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Title: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: MT Treasurer on November 01, 2016, 12:12:53 PM 47% Roy Blunt (R, inc.)
46% Jason Kander (D) 2% Jonathan Dine (L) https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_MO_110116/ Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: Terry the Fat Shark on November 01, 2016, 12:13:35 PM gonna be a barnburner but I think Blunt wins out
Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: Xing on November 01, 2016, 12:14:08 PM I doubt Trump wins MO by 14, so another bad poll for Blunt.
Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: KingSweden on November 01, 2016, 12:21:02 PM I doubt Trump wins MO by 14, so another bad poll for Blunt. Who would have thought a month ago that Burr would be better positioned than Blunt? Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: 100% pro-life no matter what on November 01, 2016, 12:25:33 PM If Trump does win by 14, I can't see how Blunt doesn't win.
Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: The Other Castro on November 01, 2016, 12:26:56 PM If Trump does win by 14, I can't see how Blunt doesn't win. And therein lies the problem. Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: DavidB. on November 01, 2016, 12:28:42 PM If Trump does win by 14, I can't see how Blunt doesn't win. Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: Xing on November 01, 2016, 12:31:06 PM If Trump does win by 14, I can't see how Blunt doesn't win. Coattails aren't really a thing, though. Repeating the same thing multiple times doesn't make it true. Blunt is just lucky that he's running in a n increasingly red state. If he were running in a swing state, he'd likely get Blanched. Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: MT Treasurer on November 01, 2016, 12:33:17 PM If Trump does win by 14, I can't see how Blunt doesn't win. Coattails aren't really a thing, though. Repeating the same thing multiple times doesn't make it true. Blunt is just lucky that he's running in a n increasingly red state. If he were running in a swing state, he'd likely get Blanched. If coattails were a thing, Heitkamp, Manchin, Donnelly, Collins, etc. wouldn't be Senators today and Blunt would be winning in a landslide. Granted, red states are more likely to split their tickets and vote for a Democrat for Senate or Governor than blue states, but still. Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: Antonio the Sixth on November 01, 2016, 12:37:49 PM Sh*t, it's so damn frustrating to see all those razor-thin Republican leads. If Blunt, Burr, Young and Ayotte all squeak in by a point or two I'm going to be PISSED.
Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: Xing on November 01, 2016, 12:41:04 PM If Trump does win by 14, I can't see how Blunt doesn't win. Coattails aren't really a thing, though. Repeating the same thing multiple times doesn't make it true. Blunt is just lucky that he's running in a n increasingly red state. If he were running in a swing state, he'd likely get Blanched. If coattails were a thing, Heitkamp, Manchin, Donnelly, Collins, etc. wouldn't be Senators today and Blunt would be winning in a landslide. Granted, red states are more likely to split their tickets and vote for a Democrat for Senate or Governor than blue states, but still. Coattails are stronger in some states than others, and don't make candidate quality completely irrelevant. However, if they weren't a thing at all, I doubt ND and IN would have been anywhere near as close. I also doubt that the Senate races in OH, PA, VA, and WI that year (among others) would have been so close to the presidential election. Would Bruce Poliquin have beaten Emily Cain in 2012? Would Rod Blum have won in 2012? Would he even have a chance of winning this year if Hillary was doing well in Iowa, and Grassley wasn't running for re-election? Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: The Other Castro on November 01, 2016, 12:46:01 PM This has a recount feel all over it.
Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: Ronnie on November 01, 2016, 12:53:16 PM Sh*t, it's so damn frustrating to see all those razor-thin Republican leads. If Blunt, Burr, Young and Ayotte all squeak in by a point or two I'm going to be PISSED. Don't forget Heck! Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: DavidB. on November 01, 2016, 12:59:35 PM Sh*t, it's so damn frustrating to see all those razor-thin Republican leads. If Blunt, Burr, Young and Ayotte all squeak in by a point or two I'm going to be PISSED. Edit: Ah, Ronnie was faster than me... Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ on November 01, 2016, 01:00:46 PM Sh*t, it's so damn frustrating to see all those razor-thin Republican leads. If Blunt, Burr, Young and Ayotte all squeak in by a point or two I'm going to be PISSED. At least you'll still have your country's election :) Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese on November 01, 2016, 03:44:14 PM Sh*t, it's so damn frustrating to see all those razor-thin Republican leads. If Blunt, Burr, Young and Ayotte all squeak in by a point or two I'm going to be PISSED. At least you'll still have your country's election :) Don't remind him of that. I'm pretty sure that if there is one thing that can make Tony even more depressed about the state of politics today it's bringing up the complete implosion of the French left and the horror show that is French politics. Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: Figueira on November 01, 2016, 03:49:10 PM Sh*t, it's so damn frustrating to see all those razor-thin Republican leads. If Blunt, Burr, Young and Ayotte all squeak in by a point or two I'm going to be PISSED. I will too, but this isn't really a bad poll for Kander considering that it also has Trump massively overperforming Romney. Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: Associate Justice PiT on November 01, 2016, 04:19:51 PM Sh*t, it's so damn frustrating to see all those razor-thin Republican leads. If Blunt, Burr, Young and Ayotte all squeak in by a point or two I'm going to be PISSED. At least you'll still have your country's election :) Don't remind him of that. I'm pretty sure that if there is one thing that can make Tony even more depressed about the state of politics today it's bringing up the complete implosion of the French left and the horror show that is French politics. The probable second round of Sarkozy v. Le Pen will be delicious. Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: QE on November 01, 2016, 05:35:04 PM The new SurveyMonkey poll has Kander +6. It's probably trash, but the headwinds do seem to be against Blunt, atm.
Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: jamestroll on November 01, 2016, 05:38:29 PM The new SurveyMonkey poll has Kander +6. It's probably trash, but the headwinds do seem to be against Blunt, atm. Please show me a link!! Title: Re: MO-Monmouth: Blunt +1 Post by: QE on November 01, 2016, 05:43:08 PM The new SurveyMonkey poll has Kander +6. It's probably trash, but the headwinds do seem to be against Blunt, atm. Please show me a link!! Sorry, I'm not permitted to link until I hit 20+ posts. |