Title: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Metallifreak10 on November 03, 2016, 09:57:52 PM 7pm on the east coast.
The following states polls have closed with some called. Indiana- Trump (11) Kentucky- Trump (8 ) Vermont- Clinton (3) Virginia- TCTC (13) Georgia- TCTC (16) South Carolina- too early to call (9) Trump- 19 Clinton- 3 Undecided- 38 7:15pm one state has now been called. South Carolina- Trump (9) Trump- 28 Clinton- 3 Undecided- 29 7:30pm 3 states polls have closed. West Virginia- Trump (5) Ohio- TCTC (18) North Carolina- TCTC (15) Trump- 33 Clinton- 3 Undecided- 62 7:35pm here are the vote totals from states that have raw votes available. Indiana 12% in ✅Trump 188,150 56.5% Clinton 118,210 35.5% Johnson 25,000 7.5% Others 1,640 0.5% Kentucky 20% in ✅Trump 224,200 59% Clinton 136,800 36% Johnson 12,900 3% Stein 3,400 1% Others 2,700 1% South Carolina 1% in Clinton 10,600 71% ✅Trump 3,900 26% Johnson 300 2% Stein 100 0.5% Others 100 0.5% Vermont 1% in ✅Clinton 2,280 57% Trump 1,050 26% Johnson 240 6% Stein 160 4% Others 270 7% Virginia 2% in Trump 47,600 56% Clinton 31,800 37.5% Johnson 4,250 5% Stein 860 1% Others 490 0.5% Georgia 1% in Trump 19,500 65% Clinton 9,000 30% Johnson 1,350 4.5% Others 150. 0.5% Florida 25% in Clinton 1,073,600 48.8% Trump 1,058,200 48.1% Johnson 46,200 2.1% Stein 15,400 0.7% Others 6,600 0.3% North Carolina 1% in Trump 27,000 54% Clinton 20,500 41% Johnson 2,300 4.5% Others 200 0.5% Ohio and West Virginia have zero votes in. Popular vote totals Trump 1,569,600 51% Clinton 1,402,790 45% Johnson 92,540 3% Stein 19,920 0.6% Others 12,150 0.4% Part 2: 8pm poll closings Coming soon. Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Metallifreak10 on November 03, 2016, 11:38:45 PM 8pm eastern time, many states polls have closed with many calls.
Alabama- Trump (9) Mississippi- Trump (6) Tennessee- Trump (11) Oklahoma- Trump (7) Illinois- Clinton (20) Massachusetts- Clinton(11) Rhode Island- Clinton (4) Connecticut- Clinton (7) Delaware- Clinton (3) Maryland- Clinton (10) D.C.- Clinton (3) Florida- TCTC (29) Missouri- TCTC (10) Maine- TCTC (4) New Hampshire- TCTC (4) New Jersey- Too early to call (14) Pennsylvania- TCTC (20) Also, one state can be called from earlier. Georgia- Trump (16) Trump 82 Clinton 61 Undecided 127 8:20pm 1 state from earlier can be projected. New Jersey- Clinton (14) 8:30pm, polls close in 1 state. Arkansas- Trump (6) Trump 88 Clinton 75 Undecided 113 8:40pm, Vote totals in states recently called, and those undecided. Virginia 22% in Trump 485,150 55% Clinton 326,300 37% Johnson 54,700 6% Stein 10,600 1% Others 5,250 1% Georgia 15% in ✅Trump 366,000 61% Clinton 204,000 34% Johnson 27,000 4.5% Others 3,000 0.5% Florida 54% in Trump 2,258,600 49.1% Clinton 2,189,600 47.6% Johnson 101,200 2.2% Stein 33,000 0.7% Others 17,600 0.4% North Carolina 42% in Trump 968,100 50% Clinton 873,000 45% Johnson 88,300 4.5% Others 10,600 0.5% Ohio 20% in Clinton 623,500 54% Trump 464,500 40% Johnson 51,950 4.5% Stein 13,900 1% Other 1,150 0.1% West Virginia 2% in ✅Trump 9,300 62% Clinton 4,780 32% Johnson 630 4% Stein 210 1% Others 80 1% Alabama 1% in ✅Trump 16,200 54% Clinton 12,600 42% Johnson 900 3% Stein 240 1% Others 60 Mississippi 2% in ✅Trump 15,300 51% Clinton 13,800 46% Johnson 600 2% Stein 180 0.5% Others 120 0.5% Tennessee 24% in ✅Trump 358,400 56% Clinton 246,400 38.5% Johnson 27,500 4.5% Stein 6,400 1% Others 1,300 Oklahoma 2% in ✅Trump 24,800 62% Clinton 12,800 32% Johnson 2,400 6% Missouri 1% in Trump 20,100 67% Clinton 7,900 26% Johnson 1,650 5.5% Stein 240 1% Others 110 0.5% Illinois 10% in ✅Clinton 378,750 69% Trump 132,600 24% Johnson 26,950 5% Stein 11,000 2% Others 700 Maine 2% in Clinton 6,900 46% Trump 6,150 41% Johnson 1,430 9.5% Stein 450 3% Others 70 0.5% New Hampshire 6% in Clinton 21,150 53% Trump 14,450 36% Johnson 2,800 7% Stein 800 2% Others 800 2% Massachusetts 7% in ✅Clinton 109,500 55% Trump 72,000 36% Johnson 13,300 6.5% Stein 4,100 2% Others 1,100 0.5% Rhode Island 1% in ✅Clinton 2,690 54% Trump 1,950 39% Johnson 215 4% Stein 105 2% Others 40 1% Connecticut 3% in ✅Clinton 24,400 61% Trump 13,600 34% Johnson 1,400 3.5% Stein 500 1% Others 100 New Jersey 5% in ✅Clinton 91,800 51% Trump 79,800 44% Johnson 5,400 3% Stein 1,800 1% Others 1,200 1% Delaware 1% in ✅Clinton 2,620 52% Trump 2,100 42% Johnson 180 4% Stein 70 1% Others 30 1% Maryland 4% in ✅Clinton 69,000 69% Trump 25,000 25% Johnson 3,900 4% Stein 1,700 2% Others 400 D.C. 30% in ✅Clinton 90,000 90% Trump 6,000 6% Stein 2,100 2% Johnson 1,800 2% Others 100 Pennsylvania 2% in Clinton 61,900 62% Trump 34,050 34% Johnson 2,600 2.5% Stein 950 1% Others 500 0.5% Arkansas 1% in ✅Trump 6,360 63.5% Clinton 2,750 27.5% Johnson 550 5.5% Stein 170 1.75% Others 170 1.75% Popular vote 11% in Trump 7,253,910 49.5% Clinton 6,655,640 45.4% Johnson 581,555 4.0% Stein 106,115 0.7% Others 69,780 0.5% 9pm closings coming soon. Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Lachi on November 04, 2016, 02:26:08 AM You should differentiate between too close and too early, as states like New Jersey, and South Carolina will not be too close.
Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Metallifreak10 on November 04, 2016, 02:42:50 AM I considered that actually, but I just wanted to keep it simple.. But, I suppose I could change that.
Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: LLR on November 04, 2016, 06:12:41 AM You should differentiate between too close and too early, as states like New Jersey, and South Carolina will not be too close. :/ I thought we were friends... Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Lachi on November 04, 2016, 07:21:54 AM You should differentiate between too close and too early, as states like New Jersey, and South Carolina will not be too close. :/ I thought we were friends... Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Del Tachi on November 04, 2016, 10:35:54 AM You should differentiate between too close and too early, as states like New Jersey, and South Carolina will not be too close. Not sure that I understand the differentiation. If I state cannot be called because its "Too Early to Call" doesn't that indicate that there's at least some possibility that the state votes counter to expectations? If that is the case, is the state really "too early" or "too close"? Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Metallifreak10 on November 04, 2016, 11:08:28 AM You should differentiate between too close and too early, as states like New Jersey, and South Carolina will not be too close. Not sure that I understand the differentiation. If I state cannot be called because its "Too Early to Call" doesn't that indicate that there's at least some possibility that the state votes counter to expectations? If that is the case, is the state really "too early" or "too close"? It's something they started doing the last couple of election cycles.. Too early to call, from my understanding, just basically means that they are pretty certain what the projection will be, but they just aren't 100% yet. Also, next update in a couple of hours. Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Metallifreak10 on November 04, 2016, 12:31:11 PM 9pm and many more states have had their polls closed.
Kansas- Trump (6) Louisiana- Trump (8 ) Nebraska- Trump (4/5)- the 2nd congressional district is TCTC. North Dakota- Trump (3) South Dakota- Trump (3) Texas- Trump (38) Wyoming- Trump (3) New York- Clinton (29) Arizona- TCTC (11) Colorado- TCTC (9) Michigan- TCTC (16) Minnesota- TCTC (10) New Mexico- too early to call (5) Wisconsin- TCTC (10) Trump 153 Clinton 104 Undecided 175 *Though Texas was called already, exit polls show Latino turnout increased 12-15%, and exit polls show the margin will be smaller than 2012. *Arizona exit polls show similar results, but Trump has about a 3 point lead in our first look at the exit polls. *Colorado exit polls show Clinton and Trump statistically tied. *Michigan exit polls show Clinton with a 5 point lead. *Minnesota exit polls show Clinton with a 7 point lead. *Wisconsin exit polls show Clinton with a 4 point lead *New Mexico exit polls show Clinton with a 6 point lead. Gary Johnson is at 15%, and 6 out of 10 Johnson supporters said if Johnson was not in the race, they would've supported Clinton. This might be making the race tighter than it should be. *Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio, New Hampshire are all very close. *Pennsylvania and Maine have Clinton in the lead. *Missouri exit polls show Trump with a significant lead. 9:05pm Maine can now be partially projected Maine- Clinton (3/4)- the 2nd congressional district is still TCTC. 9:10pm another state can be called. Missouri- Trump (10) Trump 163 Clinton 107 Undecided 162 To be continued. I'll have updated raw vote totals for 9:30-9:45pm in an hour or so. Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Metallifreak10 on November 04, 2016, 02:13:57 PM Raw votes update 9:40pm.
