Talk Elections

Election Archive => 2016 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: RogueBeaver on October 31, 2016, 12:07:51 PM



Title: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: RogueBeaver on October 31, 2016, 12:07:51 PM
45/45.  (https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_IN_103116/)


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: Ronnie on October 31, 2016, 12:08:06 PM
Not good.  Not good at all.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: DavidB. on October 31, 2016, 12:11:56 PM
Monmouth has found rather favorable numbers for Republican Senate candidates this entire cycle. I'd say this race is still lean D, but perhaps the tightening of the presidential race could make it closer.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: Torie on October 31, 2016, 12:12:13 PM
This is no surprise. Bayh will continue to fall. He's done. The Dems will need to find their Senate majority elsewhere.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: Chaddyr23 on October 31, 2016, 12:13:12 PM
RIP Senate Majority


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon on October 31, 2016, 12:14:38 PM
That's right, Indiana. Young is the objectively better choice.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: Bismarck on October 31, 2016, 12:16:12 PM
Woohoo go Todd! This one will keep me up late.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: Torie on October 31, 2016, 12:29:51 PM
Monmouth has found rather favorable numbers for Republican Senate candidates this entire cycle. I'd say this race is still lean D, but perhaps the tightening of the presidential race could make it closer.

You Democratic (oh, wait, Socialist) hack you. :P


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: Xing on October 31, 2016, 12:33:32 PM
This is probably a bit R friendly, but this race will be close. I think Bayh pulls out a win, though.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: jamestroll on October 31, 2016, 12:34:39 PM
Guys relax,

I think Bayh has the advantage still. Like David said, Monmouth has been producing favorable Republican results this cycle for Senate. We need a couple more polls to confirm if this is actually a dead heat.

Keep in mind that Bayh does not even trail  in this poll, he simply ties.

Bayh is the odds on favorite, even if it is by a narrow margin.

People are just over reacting to every single poll after the "email scandal". Let's just all relax.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: MT Treasurer on October 31, 2016, 12:39:38 PM
Monmouth isn't a Republican-friendly pollster, but keep telling yourselves that. They had Bayh up 6 and 7 the last time, when other pollsters showed it closer.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: jamestroll on October 31, 2016, 12:41:41 PM
Monmouth isn't a Republican-friendly pollster, but keep telling yourselves that. They had Bayh up 6 and 7 the last time, when other pollsters showed it closer.

I just do not understand why everyone is freaking out. People need to relax. Bayh is not even trailing in this poll.

Monmouth seems like a solid pollster.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: Xing on October 31, 2016, 12:41:54 PM
Monmouth isn't a Republican-friendly pollster, but keep telling yourselves that. They had Bayh up 6 and 7 the last time, when other pollsters showed it closer.

I did say this poll (Trump up 11 in Indiana sounds like a bit much), not this pollster.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: DavidB. on October 31, 2016, 01:00:47 PM
Monmouth has found rather favorable numbers for Republican Senate candidates this entire cycle. I'd say this race is still lean D, but perhaps the tightening of the presidential race could make it closer.

You Democratic (oh, wait, Socialist) hack you. :P
Still rooting for Republican Senate candidates (except for high-energy CHARLES E. SCHUMER in the beautiful state of NY!) despite soon being a Dutch Labour member ;)


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: Torie on October 31, 2016, 01:24:32 PM
Monmouth has found rather favorable numbers for Republican Senate candidates this entire cycle. I'd say this race is still lean D, but perhaps the tightening of the presidential race could make it closer.

You Democratic (oh, wait, Socialist) hack you. :P
Still rooting for Republican Senate candidates (except for high-energy CHARLES E. SCHUMER in the beautiful state of NY!) despite soon being a Dutch Labour member ;)

I'm a big Schumer fan too, but then i liked Lieberman as well. Both those guys are generally hated on the forum, but then it will not be the first time that Forumites are generally wrong. :)


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: Pandaguineapig on October 31, 2016, 01:31:51 PM
Monmouth has found rather favorable numbers for Republican Senate candidates this entire cycle. I'd say this race is still lean D, but perhaps the tightening of the presidential race could make it closer.

You Democratic (oh, wait, Socialist) hack you. :P
Still rooting for Republican Senate candidates (except for high-energy CHARLES E. SCHUMER in the beautiful state of NY!) despite soon being a Dutch Labour member ;)

I'm a big Schumer fan too, but then i liked Lieberman as well. Both those guys are generally hated on the forum, but then it will not be the first time that Forumites are generally wrong. :)
These people thought Pat Quinn was a good governor


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: mvd10 on October 31, 2016, 03:11:22 PM
Monmouth has found rather favorable numbers for Republican Senate candidates this entire cycle. I'd say this race is still lean D, but perhaps the tightening of the presidential race could make it closer.

You Democratic (oh, wait, Socialist) hack you. :P
Still rooting for Republican Senate candidates (except for high-energy CHARLES E. SCHUMER in the beautiful state of NY!) despite soon being a Dutch Labour member ;)

Voting for Monasch ;)?



Anyway, great news. I like Bayh but the Republicans keep the senate, so I hope Young wins. Bayh still has the advantage though, but it's not the safe D race I thought it was when Bayh entered.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: DavidB. on October 31, 2016, 03:13:27 PM
Voting for Monasch ;)?

Anyway, great news. I like Bayh but the Republicans keep the senate, so I hope Young wins. Bayh still has the advantage though, but it's not the safe D race I thought it was when Bayh entered.
Yep! Will cancel my membership immediately afterwards though.

Also agree with the rest of your post (except that I don't think Republicans will keep the Senate, but I certainly hope they will...).


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: OneJ on October 31, 2016, 04:40:20 PM
Monmouth isn't a Republican-friendly pollster, but keep telling yourselves that. They had Bayh up 6 and 7 the last time, when other pollsters showed it closer.

I did say this poll (Trump up 11 in Indiana sounds like a bit much), not this pollster.

I agree with this as well. Most polls show a closer presidential race with a sizable Bayh lead. This specific poll does seem to be R-friendly.


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: Antonio the Sixth on October 31, 2016, 04:59:54 PM


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: Young Conservative on October 31, 2016, 05:40:30 PM
Absolutely incredible. Todd Young and the IN GOP deserve an award, no a BAYHillion award (sorry that was a terrible pun)


Title: Re: IN-Monmouth: Dead heat
Post by: Terry the Fat Shark on October 31, 2016, 10:32:57 PM
Monmouth isn't a Republican-friendly pollster, but keep telling yourselves that. They had Bayh up 6 and 7 the last time, when other pollsters showed it closer.

I did say this poll (Trump up 11 in Indiana sounds like a bit much), not this pollster.

I agree with this as well. Most polls show a closer presidential race with a sizable Bayh lead. This specific poll does seem to be R-friendly.
This poll showed Bayh + 6 before,  I don't see how anyone could possibly call it "R-Friendly"