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Title: GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4 Post by: HillOfANight on November 04, 2016, 01:10:51 PM http://opinionsavvy.com/2016/11/04/poll-trump-ahead-in-georgia-by-four/
Trump - 49% (50) Clinton - 45% (46) Johnson - 6% (3) Clinton is still winning the early vote: 51% to 43% Trump wins day-of voters: 57% to 34% Trump wins 65% of white voters; Clinton wins 80% of black voters Title: Re: GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4 Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on November 04, 2016, 01:13:04 PM They are both losing to Johnson, hehe ;)
Title: Re: GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4 Post by: Speed of Sound on November 04, 2016, 01:14:14 PM The Re-boundinging!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Title: Re: GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4 Post by: Xing on November 04, 2016, 01:16:11 PM Something fishy is going on here. There's no way that GA and NH are both close.
Title: Re: GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4 Post by: HillOfANight on November 04, 2016, 01:17:30 PM Georgia has been like this the whole cycle, tie to +6, with no real correlation with national numbers.
New Hampshire is overreacting to the Comey letter. Title: Re: GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4 Post by: SunSt0rm on November 04, 2016, 01:18:47 PM JohnsonSurge!
Title: Re: GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4 Post by: Ozymandias on November 04, 2016, 01:22:41 PM Possible evidence for a recent Clinton surge in Georgia?
Clinton's 8-point EV lead with 59% of Opinion Savvy poll is MUCH different than 6-point Trump EV lead that Survey USA found in 30% of their sample a few days ago. Title: Re: GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4 Post by: dspNY on November 04, 2016, 01:27:29 PM http://opinionsavvy.com/2016/11/04/poll-trump-ahead-in-georgia-by-four/ Trump - 49% (50) Clinton - 45% (46) Johnson - 6% (3) Clinton is still winning the early vote: 51% to 43% Trump wins day-of voters: 57% to 34% Trump wins 65% of white voters; Clinton wins 80% of black voters If Trump only wins 65% of white voters he loses Title: Re: GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4 Post by: HillOfANight on November 04, 2016, 01:28:47 PM Possible evidence for a recent Clinton surge in Georgia? Clinton's 8-point EV lead with 59% of Opinion Savvy poll is MUCH different than 6-point Trump EV lead that Survey USA found in 30% of their sample a few days ago. SurveyUSA always has junky crosstabs. Both of these are landline pollsters. OpinionSavvy used to post the details, but got mocked, and now just release the topline. Title: Re: GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4 Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on November 04, 2016, 01:37:37 PM Possible evidence for a recent Clinton surge in Georgia? Clinton's 8-point EV lead with 59% of Opinion Savvy poll is MUCH different than 6-point Trump EV lead that Survey USA found in 30% of their sample a few days ago. SurveyUSA always has junky crosstabs. Both of these are landline pollsters. OpinionSavvy used to post the details, but got mocked, and now just release the topline. SUSA's sample size of EV was just 180, so MOE is pretty big. Title: Re: GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4 Post by: HillOfANight on November 04, 2016, 01:53:55 PM http://www.surveyusa.com/methodology.html
SurveyUSA is the first research company to appreciate that opinion research can be made more affordable, more consistent and in some ways more accurate by eliminating the single largest cost of conducting research, and a possible source of bias: the human interviewer. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=874ea794-a227-44a0-a81b-bdc09dd92fac Respondents reachable on a home telephone (64% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (36% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Title: GA: Opinion Savvy: Trump with Slight Lead in Georgia Post by: ElectionAtlas on November 05, 2016, 07:43:34 AM New Poll: Georgia President by Opinion Savvy on 2016-11-03 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=1320161103254)
Summary: D: 45%, R: 49%, U: 1% Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/OS-GA-General-11.4.16.pdf) |