Title: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: ApatheticAustrian on October 25, 2016, 07:05:06 AM
Pres: 46 - 39
Senate: Ross +1
Gov: Cooper +6
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/10/25/upshot/north-carolina-poll.html?_r=0
Senate: Ross +1
Gov: Cooper +6
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/10/25/upshot/north-carolina-poll.html?_r=0
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7
Post by: Person Man on October 25, 2016, 07:05:25 AM
It gone.
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7
Post by: Gass3268 on October 25, 2016, 07:08:11 AM
White Voters:
53% Trump
32% Clinton
Black Voters:
88% Clinton
2% Trump
Early Voters:
61% Clinton
36% Trump
That early voter number is very close to what PPP had.
53% Trump
32% Clinton
Black Voters:
88% Clinton
2% Trump
Early Voters:
61% Clinton
36% Trump
That early voter number is very close to what PPP had.
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: ApatheticAustrian on October 25, 2016, 07:10:30 AM
if those number are too high....the senate is going to be a real nailbiter.
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: psychprofessor on October 25, 2016, 07:13:45 AM
these are live interviews based on voter reg data - that's why high quality pollsters are showing high single digit and low double digit national leads
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: The Other Castro on October 25, 2016, 07:14:58 AM
Wow, it's also +8 in the 2-way. They had this as Tie/C+2 back in mid-September.
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Eraserhead on October 25, 2016, 07:18:25 AM
North Carolina must have had the most polls of any state this election.
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: The Other Castro on October 25, 2016, 07:19:13 AM
Jonathan Martin from NYT says this mirrors private GOP polling.
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: The Other Castro on October 25, 2016, 07:20:10 AM
()
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck on October 25, 2016, 07:20:25 AM
WOWIE! GREAT POLL!
Has North Carolina joined Das Freiwall?
Has North Carolina joined Das Freiwall?
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: The Other Castro on October 25, 2016, 07:25:26 AM
WOWIE! GREAT POLL!
Has North Carolina joined Das Freiwall?
Has North Carolina joined Das Freiwall?
Die Firewall erweitert sich!
(
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: BoAtlantis on October 25, 2016, 07:29:28 AM
Makes me feel better about NC.
What I like about Siena/NYT is that they use voter's registration file and look at their voting history, and also use voter's intention to predict the chance of likelihood.
What I like about Siena/NYT is that they use voter's registration file and look at their voting history, and also use voter's intention to predict the chance of likelihood.
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 25, 2016, 07:40:49 AM
My god.
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Gass3268 on October 25, 2016, 07:48:19 AM
Looks like Trump is in for a good trashing in North Carolina.
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: calvinhobbesliker on October 25, 2016, 08:12:58 AM
If this is true, Georgia must be really close.
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: TarHeelDem on October 25, 2016, 08:21:35 AM
Thrilled that NC is finally showing its true colors. What a beautiful poll.
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on October 25, 2016, 08:38:16 AM
Wow, it's also +8 in the 2-way. They had this as Tie/C+2 back in mid-September.
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Dr. Arch on October 25, 2016, 08:38:38 AM
Wow NC. Amazing!
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: mark_twain on October 25, 2016, 08:45:00 AM
Excellent poll!
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Holmes on October 25, 2016, 09:03:58 AM
With Clinton's ground game, a 7-8% win here is likely.
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Sir Mohamed on October 25, 2016, 09:05:53 AM
Well, she’s certainly ahead but not by seven points. Maybe two or three, but not beyond four. The senate and governor’s race numbers seem right, both are dead-heat.
The early voting numbers are impressive though.
The early voting numbers are impressive though.
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Ozymandias on October 25, 2016, 09:31:34 AM
SENATE
Ross (D) - 47
Burr (R) - 46
GOVERNOR
Cooper (D) - 51
McCrory (R) - 45
Ross (D) - 47
Burr (R) - 46
GOVERNOR
Cooper (D) - 51
McCrory (R) - 45
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 25, 2016, 10:39:53 AM
The gap between Hillary and Ross is a bit unsettling. Still, if this poll is right, great news!
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: ProudModerate2 on October 25, 2016, 10:46:38 AM
Wow NC. Amazing!
Title: Re: Siena - NC: Clinton +7 (3-way)
Post by: IceSpear on October 25, 2016, 02:24:15 PM
Hillary is at 45% favorability in this poll!
#HillarySoPopular
#HillarySoPopular