Virginia 55% in Trump 1,055,800 48% Clinton 965,800 44% Johnson 136,400 6% Stein 28,600 1% Others 13,400 1% Florida 80% in Trump 3,388,040 48.4% Clinton 3,381,100 48.3% Johnson 153,900 2.2% Stein 53,960 0.7% Others 23,000 0.4% North Carolina 75% in Trump 1,697,500 48.5% Clinton 1,624,200 46.5% Johnson 160,900 4.5% Others 17,400 0.5% Ohio 40% in Clinton 1,056,150 48% Trump 1,011,800 46% Johnson 105,600 5% Stein 24,250 1% Others 2,200 New Hampshire 17% in Clinton 62,400 48% Trump 54,600 42% Johnson 8,450 6.5% Stein 2,600 2% Others 1,950 1.5% Pennsylvania 10% in Clinton 359,900 60% Trump 210,120 35% Johnson 21,000 3.5% Stein 4,860 1% Others 4,120 0.5% Arizona 60% in Trump 674,250 46.5% Clinton 639,500 44% Johnson 107,300 7.5% Stein 21,700 1.5% Others 7,250 0.5% Colorado 50% in Clinton 572,000 44% Trump 543,400 42% Johnson 123,500 9.5% Stein 37,700 3% Others 23,400 2% Michigan 3% in Trump 70,500 47% Clinton 68,550 46% Johnson 8,250 5.5% Stein 2,300 1.5% Others 400 Minnesota 2% in Trump 28,200 47% Clinton 26,160 44% Johnson 3,600 6% Stein 1,300 2% Others 740 1% New Mexico 2% in Clinton 10,200 51% Trump 6,700 33.5% Johnson 2,800 14% Stein 160 1% Others 140 0.5% Wisconsin 5% in Trump 73,600 49% Clinton 65,300 43.5% Johnson 8,200 5.5% Stein 2,200 1.5% Others 700 0.5% I'm running a bit behind, but I have to tabulate a few more vote totals.. Hopefully it won't take too long. Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Metallifreak10 on November 04, 2016, 03:31:02 PM Missouri 9% in
✅Trump 130,000 52% Clinton 102,250 41% Johnson 13,750 5.5% Stein 2,800 1% Others 1,200 0.5% Maine 6% in ✅Clinton 19,200 48% Trump 15,800 39.5% Johnson 3,600 9% Stein 1,200 3% Others 200 0.5% Kansas 20% in ✅Trump 127,500 51% Clinton 97,500 39% Johnson 19,750 8% Stein 4,250 2% Others 1,000 Louisiana 5% in ✅Trump 57,500 57.5% Clinton 37,000 37% Johnson 3,800 4% Stein 1,000 1% Others 600 0.5% Nebraska 15% in ✅Trump 72,800 56% Clinton 46,150 35.5% Johnson 8,450 6.5% Stein 1,950 1.5% Others 650 0.5% New York 9% in ✅Clinton 378,000 54% Trump 287,000 41% Johnson 21,000 3% Stein 13,200 2% Others 800 North Dakota 10% in ✅Trump 17,400 58% Clinton 9,450 31.5% Johnson 2,110 7% Stein 720 2.5% Others 320 1% South Dakota 11% in ✅Trump 21,650 54% Clinton 14,950 37.5% Johnson 3,000 7.5% Others 400 1% Texas 35% in ✅Trump 1,526,200 54.5% Clinton 1,094,700 39% Johnson 145,500 5% Stein 30,700 1% Others 2,900 Wyoming 6% in ✅Trump 7,500 50% Clinton 5,520 37% Johnson 1,360 9% Stein 320 2% Others 300 2% If anyone is wondering why some states are so off, I'm trying to be as realistic as possible. Pennsylvania usually reports its democratic areas 1st.. In New York, the city lags behind the rest of the state for reporting results. That's why with 9% in, Clinton only has a 13 point lead. 9:40pm Popular vote totals 29% in Trump 18,402,835 48.1% Clinton 17,586,230 45.9% Johnson 1,731,375 4.5% Stein 376,525 1.0% Others 188,035 0.5% 10pm calls coming later.. Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Metallifreak10 on November 05, 2016, 12:23:23 AM 10pm and 4 more states polls have closed, we can make at least one projection.
