Title: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: heatcharger on October 26, 2016, 04:02:40 PM https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/791384071498829825
New Hampshire: Ayotte 48% Hassan 47% Nevada: Heck 49% Cortez-Masto 42% Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: Xing on October 26, 2016, 04:03:14 PM Clearly their NV sample was way too R friendly. NH is more believable.
Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: Fusionmunster on October 26, 2016, 04:04:01 PM Nobody has any idea whats going on in the NC and NV senate races apparently.
Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: heatcharger on October 26, 2016, 04:06:15 PM NV crosstabs will be quite laughable whenever I find them.
Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: windjammer on October 26, 2016, 04:13:25 PM That was Ayotte +8 in their last poll.
Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: DavidB. on October 26, 2016, 04:14:26 PM Nobody has any idea whats going on in the NC and NV senate races apparently. No way Heck is up 7, but I do think the NV races may have become closer in the last week, the Senate race now being back from tilt D to a total tossup. If Heck overperforms Trump by 7, he may win. Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ on October 26, 2016, 04:15:04 PM Great, the boy wonder from Queens might actually squeak this out!
Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: windjammer on October 26, 2016, 04:19:48 PM And I believe the NV results are totally trash. Most NV polls are showing a tiny CCM lead, so a big Heck lead isn't believable.
Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: RogueBeaver on October 26, 2016, 04:21:10 PM I don't believe NV, I do believe NH.
Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: DavidB. on October 26, 2016, 04:23:45 PM It's not hard to believe that the slight tightening of the presidential polls over the last week has improved the positions of Republican candidates too, so if CCM was up 2 in polls early last week, Heck could well be leading by 1-2 right now.
Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 26, 2016, 04:28:08 PM Oh, screw it. I give up on Senate polls. Let's just skip to election day and see what happens.
Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: Ronnie on October 26, 2016, 04:52:03 PM Oh, screw it. I give up on Senate polls. Let's just skip to election day and see what happens. Word, man. Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: RogueBeaver on October 26, 2016, 04:54:57 PM Oh, screw it. I give up on Senate polls. Let's just skip to election day and see what happens. Word, man. Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: Heisenberg on October 26, 2016, 05:17:43 PM Let's go, Joe!
Really want those NV numbers to be true. If Heck loses it sure will be one painful loss. Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: DavidB. on October 26, 2016, 05:26:18 PM I had already given up on Heck after his brave, principled, yet ill-advised unendorsement of Trump, but I'm starting to get back to believing it may be possible.
Title: Re: NBC/WSJ/Marist: Ayotte +1 in NH, Heck +7 in NV Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on October 26, 2016, 05:36:54 PM NH clearly should be kept at Toss-Up until just before the election
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