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Election Archive => 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls => Topic started by: Wiz in Wis on November 04, 2016, 02:49:42 pm



Title: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Wiz in Wis on November 04, 2016, 02:49:42 pm
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/11/clinton-leads-by-5-in-firewall-states.html

Virginia:

Clinton 48
Trump 43
Johnson 4
Stein 1
McMullin 1

Michigan:


Clinton 46
Trump 41
Johnson 6
Stein 2

Colorado:

Clinton 48
Trump 43
Johnson 4
Stein 2
McMullin 1

FYI: These are the final PPP public polls this cycle.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Ozymandias on November 04, 2016, 02:50:03 pm
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/11/clinton-leads-by-5-in-firewall-states.html



Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Ebsy on November 04, 2016, 02:50:37 pm
Good.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: The Other Castro on November 04, 2016, 02:50:54 pm
I'd prefer higher but alright. Clinton's also up in H2H +5 in CO, +6 in VA, +6 in MI.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Speed of Sound on November 04, 2016, 02:51:39 pm
Game over.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Edgar Suit Larry on November 04, 2016, 02:52:05 pm
OK. This is what happens if Bubba gets drunk again and doesn't load up his buddies in the back of the pickup...and just forgets to vote. Again.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: dfwlibertylover on November 04, 2016, 02:52:25 pm
hmm, how does PPP compare to Strategic National and Trafalgar?


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Southern Delegate matthew27 on November 04, 2016, 02:53:13 pm
Finally a real poll. Great results!


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Ebsy on November 04, 2016, 02:53:34 pm
hmm, how does PPP compare to Strategic National and Trafalgar?
lmao


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Biden If Buttigieg on November 04, 2016, 02:54:29 pm
Trump below 45% in all 3 is good.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on November 04, 2016, 02:54:35 pm
It is sort of 1-day poll.


Quote
November 3-4, 2016


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Eraserhead on November 04, 2016, 02:55:55 pm
I'm surprised about Michigan.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Speed of Sound on November 04, 2016, 02:56:14 pm

Indeed.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Speed of Sound on November 04, 2016, 02:57:03 pm
It is sort of 1-day poll.


Quote
November 3-4, 2016

And you give "red hacks" crap for conveniently picked criticism. ::) ::) ::) ::) ::)


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: rafta_rafta on November 04, 2016, 02:57:26 pm
are they advocacy polls or public ?


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Speed of Sound on November 04, 2016, 02:58:00 pm

These appear to be public.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on November 04, 2016, 02:58:44 pm
It is sort of 1-day poll.


Quote
November 3-4, 2016

And you give "red hacks" crap for conveniently picked criticism. ::) ::) ::) ::) ::)

Lol, I'm using the same arguments as you do ;)


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Xing on November 04, 2016, 02:59:03 pm
PPP = Democratic internal = JUNK!

Am I doing this right?


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Ebsy on November 04, 2016, 03:00:06 pm
Yeah they are public.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Wiz in Wis on November 04, 2016, 03:00:33 pm
Also, can a red avatar enter these, as well as the other PPP polls, into the damn database already?


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: GeorgiaModerate on November 04, 2016, 03:01:37 pm
hmm, how does PPP compare to Strategic National and Trafalgar?

PPP's personal leanings are Democratic (they are open about this), but historically their polling has been quite good, and they have a long track record.  Several years ago they showed a D-lean in their polling, but this has disappeared in recent years.  At present, 538's pollster ratings gives them a B+ with a bias of R+0.2, based on 383 polls, of which they've called 82% correctly.

Also, their Twitter feed (https://twitter.com/ppppolls/) is usually amusing. :)

EDIT: I'm sure you already knew that, Senator, but I posted it anyway for the less informed. :)


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Ozymandias on November 04, 2016, 03:03:16 pm
Clinton continues to dominate the early voting:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_COMIVA_110416.pdf

COLORADO

Of the 73% (514/704) of respondents who said they voted early:

Clinton - 52
Trump - 41
Johnson - 3
Stein - 2
McMullin - 1

SENATE: Bennett - 55, Glenn - 38

MICHIGAN

Of the 32% (306/957) of respondents who said they voted early:

Clinton - 57
Trump - 36
Johnson - 3
Stein - 2

VIRGINIA

Of the 14% (173/1238) of respondents who said they voted early:

Clinton - 63
Trump - 32
Johnson - 2
McMullin - 1
Stein - 0


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Lief 🐋 on November 04, 2016, 03:05:30 pm
Thank god we're getting some PPP polls to outweigh all the garbage.  Hopefully NBC pays for some Marist polls for this weekend as well.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Speed of Sound on November 04, 2016, 03:06:15 pm
COLORADO

Of the 73% (514/704) of respondents who said they voted early:

Clinton - 52
Trump - 41
Johnson - 3
Stein - 2
McMullin - 1


Going....going....gone!


