Talk Elections

With over 6000 replies over the course of 12 years, the old thread is locked (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=21663.0).

Have fun :)

RIP :'(

Let the games begin!

Goldwater would not have won any New England state.

1996 if every non-Bill Clinton voter voted for Bob Dole (aka if Clinton only won states where he won a majority):
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And the reverse:
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The Prequel of a Dynasty: An American House of Cards

Act I: 1940

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Amb. Joseph Kennedy/Sec. Cordell Hull: 509 E. Votes, 61.3%
Fmr. Amb. Hanford MacNider/Gov. Arthur James: 25 E. Votes, 37.3%

In late 1939, President Roosevelt suffered a crippling heart attack, leaving him unable to govern. Roosevelt then suffered a subsequent stroke, leading to complete body paralysis and him communicating by blinking, or tapping a pen. Vice President Garner went against many of the now even more crippled President's wishes, and decided to run for president, claiming he "was the real president". Ambassador Kennedy declared his interest in running for the Presidency, causing a major stir in the Democratic Party. Vice President Garner invited Kennedy to be his running mate, but Kennedy declined. He stated that if Garner did not drop out, he would blackmail him with crippling information, launching the country into chaos. Garner decided to drop out, and was promised to be Secretary of Agriculture. Kennedy cleared Secretary of State Cordell Hull from possibly being a candidate by offering him the Vice Presidency. The Democratic Primary was rigged for Kennedy, while the Republicans had a very open one. Former President Herbert Hoover, Senator Arthur Vandenburg and Governor Alf Landon were all in fierce competition, resulting in Former WW1 hero Hanford MacNider winning the Republican Nomination, after giving a good evening speech to the delegates. MacNider was forced to choose someone with experience to be his running mate, but was denied by all major candidates except for Former President Hoover and new Governor of Pennsylvania Arthur James. MacNider chose James. Kennedy had the charisma, the star power, and the promise of no new war. Kennedy slammed MacNider as a "relic of old times", and secretly ran ads out of the KKK accusing the war hero as being involved in homosexual acts. Kennedy promised no war in Europe, and challenged MacNider to a debate. MacNider initially declined, but was forced to, where he was bashed by both Kennedy and the Audience. Ambassador Kennedy was elected to the presidency in a landslide, and upon hearing the news, the paralyzed President Roosevelt shed a tear. He would have another stroke ten days after President-elect Kennedy was inaugurated.

(Damn, I got deep. Was that good?)

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Marine Le Pen (FN) 290 electors, 25% votes
Emmanuel Macron (EM) 248 electors, 26% votes
François Fillon (LR) 21% votes
Jean-Luc Mélenchon (FI) 19% votes
Benoît Hamon (PS) 9% votes

Methodology

Using a similar method as above, except assuming that Trump primary votes = Le Pen first round votes and Sanders primary votes = Melenchon/Hamon first round votes (adjusted for current polling numbers)

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Macron 26% 245 EV
Le Pen 25% 173 EV
Fillon 21% 98 EV
Melenchon 19% 22 EV

Trump v. Sanders, primary percentage edition:
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Mr. Donald J. Trump (R-NY) 344 electoral votes
Senator Bernard Sanders (D-VT) 194 electoral votes

1992 Primary v. 2008 Primary
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Governor William J. Clinton (Democrat-Arkansas) 287 electoral votes
Senator Hillary R. Clinton (Democrat-New York) 251 electoral votes

Each shade is an interval of 5% (plus or minus 5% were left blank due to inherent imprecision of the estimate)

On a similar theme, the 2016 election with 1988 demographics:

I'm surprised that Maine-at-large doesn't flip.

Clinton surprisingly won white voters in Maine IRL.

2016 with all the close plurality states flipped

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Clinton/Kaine 300 EV
Trump/Pence 238 EV


Also, here's 1976 with the same idea

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Carter/Mondale
Ford/Dole

You missed Minnesota and New Mexico (unless that was intentional). Also Utah, but that wasn't close.

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State vote tied to passport ownership

Following on from the locked "Post Random Maps Here" (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=21663.5975) and its bisection of states by Wallace vote in 1968, I have done a map of the La Follette vote from 1924:

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Green: States where Robert La Follette received more than 12% of the vote
Red: States where Robert La Follette received less than 12% of the vote

Unsurprisingly, La Follette played very poorly in the South, where very few of the lower classes could vote. He also fared poorly in the border states excepting Maryland (where he did best in urban Baltimore and German Western Maryland), and in the Northeast outside of anti-Prohibition precincts in the New York and Boston metropolitan areas. Closest state to the divide is Massachusetts at close to 12.50 percent: the next below it being Connecticut and Michigan at between 10.50 and 10.60 percent.

