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Election Archive => 2016 Senatorial Election Polls => Topic started by: DavidB. on November 02, 2016, 11:20:02 am



Title: PA - Susquehanna: McGinty +6
Post by: DavidB. on November 02, 2016, 11:20:02 am
McGinty 47
Toomey 41

681 LVs, Oct 31-Nov 1

Susquehanna has a B- at 538.

https://mgtvwhtm.files.wordpress.com/2016/11/toplines-statewideabc272-oct16.pdf

This one is lean D by now. McGinty running ahead of Clinton by 2, Toomey running behind (!) Trump by 2.


Title: Re: PA - Susquehanna: McGinty +6
Post by: King Francis I on November 02, 2016, 11:21:18 am
So there is a remote possibility of a Trump presidency with a dem senate lol?


Title: Re: PA - Susquehanna: McGinty +6
Post by: Neolibs Are The New McCarthyists on November 02, 2016, 11:22:14 am
The McGinty voters who refuse to vote for Hillary are such idiots. I can't even begin to understand it.


Title: Re: PA - Susquehanna: McGinty +6
Post by: DavidB. on November 02, 2016, 11:23:08 am
The McGinty Trump voters who refuse to vote for Hillary Toomey are such idiots. I can't even begin to understand it.
ftfy


Title: Re: PA - Susquehanna: McGinty +6
Post by: NV less likely to flip than FL/WI on November 02, 2016, 11:23:56 am
Their last poll had Toomey up 4. I doubt Toomey actually underperforms Trump, but this seat is looking better and better for Dems. If they can nail down this one, that means they just need one more.


Title: Re: PA - Susquehanna: McGinty +6
Post by: heatcharger on November 02, 2016, 11:24:37 am
Someone explain what a Trump/McGinty voter looks like lol


Title: Re: PA - Susquehanna: McGinty +6
Post by: DavidB. on November 02, 2016, 11:25:59 am
Someone explain what a Trump/McGinty voter looks like lol
I thought Smilo would be the only one... Apparently there are more, however, and all of them -- except for Smilo, of course -- should be institutionalized.


Title: Re: PA - Susquehanna: McGinty +6
Post by: Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ on November 02, 2016, 11:31:32 am
Someone explain what a Trump/McGinty voter looks like lol
I thought Smilo would be the only one... Apparently there are more, however, and all of them -- except for Smilo, of course -- should be institutionalized.

Lol, thanks. Ironically, I was initially for Toomey when he was leading, but I jumped ship just ahead of his collapse to preserve the D Senate dreams (he's been running solid ads too and even stayed supportive of Trump so I didn't expect to be in tune with the state's changing opinion here).


Title: Re: PA - Susquehanna: McGinty +6
Post by: Peters/Daines more vulnerable than Shaheen/Ernst on November 02, 2016, 11:36:02 am
The McGinty Trump voters who refuse to vote for Hillary Toomey are such idiots. I can't even begin to understand it.
ftfy

Yeah, but Trump/Kander voters are still the worst.

Anyway, Toomey is probably done. Who would have thought six months ago that McGinty would be more likely to win than Feingold?


Title: Re: PA - Susquehanna: McGinty +6
Post by: Torie on November 02, 2016, 11:50:21 am
Depressing. Look, I will give up Blunt to get Toomey. Fair enough?


Title: PA: Susquehanna Polling & Research: McGinty Leading in Pennsylvania
Post by: Dave Leip on November 02, 2016, 12:06:25 pm
New Poll: Pennsylvania Senator by Susquehanna Polling & Research on 2016-11-01 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=42320161101129)

Summary: D: 47%, R: 41%, I: 5%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (https://mgtvwhtm.files.wordpress.com/2016/11/toplines-statewideabc272-oct16.pdf)


Title: Re: PA - Susquehanna: McGinty +6
Post by: Secret Cavern Survivor on November 02, 2016, 02:14:43 pm
Good. At least there's one race where Dems seem to have a healthy lead.