Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: The Other Castro on October 28, 2016, 11:02:55 AM



Title: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: The Other Castro on October 28, 2016, 11:02:55 AM
Among decided voters:
Clinton - 50%
Trump - 37%
Johnson - 5%
Stein - 1%

Among decided + leaning voters:
Clinton - 52%
Trump - 39%
Johnson - 6%
Stein - 2%

Poll of 1028 likely voters polled between October 22-26.

http://polls.saintleo.edu/clinton-lead-growing-in-florida-and-across-the-u-s-in-new-saint-leo-poll-and-most-expect-her-to-win-the-presidency/

Goes without saying, probably one of the junkiest Florida polls we've seen.


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Heisenberg on October 28, 2016, 11:03:16 AM
Junk poll!


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: OneJ on October 28, 2016, 11:03:24 AM
JUNK!


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: windjammer on October 28, 2016, 11:03:40 AM


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Speed of Sound on October 28, 2016, 11:03:40 AM
Bahahahaha what on earth is this thing?


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: ApatheticAustrian on October 28, 2016, 11:04:36 AM
why do they even publish such stuff?


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: rafta_rafta on October 28, 2016, 11:04:57 AM
crap poll


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Dr. Arch on October 28, 2016, 11:05:47 AM
I fully expect Nate to add this poll to his model, considering he added that ridiculous Dixie poll to it as well.


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Brittain33 on October 28, 2016, 11:05:53 AM
Saint LOL, amirite?


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Ebsy on October 28, 2016, 11:06:01 AM
lol

It has Rubio +5 FTR.


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: john cage bubblegum on October 28, 2016, 11:10:10 AM
Pure garbage, but it's nice to have garbage for Clinton cancel out the garbage for Trump.  It makes things right in the polling average universe.


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: BoAtlantis on October 28, 2016, 11:10:13 AM
At least they don't throw the 4 at you.


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: The Other Castro on October 28, 2016, 11:10:35 AM
Looks like we may have a new contender for worst state poll. This'll inevitably be bumped on Nov 9.


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Speed of Sound on October 28, 2016, 11:10:51 AM
Pure garbage, but it's nice to have garbage for Clinton cancel out the garbage for Trump.  It makes things right in the polling average universe.

Couldn't be more telling that garbage for C is +13, and garbage for T is +3.


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Gass3268 on October 28, 2016, 11:14:23 AM
It has Rubio outperforming Clinton by 18 points, lol?


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on October 28, 2016, 11:28:48 AM
Do they have Spanish option? ::)


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Lief 🗽 on October 28, 2016, 11:31:43 AM
Wow, great numbers!


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: GeorgiaModerate on October 28, 2016, 11:40:47 AM
At least they don't throw the 4 at you.

The 13 is a subtle clue.  1 + 3 = 4. ;)


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Dr. Arch on October 28, 2016, 11:41:41 AM
At least they don't throw the 4 at you.

The 13 is a subtle clue.  1 + 3 = 4. ;)

-Gasp-


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Classic Conservative on October 28, 2016, 11:46:59 AM
Pope Saint Leo would be ashamed at this crappy polling institution.


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck on October 28, 2016, 11:54:06 AM
WOWIE!!!  INCREDIBLE POLL!  Great news for our future Madame President!


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 28, 2016, 12:01:58 PM
Yeah, no.


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Young Conservative on October 28, 2016, 12:09:01 PM
Saint Leo is infamous in Florida.


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: DrScholl on October 28, 2016, 12:09:19 PM
Of course any good poll for Hillary is called junk. Trump isn't going to win.


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: ProudModerate2 on October 28, 2016, 02:38:56 PM
I welcome the great state of Florida and its 29 electoral votes into the Freiwal!
()


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: mark_twain on October 28, 2016, 04:28:17 PM

A bit high, but I'll take it.

Even if the margin were cut in half to +6.5%, it's still great!





Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Eraserhead on October 28, 2016, 06:46:43 PM
Of course any good poll for Hillary is called junk. Trump isn't going to win.

Do you really believe she's leading by 13% in Florida?


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: Ebowed on October 28, 2016, 07:07:16 PM
Saint Leo University is the GOLD STANDARD of Florida polling!! Great news!!!


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: BundouYMB on October 28, 2016, 07:13:39 PM
Of course any good poll for Hillary is called junk. Trump isn't going to win.

Do you really believe she's leading by 13% in Florida?

Somewhere around there. Florida votes pretty close to the country as a whole and Clinton is winning by double digits nationally. It's never made sense to me that Clinton was only up 4~ points there.

Ofc 13% is a bit on the high end but it's still in the neighborhood of what I'd expect. Personally I think Clinton will win Florida by around 9 points.


Title: Re: FL-Saint Leo University: Clinton +13
Post by: GeorgiaModerate on October 28, 2016, 07:22:32 PM
Of course any good poll for Hillary is called junk. Trump isn't going to win.

Do you really believe she's leading by 13% in Florida?

Somewhere around there. Florida votes pretty close to the country as a whole and Clinton is winning by double digits nationally. It's never made sense to me that Clinton was only up 4~ points there.

Ofc 13% is a bit on the high end but it's still in the neighborhood of what I'd expect. Personally I think Clinton will win Florida by around 9 points.

Yes, there have been a few national polls with Clinton up by double digits.  You can't look at only these polls to say that's where the race is.  There have also been polls that showed a very close race, and more that showed it with a moderate Clinton lead (mid to high single digits).  This is exactly the spread you'd expect if she had a lead of about 6-7.  Don't look at only the outliers (on either end of the spectrum); this is not being intellectually honest with yourself.

It's also unlikely that Florida will vote more Democratic than the national average.  So while I do expect Clinton to win Florida, it will be by much less than double digits.  Neither do I expect it to be a squeaker; if I had to pick a number, it would be (dare I say it...) 4.