In addition, here is a similar map for John Anderson in 1980, using a threshold of 7 percent to bisect the states:

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Green: States where John Anderson received more than 7% of the vote
Red: States where John Anderson received less than 7% of the vote

There are many similarities with the La Follette map, with the major difference being the Northeast, especially upper New England, which was La Follette's weakest region outside the antebellum slave states, but contained Anderson's strongest states. The most marginal states are Wyoming, Delaware and Kansas, where Anderson received between 6.80 percent and 7.00 percent, and on the other side Nebraska, Alaska, Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada at between 7.00 percent and 7.12 percent.

Making another thread after posting here already is spamming.

I forgot Minnesota yes.

As for NM and Utah, neither of those were close at all. NM was pretty much because of Gary Johnson eating into Hillary's share.

I used "10% or less" as my definition of "close". Granted, NM barely was within the range, so I could understand you not including it.

As for UT, I already said it wasn't close. :P

Here's a county map of the 2016 election, only more... purple.
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Man, thank god for Ogalala Lakota county. The island of red makes the Democrats seem just a little bit less pathetic in the Plains.

On the contrary, it makes the voters seem just a little bit less pathetic in the Plains

1976
President Agnew receives popular ratification in a contentious election battle against the insurgent, but foundering, Jimmy Carter.
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President Spiro T. Agnew (Republican-Maryland)/Vice President Daniel J. Evans (Republican-Washington) 286 electoral votes, 47.5% of the popular vote
Former Governor James E. Carter (Democrat-Georgia)/Senator Walter Mondale (Democrat-Minnesota) 252 electoral votes, 45.3% of the popular vote
Former Senator Eugene McCarthy (Independent-Minnesota)/various 0 electoral votes,
 5.6% of the popular vote

"I'm you, but stronger."

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Businessman Mark Cuban (D-TX)/Governor Roy Cooper (D-NC) - 412 electoral votes, 53.6% of the popular vote
President Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) - 126 electoral votes, 43.1% of the popular vote

Article the twenty-eighth…

Section 1. The twenty-second article of amendment to the Constitution of the United States is hereby repealed.
Section 2. This article shall be inoperative unless it shall have been ratified as an amendment to the Constitution by conventions in the several States, as provided in the Constitution, within seven years from the date of the submission hereof to the States by the Congress.

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2020 United States Presidential Election
Former President Barack Obama/Governor Steve Bullock: 57.49% 443 EVs
President Donald Trump/Vice President Mike Pence: 38.31% 89 EVs
Former Governor Mitt Romney/Former Senator Jeff Flake: 3.17% 6 EVs
Others: 1.03%

2008:

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Hillary Clinton 351-187 John McCain

Hillary Clinton runs better in the early game and has a sizable lead by the time Obama gets his name out there. She chooses some generic neoliberal as her running mate and easily defeats McCain as expected.

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Hillary Clinton 303-Mitt Romney 235

2012 is pretty similar to ours, with Clinton actually gaining a state (VA) while on the defense. GOP congress and such. Romney's too aloof and upper class to pull it off.

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David Becerra (R-FL) / Mike Pence (R-IN) 326 EV

Barack Obama (D-IL) / Generic Dem (D-MA)

David Becerra becomes the first Latin American president. The biggest issue of this campaign is relations with Europe, with Obama supporting strong relations with Europe and Becerra supporting better ties with the third world and east asia and competing against Europe for these markets. His economic policy is somewhat protectionist.

I daydreamed that this could be 2020, Sanders/Brown vs. Pence/Haley

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SAT vs. ACT

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1844: Tyler Too
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Henry Clay / Theodore Frelinghuysen (Whig) 140 electors, 46% votes
Martin Van Buren / Lewis Cass (Democratic) 91 electors, 35% votes
John Tyler / Daniel S. Dickinson (Independent Democrat) 44 electors, 19% votes

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Romney 2012 (blue) vs. Trump 2016 (green)

Trump wins 393-145.

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Obama 2012 (blue) vs. Clinton 2016 (green)

Clinton wins 293-245.

Blue Dog Party-Presidential Primary 2008
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Rep. Heath Shuler
Sen. Evan Bayh
Rep. Colin Peterson (Dropped out after getting 2nd in Vermont, March 4, endorsed Bayh)
Rep. Walt Minnick (Dropped out after Super Tuesday, endorsed Shuler)
Fmr. Gov. Gaston Caperton (Dropped out after Nevada, endorsed Shuler)

Bigger Bush win in 1988
Bush wins all states he lost by 10% or less, gets a swing of 5% to him from Dukakis, so 10% total swing.
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George HW Bush/Dan Quayle-Republican: 523 EV 58.37%
Michael Dukakis/Lloyd Bentsen-Democratic: 15 EV 40.65%

Closer 1988 election
There is a 6% total swing to Dukakis, so Dukakis gains 3% of the vote and Bush loses 3%. All states that went to Bush by 6% or less go to Dukakis.
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George HW Bush/Dan Quayle-Republican: 289 EV 50.37%
Michael Dukakis/Lloyd Bentsen-Democratic: 249 EV 48.65%

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2008 with a populistic Clinton/Obama ticket

1936 US election
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President Franklin D Roosevelt/John Nance Garner-Democratic: 523 EV 65.80%
Alfred Landon/Frank Knox-Republican: 8 EV 31.54%

Yep!