Montana- Trump (3) Iowa- TCTC (6) Nevada- TCTC (6) Utah- TCTC (6) *Iowa exit polls show A statistical tie. *Nevada exit polls show Clinton with a 4 point lead. *Utah exit polls show a statistical tie between McMullin and Trump. Clinton is 9 points behind. *Nebraska's 2nd district is still up in the air, roughly half the vote is in, and Trump is up by 2 points. *Maine's 2nd district is still not decided either. Trump leads by less than a point there with more than half the precincts reporting. *Though Trump leads in Virginia, as usual, the Fairfax County is lagging behind the rest of the state. That will definitely help out Clinton. *Florida is as close as it gets. Exit polls show Hispanic turnout up, but African American turnout slightly down. Whites made up 66% of the Florida electorate and voted 61-36 in favor of Trump, African Americans made up 12% and backed Clinton 92-6. Hispanics made up 18%, and backed Clinton 63-34. Just 12 years ago, Bush won the Latino vote here. The GOP is in some huge trouble if they can't reverse this trend with Hispanics. *In Ohio, some good news for Trump. Most of the vote in Cuyahoga County in, but many Republican areas seem to be lagging. He has trailed here all night, but there is a glimmer of hope as exit polls do have him up by a meager 1 point. *North Carolina is yielding mixed results. Clinton is doing better than President Obama did around the Charlotte area in 2012. But, Trump is doing a little better than Romney did in the western part of the state. Still TCTC. 10:20pm 1 state can be called. New Mexico- Clinton (5) 10:30pm 2 states can be called. Michigan- Clinton (16) Arizona- Trump (11) Trump 177 Clinton 128 Undecided 148 10:40pm 1 more state has been called. Minnesota- Clinton (10) Trump 177 Clinton 138 Undecided 138 10:45pm Some raw vote totals. Virginia 76% in Trump 1,416,000 47% Clinton 1,338,500 44.5% Johnson 187,100 6% Stein 38,900 1.5% Others 19,500 0.5% Florida 90% in Trump 3,773,630 48.4% Clinton 3,768,970 48.3% Johnson 171,600 2.2% Stein 58,500 0.7% Others 27,300 0.4% North Carolina 98% in Trump 2,178,000 48.5% Clinton 2,097,500 46.5% Johnson 204,700 4.5% Others 19,800 0.5% Ohio 68% in Trump 1,753,800 47.5% Clinton 1,722,350 46.5% Johnson 179,450 5% Stein 40,900 1% Others 3,500 New Hampshire 60% in Clinton 203,850 45.3% Trump 199,350 44.3% Johnson 30,400 6.8% Stein 9,220 2% Others 7,180 1.6% Pennsylvania 50% in Clinton 1,580,500 54.5% Trump 1,160,500 40% Johnson 113,000 4% Stein 26,100 1% Others 19,900 0.5% Arizona 75% in ✅Trump 849,500 47% Clinton 777,600 43% Johnson 135,000 7.5% Stein 28,800 2% Others 9,100 0.5% Colorado 60% in Clinton 708,800 44% Trump 667,200 42% Johnson 150,400 9% Stein 44,800 3% Others 28,800 2% Michigan 22% in Trump 471,000 47% ✅Clinton 454,000 45.5% Johnson 55,000 5.5% Stein 16,500 1.5% Others 3,500 0.5% Minnesota 23% in ✅Clinton 345,040 49% Trump 290,550 41.5% Johnson 40,650 6% Stein 15,750 2% Others 8,010 1% New Mexico 30% in ✅Clinton 112,300 45% Trump 100,000 40% Johnson 34,200 13.5% Stein 2,000 1% Others 1,500 0.5% Wisconsin 20% in Trump 319,110 49% Clinton 282,050 43.5% Johnson 35,120 5.5% Stein 9,760 1.5% Others 3,960 0.5% Iowa 35% in Clinton 274,300 49% Trump 250,900 45% Johnson 19,100 3.5% Stein 6,700 1% Others 9,000 1.5% Montana 8% in ✅Trump 20,400 51% Clinton 15,600 39% Johnson 3,320 8.5% Stein 600 1.5% Others 80 Nevada 40% in Clinton 219,250 51% Trump 176,350 41% Johnson 28,800 7% Others 5,600 1% Utah 2% in McMullin 8,780 44% Trump 7,210 36% Clinton 2,800 14% Johnson 810 4% Stein 200 1% Others 200 1% Popular vote totals coming soon, along with 11pm closings. Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Metallifreak10 on November 05, 2016, 02:00:54 PM 10:45pm popular vote totals 54% in.
Trump 33,825,400 47.34% Clinton 33,182,670 46.44% Johnson 3,292,870 4.61% Stein 789,450 1.10% Others 358,610 0.50% Electoral vote totals Trump 177 with 20 states Clinton 138 with 13 states plus DC Undecided 138 with 11 states. Trump has won the following states, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Georgia, West Virginia, Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, Kansas, Louisiana, Nebraska (4/5), North Dakota, South Dakota, Texas, Wyoming, Montana, and Arizona Clinton has won the following states, Vermont, Illinois, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland, DC, Maine (3/4), New York, New Mexico, Michigan, Minnesota The following states are yet to be called, Virginia (13) Florida (29) North Carolina (15) Ohio (18 ) New Hampshire (4) Pennsylvania (20) Colorado (9) Wisconsin (10) Iowa (6) Nevada (6) Utah (6) Maine 2nd district (1) Nebraska 2nd district (1) 11pm and 5 more states polls have closed. California- Clinton (55) Hawaii- Clinton (4) Washington- Clinton (12) Idaho- Trump (4) Oregon- Too early to call (7) Clinton 209 Trump 181 Undecided 145 *Like last time, Oregon is lagging on exit poll date. In 2012, immediate exit poll data showed President Obama with just a 6 point lead, he ended up winning the state by 12. Clinton has a 7 point lead according to exit poll data available now. Next update coming soon. Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Metallifreak10 on November 06, 2016, 01:06:24 AM 11:15pm 1 state can be called.