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: BoAtlantis on November 04, 2016, 03:07:16 pm
:)


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: RalstonSucks on November 04, 2016, 03:08:08 pm
LIES


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Speed of Sound on November 04, 2016, 03:09:21 pm

Can't argue with that counter.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: pbrower2a on November 04, 2016, 03:10:13 pm
I was polled.

In case anyone wonders whether these were push polls... there was no mention of the group and no mention of any issues. This poll is good -- very clean.  

Game over, indeed. Donald Trump had to win at least one of these three states, Florida, and North Carolina even if he was winning Iowa.  



Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Erich Maria Remarque on November 04, 2016, 03:10:46 pm
Do they adjust for Shy Trumpers? :P


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: alomas on November 04, 2016, 03:11:50 pm
Looks like Pennsylvania will be do-or-die for Trump.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: psychprofessor on November 04, 2016, 03:12:09 pm
I actually think PPP undersamples Latino's with robo polls. I expect her to outperform her polling avg in Colorado and Nevada from PPP.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: HokeyDood on November 04, 2016, 03:17:49 pm
ABSOLUTELY TREMENDOUS!!!  I TINGLE WITH POSITIVITY!


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Maxwell on November 04, 2016, 03:19:04 pm
For some reason, every state except for Missouri is within 5 this year.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Maxwell on November 04, 2016, 03:45:03 pm
h2h:

Colorado
50% Clinton
45% Trump

Michigan
50% Clinton
44% Trump

Virginia
51% Clinton
45% Trump

That pretty much shows how over this race is - Trump winning every single undecided still loses.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Speed of Sound on November 04, 2016, 03:45:50 pm
h2h:

Colorado
50% Clinton
45% Trump

Michigan
50% Clinton
44% Trump

Virginia
51% Clinton
45% Trump

That pretty much shows how over this race is - Trump winning every single undecided still loses.

#magicnumber


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: RalstonSucks on November 04, 2016, 03:45:55 pm
these rigged (D) polls aren't "junk" are they ?


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Mangez des pommes ! on November 04, 2016, 03:51:56 pm
Finally some non-trash polls.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: pbrower2a on November 04, 2016, 04:21:31 pm
I actually think PPP undersamples Latino's with robo polls. I expect her to outperform her polling avg in Colorado and Nevada from PPP.
...oprima en la dos.


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: ‼realJohnEwards‼ on November 04, 2016, 04:30:09 pm
these rigged (D) polls aren't "junk" are they ?
They've had an R tilt, so don't give me that sh[Inks].


Title: CO: Public Policy Polling: Clinton Leads in Colorado
Post by: Dave Leip on November 04, 2016, 04:42:46 pm
New Poll: Colorado President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-11-04 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=820161104108)

Summary: D: 48%, R: 43%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_COMIVA_110416.pdf)


Title: MI: Public Policy Polling: Clinton Leads in Michigan
Post by: Dave Leip on November 04, 2016, 04:43:37 pm
New Poll: Michigan President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-11-04 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=2620161104108)

Summary: D: 46%, R: 41%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_COMIVA_110416.pdf)


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: Landslide Lyndon on November 04, 2016, 04:44:02 pm
If anything we could certainly use some more Democratic polling this year. In 2012 the Dem firms (Mellman, Keating, etc.) were among the best and most accurate.


Title: VA: Public Policy Polling: Clinton Leads in Virginia
Post by: Dave Leip on November 04, 2016, 04:44:40 pm
New Poll: Virginia President by Public Policy Polling on 2016-11-04 (https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=5120161104108)

Summary: D: 48%, R: 43%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details (http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_COMIVA_110416.pdf)


Title: Re: PPP - MI, CO, VA: Clinton +5 in 3 states
Post by: psychprofessor on November 04, 2016, 04:46:44 pm
It would be nice if Democracy Corp made a huge swing state dump that RCP didn't add :-)