  


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Castro on October 25, 2016, 07:25:26 am
WOWIE!  GREAT POLL!  

Has North Carolina joined Das Freiwall?  


Die Firewall erweitert sich!

()


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: BoAtlantis on October 25, 2016, 07:29:28 am
Makes me feel better about NC.

What I like about Siena/NYT is that they use voter's registration file and look at their voting history, and also use voter's intention to predict the chance of likelihood.


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Lief 🐋 on October 25, 2016, 07:40:49 am
My god.


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: ReapSow on October 25, 2016, 07:44:07 am
This is trending HARD on Twitter!


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Gass3268 on October 25, 2016, 07:48:19 am
Looks like Trump is in for a good trashing in North Carolina.


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: calvinhobbesliker on October 25, 2016, 08:12:58 am
If this is true, Georgia must be really close.


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: TarHeelDem on October 25, 2016, 08:21:35 am
Thrilled that NC is finally showing its true colors. What a beautiful poll.


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on October 25, 2016, 08:38:16 am
Wow, it's also +8 in the 2-way. They had this as Tie/C+2 back in mid-September.
Wow! A 7/6 % swing!


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Arch on October 25, 2016, 08:38:38 am
Wow NC. Amazing!


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: mark_twain on October 25, 2016, 08:45:00 am

Excellent poll!


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Holmes on October 25, 2016, 09:03:58 am
With Clinton's ground game, a 7-8% win here is likely.


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Sir Mohamed on October 25, 2016, 09:05:53 am
Well, she’s certainly ahead but not by seven points. Maybe two or three, but not beyond four. The senate and governor’s race numbers seem right, both are dead-heat.

The early voting numbers are impressive though.


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Ozymandias on October 25, 2016, 09:31:34 am
SENATE

Ross (D) - 47
Burr (R) - 46

GOVERNOR

Cooper (D) - 51
McCrory (R) - 45


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Secret Cavern Survivor on October 25, 2016, 10:39:53 am
The gap between Hillary and Ross is a bit unsettling. Still, if this poll is right, great news!


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: ProudModerate2 on October 25, 2016, 10:46:38 am
Wow NC. Amazing!


Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: IceSpear on October 25, 2016, 02:24:15 pm
Hillary is at 45% favorability in this poll!

#HillarySoPopular