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POTUS McMullin?

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Used state population ranking and started with the largest state California going Republican then alternated from there. Texas-D, New York-R, Florida-D, etc.

Bigger LBJ victory
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President Lyndon Baines Johnson/Hubert Humphrey-Democratic: 521 EV 71.05%
Barry Goldwater/William Miller-Republican: 17 EV 28.47%

Chris Christie doesn't do Bridgegate and spends more time in his state, rather than campaign for himself and others.
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Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ)/Governor Susana Martinez (R-NM) - 349 EV
Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 183 EV
Officer Evan McMullin (I-UT)/Businesswoman Mindy Finn (I-DC) - 6 EV

Maps based on this WaPo write up based on realisticidealist's Precinct Maps (https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/politics/wp/2017/05/13/at-last-an-electoral-map-thats-to-the-proper-scale/)

2008

John McCain 487 EVs 74.9%
Barack Obama 51 EVs 25.1%

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Note: WaPo's graphics were a bit blurry on my phone. I can't tell who won Delaware because it's so close. I gave it to McCain on this map.

2012

Mitt Romney 74.2% 495 EVs
Barack Obama 25.8% 43 EVs

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2016

Donald Trump 78.7% 514 EVs
Hillary Clinton 21.3% 24 EVs

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*Note: Evan McMullin won about 0.5% of Utah, but that's negligible on state or national level

Why is McMullin in this race?

Same reason as OTL. Christie is not a "true conservative".

More to the point, he would have similar problems with Mormons that Trump did--loud, harsh sounding Northeasterner whose reputation relies on being "tough" but not particularly pious, and with some breaks from conservative orthodoxy in his past (though not as glaring as Trump's). I fail to see, however, how these would be worse than any problems Trump suffered with that group.

The Big Guy Takes the Plunge
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Governor Christopher J. Christie (R-NJ)/ Fmr. Governor Timothy Pawlenty (R-MN): 305 Electoral Votes, 49.7%
President Barack H. Obama (D-IL)/ Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE): 233 Electoral Votes, 48.3%

Johnson 2016 Bisected:

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Stein 2016 Bisected:
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Future scenario:

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1992 three way PV tie
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202-195-141
TX is a photo finish between Bush and Perot and might take a while to be called.

It was an accident – I realised I ought to have posted in this thread.

Having read The Emerging Republican Majority, although it does not address the issue directly that book does show why La Follette did so badly in upper New England. Simply put, the “Yankee” heartland was pro-“Establishment”, regardless of that establishment’s positions, and La Follette was not. In many of the classic “Yankee” counties, La Follette only got 2 or 3 percent.

Very interesting!

If Hillary won every state she lost at ~40%
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Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 340 EV
Businessman Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Governor Mike Pence (R-IN) - 198 EV

If Trump won every state he lost at ~40%
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Businessman Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Governor Mike Pence (R-IN) - 355 EV
Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) - 183 EV

JFK is not assassinated.
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President John F. Kennedy (D-MA)/Vice President Lyndon B. Johnson (D-TX) - 276 EV
Governor Nelson A. Rockefeller (R-NY)/Congressman John W. Byrnes (R-WI) - 262 EV

Any guesses for this one?
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Has something to do with 2000-2004 swings (at least, based on how often I've looked at that map).

Nope, but it is interesting you suggested that because what it really is may be a cause of the 2000-2004 swings.

Omaha Saves The World!

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Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine - 270 - 47.6%
Donald Trump/Mike Pence - 268 - 47.3%

I might want to write a TL about this... interesting scenario.

^No credit to rural Maine? Sad! ;)

Yeah I'm much more curious about Maine in that scenario than Nebraska :P

"Aroostook saves the world" doesn't have quite the same ring to it.


EDIT: I guess this is the only other map I could make work.
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2052 presidential election:
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Cool!

Maybe McMullin does better and Poonghazi is a bit later? I've toyed with the idea of making a "McMullin does better" timeline.

