Talk Elections

Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion => 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results => Topic started by: SingingAnalyst on November 20, 2016, 07:24:30 PM



Title: How did Bernie Sanders supporters vote?
Post by: SingingAnalyst on November 20, 2016, 07:24:30 PM
Since the CNN exit polls didn't report these results, I did a little searching. I found this poll which I take with a grain of salt, showing Clinton beating Trump 19-13 among Sanders voters, with 48% voting Jill Stein. Does anyone have more reliable data? http://heavy.com/news/2016/11/who-are-bernie-sanders-supporters-voting-for-hillary-clinton-jill-stein-gary-johnson-donald-trump-percentages-votes/


Title: Re: How did Bernie Sanders supporters vote?
Post by: AtorBoltox on November 22, 2016, 08:47:38 PM
Overwhelmingly for Clinton, obviously


Title: Re: How did Bernie Sanders supporters vote?
Post by: Mr. Morden on November 22, 2016, 09:18:53 PM
Since the CNN exit polls didn't report these results, I did a little searching. I found this poll which I take with a grain of salt, showing Clinton beating Trump 19-13 among Sanders voters, with 48% voting Jill Stein. Does anyone have more reliable data? http://heavy.com/news/2016/11/who-are-bernie-sanders-supporters-voting-for-hillary-clinton-jill-stein-gary-johnson-donald-trump-percentages-votes/

That’s not a scientific poll.  The only pollster I’m aware of who polled this question late in the race was Yougov.  Here’s what it looked like at their final poll:

More crosstabs…

People who voted in the Dem. primaries:
Clinton 83%
Trump 9%
Stein 3%
Johnson 2%

People who voted in the GOP primaries:
Trump 82%
Clinton 8%
Johnson 5%
Stein 0%

People who supported Sanders in the primaries:
Clinton 68%
Trump 15%
Stein 7%
Johnson 4%

People who supported a Republican candidate other than Trump in the primaries:
Trump 70%
Clinton 11%
Johnson 9%
Stein 0%

97% of those who backed Clinton in the primary still back her in the GE.  97% of those who backed Trump in the primary still back him in the GE.


This is from a national poll taken Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, whose topline #s were:

Clinton 45%
Trump 42%
Johnson 4%
Stein 2%


Title: Re: How did Bernie Sanders supporters vote?
Post by: SingingAnalyst on November 23, 2016, 06:43:05 PM
Since the CNN exit polls didn't report these results, I did a little searching. I found this poll which I take with a grain of salt, showing Clinton beating Trump 19-13 among Sanders voters, with 48% voting Jill Stein. Does anyone have more reliable data? http://heavy.com/news/2016/11/who-are-bernie-sanders-supporters-voting-for-hillary-clinton-jill-stein-gary-johnson-donald-trump-percentages-votes/

That’s not a scientific poll.  The only pollster I’m aware of who polled this question late in the race was Yougov.  Here’s what it looked like at their final poll:

More crosstabs…

People who voted in the Dem. primaries:
Clinton 83%
Trump 9%
Stein 3%
Johnson 2%

People who voted in the GOP primaries:
Trump 82%
Clinton 8%
Johnson 5%
Stein 0%

People who supported Sanders in the primaries:
Clinton 68%
Trump 15%
Stein 7%
Johnson 4%

People who supported a Republican candidate other than Trump in the primaries:
Trump 70%
Clinton 11%
Johnson 9%
Stein 0%

97% of those who backed Clinton in the primary still back her in the GE.  97% of those who backed Trump in the primary still back him in the GE.


This is from a national poll taken Oct. 30 - Nov. 1, whose topline #s were:

Clinton 45%
Trump 42%
Johnson 4%
Stein 2%

Thank you. 68% and 70% are pretty low percentages for Clinton and Trump, respectively.