Nevada- Clinton (6) 11:23pm 1 more state can be called. North Carolina- Trump (15) 11:30pm we can make another call. Nebraska 2nd district- Trump (1) 11:35pm 2 states can be called. Oregon- Clinton (7) Colorado- Clinton (9) Electoral votes now stand like this, Clinton 231 Trump 197 Undecided 107 11:45pm Time to check some vote totals. California 11% in ✅Clinton 810,450 54% Trump 540,300 36% Johnson 90,750 6% Stein 39,000 2.5% Others 19,500 1.5% Washington 25% in ✅Clinton 373,180 46.5% Trump 348,010 43.5% Johnson 49,240 6% Stein 19,200 2.5% Others 10,370 1.5% Hawaii 30% in ✅Clinton 81,180 62.5% Trump 41,600 32% Johnson 4,490 3.5% Stein 2,400 2% Others 330 Idaho 20% in ✅Trump 79,100 56.5% Clinton 38,020 27% Johnson 10,380 7.5% McMullin 9,840 7% Stein 1,260 1% Others 1,400 1% Oregon 50% in ✅Clinton 471,100 52% Trump 346,550 38.5% Johnson 47,700. 5.5% Stein 22,050 2.5% Others 12,600 1.5% Nevada 65% in ✅Clinton 344,400 49% Trump 301,000 43% Johnson 46,150 6.5% Others 8,450 1.5% Colorado 80% in ✅Clinton 948,150 44% Trump 900,850 42% Johnson 202,100 9% Stein 60,200 3% Others 38,700 2% North Carolina 99% in ✅Trump 2,202,200 48.4% Clinton 2,120,300 46.6% Johnson 207,025 4.5% Others 20,475 0.5% Virginia 88% in Clinton 1,623,800 46.4% Trump 1,589,400 45.4% Johnson 218,550 6.2% Stein 45,500 1.3% Others 22,750 0.7% Florida 95% in Clinton 3,966,300 48.4% Trump 3,963,060 48.3% Johnson 180,410 2.2% Stein 61,500 0.7% Others 28,730 0.4% Ohio 83% in Trump 2,173,500 48.3% Clinton 2,054,250 45.7% Johnson 218,250 4.8% Stein 49,500 1.1% Others 4,500 New Hampshire 80% in Clinton 273,000 45.5% Trump 264,600 44% Johnson 40,500 7% Stein 12,300 2% Others 9,600 1.5% Pennsylvania 80% in Clinton 2,336,600 50% Trump 2,046,000 44% Johnson 186,000 4% Stein 46,500 1% Others 34,900 1% Wisconsin 53% in Clinton 761,500 47.5% Trump 720,100 45% Johnson 85,600 5.5% Stein 24,000 1.5% Others 8,800 0.5% Iowa 70% in Clinton 549,030 47.5% Trump 529,160 46% Johnson 39,150 3.5% Stein 13,800 1.5% Others 18,860 1.5% Utah 10% in McMullin 39,000 39% Trump 37,100 37% Clinton 17,900 18% Johnson 4,000 4% Stein 1,100 1% Others 900 1% *Virginia is tilting towards Clinton. Most Republican counties are reporting at least 95% of the vote in, yet the counties surrounding DC are only reporting about 75% of the precincts in. *Florida probably won't be decided tonight. *Ohio is looking good for Trump. 120,000 vote lead with 83% of the precincts reporting. *New Hampshire still can't be called. *Pennsylvania looking better and better For Clinton, but Trump has been closing the gap all night. *Wisconsin still has a long way to go. *Iowa looking good for Clinton, but still a lot of votes still outstanding. The western part of the state seems to be reporting slower than the rest of the state. *Utah is very close. A Trump loss here would be pretty devastating for the GOP. Trump's path is very narrow right now. Trump needs Ohio, Iowa, Florida, Utah, Wisconsin, and the 2nd district of Maine to get to 270. Virginia isn't looking good for Trump, neither is Pennsylvania. Trump's hope is holding onto Ohio, coming from behind in Iowa, squeezing out a win in Florida, holding onto Utah which looks 50/50, and coming from behind in Wisconsin. Clinton's path is very promising. 12:00am poll closing in 1 state. Alaska- Trump (3) Clinton 231 Trump 200 Undecided 107 12:10am, we can make an important call. Virginia- Clinton (13) 92% in ✅Clinton 1,706,500 46.75% Trump 1,644,400 45% Johnson 227,900 6.25% Stein 47,500 1.3% Others 23,700 0.7% 12:14am, we can make another call. Pennsylvania- Clinton (20) 88% in ✅Clinton 2,510,050 49.4% Trump 2,280,015 44.8% Johnson 205,950 4% Stein 50,800 1% Others 38,185 0.8% Updated Electoral Votes. Clinton 264 Trump 200 Undecided 74 12:25am we can make another call. Maine 2nd district- Trump (1) Clinton 264 Trump 201 Undecided 73 States undecided: Florida (29) Ohio (18) New Hampshire (4) Wisconsin (10) Iowa (6) Utah (6) The only state that Trump can lose is New Hampshire, otherwise his path to 270 is closed. Clinton has to be very happy with these results. Final update coming soon. Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Metallifreak10 on November 06, 2016, 02:14:43 PM 12:30am 1 state can be called.
