Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Seattle on October 28, 2016, 07:56:49 PM



Title: WA-YouGov/KCTS9/Crosscut Washington Poll, Clinton +14
Post by: Seattle on October 28, 2016, 07:56:49 PM
http://kcts9.org/programs/vote-2016/new-poll-finds-washington-state-often-divided-region-and-political-parties-many#method (http://kcts9.org/programs/vote-2016/new-poll-finds-washington-state-often-divided-region-and-political-parties-many#method)

53-39, didn't poll Johnson or Stein. Seems a bit R friendly, 750 respondents between 10/6 - 10/13. 35D/24R/40I.

Gov: 51D-45R
Sen: 55D-39R


Title: Re: WA-YouGov/KCTS9/Crosscut Washington Poll, Clinton +14
Post by: Ebsy on October 28, 2016, 08:09:52 PM
Safe D. Pollsters tend to underestimate Democrats in Washington.


Title: Re: WA-YouGov/KCTS9/Crosscut Washington Poll, Clinton +14
Post by: NOVA Green on October 28, 2016, 09:09:31 PM
Overall topline numbers sound about right, although there is little detailed breakdown available in the polling link provided.

I still wouldn't be surprised to see the final Clinton margins ending up a bit higher than this in both Oregon and Washington State than these numbers, considering how unpopular Trump is in both states with traditionally moderate Republican and Republican leaning Indies, that frequently vote Rep at statewide levels and Dem for the top of the ticket.


Title: Re: WA-YouGov/KCTS9/Crosscut Washington Poll, Clinton +14
Post by: Seattle on October 28, 2016, 09:16:57 PM
Yeah, I fully expect Clinton to get +17-20. Definitely not lower than 2012.


Title: Re: WA-YouGov/KCTS9/Crosscut Washington Poll, Clinton +14
Post by: Xing on October 29, 2016, 01:02:11 AM
The Gubernatorial race isn't going to be that close. All of three races are Safe D.