Ohio- Trump (18) 93% in ✅Trump 2,472,150 48.2% Clinton 2,346,980 45.8% Johnson 248,750 4.8% Stein 57,020 1.1% Others 5,100 Clinton 264 Trump 219 Undecided 55 12:45am state updates. Florida 97% in Clinton 4,063,920 48.38% Trump 4,058,880 48.32% Johnson 184,800 2.2% Stein 63,000 0.75% Others 29,400 0.35% Utah 50% in McMullin 206,250 37.5% Trump 199,100 36.2% Clinton 110,550 20.1% Johnson 23,100 4.2% Stein 6,050 1.1% Others 4,950 0.9% Wisconsin 76% in Clinton 1,090,100 47.4% Trump 1,039,840 45.2% Johnson 123,140 5.3% Stein 34,500 1.5% Others 12,420 0.6% New Hampshire 94% in Clinton 309,390 45.5% Trump 299,890 44% Johnson 45,900 6.8% Stein 13,940 2.1% Others 10,880 1.6% Iowa 85% in Trump 638,520 47% Clinton 635,120 46.7% Johnson 47,600 3.5% Stein 16,320 1.2% Others 22,440 1.7% 12:57am 1 state can be called. New Hampshire- Clinton (4) Clinton 268 Trump 219 Undecided 51 1:09am a huge call can be made.. Wisconsin- Clinton (10) 86% in ✅Clinton 1,261,400 47.6% Trump 1,192,500 45% Johnson 141,775 5.3% Stein 39,750 1.5% Others 14,575 0.6% Clinton 278 Trump 219 Undecided 41 And with that, we can finally say that this election is over. One of the nastiest elections that most people can remember. Hillary Rodham Clinton is elected the 45th president of the United States. The question is this, will Donald Trump concede? Let's look at the popular vote 90% in Trump 55,114,120 46.51% ✅Clinton 55,007,800 46.42% Johnson 5,818,260 4.91% Stein 1,599,760 1.35% Others 960,060 0.81% 1:45am 1 state can be called Iowa- Trump (6) Clinton 278 Trump 225 Undecided 35 The word is that Donald Trump went to bed, refusing to concede. 9am Donald Trump says he want to wait for the remaining results to come in. November 10th Still 2 states are undecided. November 11th 1 state can be called Utah- McMullin (6) Clinton 278 Trump 225 McMullin 6 Undecided 29 November 16th Trump finally concedes. November 17th the last state has been called. Florida- Clinton (29) Electoral votes Clinton 307 Trump 225 McMullin 6 I'll post the final vote results of all 50 states plus DC a little later. Then we can see how I do with relation to the actual race. Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Metallifreak10 on November 06, 2016, 04:20:40 PM Here are the first 25 plus D.C.
Alabama ✅Trump 1,221,750 58.60% Clinton 759,000 36.40% Johnson 80,270 3.85% Stein 18,760 0.90% Bernie (W.I.) 1,845 0.09% McMullin (W.I.) 1,500 0.07% Others 1,885 0.09% Alaska ✅Trump 149,800 47.25% Clinton 108,090 34.10% Johnson 47,550 15.00% Stein 7,760 2.45% McMullin (W.I.) 355 0.11% Others 3,445 1.09% Arizona ✅Trump 1,143,190 47.53% Clinton 1,028,500 42.77% Johnson 181,600 7.55% Stein 38,450 1.60% McMullin (W.I.) 1,840 0.08% Others 11,420 0.47% Arkansas ✅Trump 638,400 57.00% Clinton 382,500 34.15% Johnson 60,500 5.40% Stein 20,150 1.80% McMullin 10,080 0.90% Others 8,370 0.75% California ✅Clinton 7,381,700 55.29% Trump 4,639,800 34.76% Johnson 807,650 6.05% Stein 347,100 2.60% Bernie (W.I.) 86,450 0.65% McMullin (W.I.) 11,600 0.09% Others 75,500 0.56% Colorado ✅Clinton 1,180,800 44.22% Trump 1,115,400 41.78% Johnson 251,000 9.40% Stein 74,750 2.80% McMullin 30,150 1.13% Others 17,900 0.67% Connecticut ✅Clinton 866,050 54.30% Trump 649,210 40.70% Johnson 57,400 3.60% Stein 18,340 1.15% McMullin (W.I.) 2,185 0.14% Others 1,825 0.11% Delaware ✅Clinton 226,970 54.30% Trump 168,460 40.30% Johnson 14,850 3.55% Stein 5,220 1.25% McMullin (W.I.) 1,000 0.24% Others 1,500 0.36% D.C. ✅Clinton 270,270 89.20% Trump 20,005 6.60% Stein 6,515 2.15% Johnson 5,760 1.90% Others 450 0.15% Florida ✅Clinton 4,180,500 48.44% Trump 4,164,680 48.26% Johnson 189,900 2.20% Stein 64,720 0.75% Others 30,200 0.35% Georgia ✅Trump 2,019,400 50.80% Clinton 1,749,000 44.00% Johnson 184,850 4.65% Stein (W.I.) 9,940 0.25% McMullin (W.I.) 4,030 0.10% Others 7,780 0.20% Hawaii ✅Clinton 258,050 61.15% Trump 140,525 33.30% Johnson 14,560 3.45% Stein 7,810 1.85% Others 1,055 0.25% Idaho ✅Trump 370,870 54.30% Clinton 200,450 29.35% Johnson 50,550 7.40% McMullin 47,380 6.94% Stein 6,150 0.90% Others 7,600 1.11% Illinois ✅Clinton 2,755,000 52.78% Trump 2,094,300 40.12% Johnson 266,250 5.10% Stein 94,000 1.80% McMullin (W.I) 5,150 0.10% Others 5,300 0.10% Indiana ✅Trump 1,426,000 52.62% Clinton 1,082,100 39.93% Johnson 188,350 6.95% Stein (W.I.) 8,100 0.30% Others 5,450 0.20% Iowa ✅Trump 765,600 47.85% Clinton 732,800 45.80% Johnson 56,000 3.50% Stein 19,200 1.20% McMullin 8,120 0.51% Bernie (W.I.) 6,650 0.42% Others 11,630 0.72% Kansas ✅Trump 657,200 53.65% Clinton 446,500 36.45% Johnson 98,000 8.00% Stein 20,830 1.70% McMullin (W.I.) 1,510 0.12% Others 960 0.08% Kentucky ✅Trump 1,107,980 59.25% Clinton 667,580 35.70% Johnson 62,650 3.35% Stein 15,815 0.85% McMullin 11,495 0.61% Others 4,480 0.34% Louisiana ✅Trump 1,122,700 56.70% Clinton 752,360 38.00% Johnson 73,260 3.70% Stein 19,800 1.00% McMullen 4,600 0.23% Others 7,280 0.37% Maine ✅Clinton 339,450 46.50% Trump 295,650 40.50% Johnson 67,525 9.25% Stein 23,725 3.25% McMullin (W.I) 840 0.11% Others 2,810 0.39% Maryland ✅Clinton 1,561,150 58.70% Trump 923,300 34.70% Johnson 118,400 4.45% Stein 43,850 1.65% McMullin (W.I.) 2,265 0.09% Others 11,035 0.41% Massachusetts ✅Clinton 1,802,400 57.40% Trump 1,062,880 33.85% Johnson 202,500 6.45% Stein 59,670 1.90% McMullin (W.I.) 3,740 0.12% Others 8,810 0.28% Michigan ✅Clinton 2,298,850 49.02% Trump 2,058,150 43.88% Johnson 248,600 5.30% Stein 70,350 1.50% McMullin (W.I.) 3,060 0.07% Others 10,990 0.23% Minnesota ✅Clinton 1,447,150 48.40% Trump 1,267,760 42.40% Johnson 173,430 5.80% Stein 67,270 2.25% McMullin 15,225 0.51% Others 19,165 0.64% Mississippi ✅Trump 707,500 55.71% Clinton 523,750 41.24% Johnson 26,040 2.05% Stein 6,990 0.55% Others 5,720 0.45% Missouri ✅Trump 1,467,430 52.22% Clinton 1,157,100 41.18% Johnson 144,720 5.15% Stein 28,100 1.00% McMullin (W.I.) 1,910 0.07% Others 10,740 0.38% The next 25 will come later. Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Metallifreak10 on November 07, 2016, 12:18:26 AM Montana
✅Trump 260,250 52.05% Clinton 189,750 37.95% Johnson 41,750 8.35% Stein 7,250 1.45% McMullin (W.I.) 460 0.09% Others 540 0.11% Nebraska ✅Trump 453,540 56.55% Clinton 280,700 35.00% Johnson 51,330 6.40% Stein 12,020 1.50% McMullin (W.I.) 755 0.09% Others 3,655 0.46% Nevada ✅Clinton 517,900 48.18% Trump 473,250 44.02% Johnson 70,950 6.60% NOTA 8,050 0.75% Other 4,850 0.45% New Hampshire ✅Clinton 327,600 45.50% Trump 317,520 44.10% Johnson 48,600 6.75% Stein 14,760 2.05% Bernie (W.I.) 7,530 1.05% McMullin (W.I.) 640 0.09% Others 3,350 0.46% New Jersey ✅Clinton 2,042,600 53.89% Trump 1,580,640 41.71% Johnson 98,540 2.60% Stein 41,690 1.10% Bernie (W.I.) 15,030 0.40% McMullin (W.I.) 2,640 0.07% Others 8,860 0.23% New Mexico ✅Clinton 375,365 45.89% Trump 321,160 39.26% Johnson 110,025 13.45% Stein 6,545 0.80% McMullin 2,525 0.31% Others 2,380 0.29% New York ✅Clinton 4,320,510 58.54% Trump 2,701,560 36.61% Johnson 202,900 2.75% Stein 136,550 1.85% McMullin (W.I.) 4,050 0.05% Others 14,430 0.20% North Carolina ✅Trump 2,221,850 48.30% Clinton 2,148,150 46.70% Johnson 209,300 4.55% Stein (W.I.) 7,360 0.15% Others 13,340 0.30% North Dakota ✅Trump 179,780 55.32% Clinton 111,280 34.24% Johnson 22,800 7.00% Stein 7,630 2.35% McMullin (W.I.) 400 0.12% Others 3,110 0.98% Ohio ✅Trump 2,638,150 48.01% Clinton 2,523,900 45.94% Johnson 266,510 4.85% Stein 61,240 1.10% McMullin (W.I.) 2,085 0.04% Others 3,115 0.06% Oklahoma ✅Trump 867,700 62.20% Clinton 450,560 32.30% Johnson 76,740 5.50% Oregon ✅Clinton 894,350 49.55% Trump 745,500 41.30% Johnson 95,650 5.30% Stein 44,050 2.45% Bernie (W.I.) 18,040 1.00% McMullin (W.I.) 1,350 0.07% Others 6,060 0.33% Pennsylvania ✅Clinton 2,786,700 48.21% Trump 2,661,000 46.04% Johnson 236,950 4.10% Stein 54,340 0.95% Bernie (W.I.) 14,880 0.26% McMullin (W.I.) 2,615 0.04% Others 22,515 0.40% Rhode Island ✅Clinton 243,400 54.70% Trump 169,190 38.00% Johnson 19,350 4.35% Stein 9,340 2.10% Bernie (W.I.) 2,115 0.48% McMullin 400 0.09% Others 1,205 0.28% South Carolina ✅Trump 1,057,500 52.35% Clinton 868,500 43.00% Johnson 64,600 3.20% Stein 14,140 0.70% McMullin 6,590 0.33% Others 8,670 0.42% South Dakota ✅Trump 206,230 55.30% Clinton 136,100 36.50% Johnson 27,270 7.30% Others 3,400 0.90% Tennessee ✅Trump 1,456,310 57.10% Clinton 948,700 37.20% Johnson 111,950 4.40% Stein 26,780 1.05% McMullin (W.I.) 900 0.04% Others 5,360 0.21% Texas ✅Trump 4,367,350 53.25% Clinton 3,311,170 40.40% Johnson 418,500 5.10% Stein 94,980 1.15% McMullin (W.I.) 5,015 0.06% Others 2,985 0.04% Utah ✅McMullin 373,470 35.40% Trump 368,300 34.90% Clinton 242,450 23.00% Johnson 48,650 4.60% Stein 12,630 1.20% Others 9,500 0.90% Vermont ✅Clinton 156,735 51.90% Trump 95,725 31.70% Johnson 19,635 6.50% Bernie (W.I.) 16,000 5.30% Stein 11,480 3.80% McMullin 415 0.13% Others 2,010 0.67% Virginia ✅Clinton 1,877,500 47.47% Trump 1,753,070 44.33% Johnson 247,300 6.25% Stein 51,410 1.30% McMullin 15,680 0.40% Others 10,040 0.25% Washington ✅Clinton 1,597,900 50.57% Trump 1,250,185 39.58% Johnson 195,000 6.15% Stein 75,840 2.40% Bernie (W.I.) 21,800 0.69% McMullin (W.I.) 2,850 0.09% Others 16,425 0.52% West Virginia ✅Trump 478,130 63.75% Clinton 227,240 30.30% Johnson 31,125 4.15% Stein 9,370 1.25% McMullin (W.I.) 300 0.04% Others 3,835 0.51% Wisconsin ✅Clinton 1,465,510 47.54% Trump 1,389,040 45.06% Johnson 165,650 5.35% Stein 45,950 1.50% McMullin (W.I.) 2,015 0.06% Others 14,835 0.49% Wyoming ✅Trump 161,420 63.80% Clinton 57,930 22.90% Johnson 22,520 8.90% Stein 5,315 2.10% Bernie (W.I.) 2,240 0.89% McMullin (W.I.) 450 0.18% Others 3,125 1.23% Popular vote ✅Clinton 62,260,570 47.35% Trump 59,572,490 45.30% Johnson 6,575,760 5.00% Stein 1,854,035 1.41% McMullin 593,640 0.45% Bernie 192,580 0.15% Castle 157,210 0.12% La Riva 61,675 0.05% De La Fuente 42,825 0.03% NOTA 8,050 0.01% Others 180,215 0.14% Total vote: 131,499,000 What does everyone think? I made these predictions a week and a half ago. I'm sticking with these, but I think I may be off on a couple things. I think actual turnout will be around 133 million, I think that Gary Johnson will be around 4.5%, not 5%. I think that Trump is probably gonna take Utah. But, we will see. I'm 90% sure Hillary Clinton will win. But again, we will see. Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: peterthlee on January 07, 2017, 09:09:17 AM Well, you nailed NY virtually 59-37.
Title: Re: My prediction with a timeline. Post by: Metallifreak10 on January 11, 2017, 11:34:06 PM Haha yeah, I guess I did. I was way off on some. But, I was close on the popular vote margin. Only 0.04% off, but that's about it lol.
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