Inspired loosely by Kamala and TD:
2020: Ohio?! (aka Cleveland Rocks (But Not Hard Enough) (aka Ohio Turns The World Upside Down))
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President Mike Pence (R-IN) / Ambassador Nikki Haley (R-SC) - 269
Senator Sherrod Brown (D-OH) / Senator Chris Murphy (D-CT) - 269
The GOP holds on to the House, 218-217, and the Senate, 50+VP-50, in 2018. On Wednesday morning, this is the map. Republicans make a few gains in the House, while Democrats retake the Senate. On December 8, after many recounts, Ohio is called for President Pence, sending the election to the Republican House and the Democratic Senate, which picks Pence and Murphy, respectively.
2024: Buckeye/Murphy, Round 2
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Governor Richard Cordray (D-OH) / Vice President Chris Murphy (D-CT) - 374
Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) / Senator Nikki Haley (R-SC) - 164
Think TD's '24, but slightly less devastating and not a realignment.
2028: Dude, Where's My Realignment?
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President Richard Cordray (D-OH) / Vice President Chris Murphy (D-CT) - 427
Governor Jason Chaffetz (R-UT) / Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) - 111
Closest races in MT, MO, and IN.
2032: Shouldn't Have Left One Observatory
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Governor Cory Gardner (R-CO) / Senator Dan Sullivan (R-AK) - 290
Vice President Chris Murphy (D-CT) / Senator Joaquin Castro (D-TX) - 250
Murphy's luck as Vice President runs out when he runs for the top job.
2036: I've Made A Huge Mistake
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President Cory Gardner (R-CO) / Vice President Riley Kent (R-WV) - 337
Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) / Senator Joaquin Castro (D-TX) - 203
With decreasing population and depressed turnout in Chicago, Gillibrand's defense game fails as Illinois flips (Atlas) blue for the first time since 1988 in what has since been regarded as a fluke.
2040: The Rainbow Election
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Governor Emily McConville (D-NC) / Senator Spenser Danson (D-NY) - 363
Vice President Riley Kent (R-WV) / Senator Taylor Wyson (R-TX) - 174
Mr. Daniel Holden (L-GA) / Ms. Gina Howard (L-CA) - 3
After a heavily contested primary involving Mario Party and a GE during which Danson stabbed Wyson in the testicle, McConville was elected the first female and openly LGBT president (hence the name) in an election that's a lot closer than it looks. The popular vote was only 1% in McConville's favor, and a 2% uniform swing gives the election to Kent.
2044: The Immaculate Conception of Emily Phoebe McConville (aka Boy, She Done Did It)
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President Emily McConville (D-NC) / Vice President Spenser Danson (D-NY) - 830
Vice President Riley Kent (R-WV) / City Councilman Santiago Carmen (R-CA) - 1
Ms. Caroline Holden (L-GA) / HUD Secretary Jordan Evans (L-MA) - 1
In 2041, the Cube Root rule was installed as a way of apportioning House seats, and DC was admitted as a state. Kent's campaign was much more disorganized than four years prior. His previous running mate was booted off in late September following a gaffe suggesting that "trannies and Jews" were running the federal government (to be fair, much like the President and Vice President, respectively, a majority of the Cabinet was either transgender or Jewish. The second term saw this majority turn into 100%, likely in response). A faithless elector from Georgia voted for the Libertarian ticket of 2040 Libertarian nominee Caroline Holden (then known as Daniel Holden) and HUD Secretary Jordan Evans. Holden had a sex change in 2041 after a particularly nasty allergy season and having learned that women have slightly fewer runny noses. Also having a sex change was former VP Kent, after losing a bet with McConville, made after he declared his candidacy in 2043.
2048: Is The Wyson Right?
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Governor Taylor Wyson (R-TX) / Senator Brian McHenry (R-MN) - 434
Secretary Johanne Daniel (D-OR) / Senator Dan Basch (D-MI) - 398
In 2046, Nebraska and Maine switch back to winner-take-all. While the race was close throughout, President McConville's decision not to go to war over a terrorist attack in St. Louis in Sepember damaged Daniel's well-organized campaign. Closest states were MN, NC, and CT. 20,000 votes in the second flips the election to Daniel.

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2008
Gov. Janet Napolitano/Gen. Wesley Clark - 328
Gov Mitt Romney/ Gov Mike Huckabee - 210

2016
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Donald J. Trump [R-NY] / Gov. Mike Pence [R-IN]
Fmr. Secy. Hillary Clinton [D-NY] / Sen. Tim Kaine [D-VA]
We know the story here.

2020
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Pres. Mike Pence [R-IN] / Amb. Nikki Haley [R-SC] - 269
Sen. Kamala Harris [D-CA] / Rep. Seth Moulton [D-MA] - 269
Trump resigns with impending impeachment. Pence pulls a Ford-style comeback, except it works. Tie game, House elects Pence.

2024
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Gov. Jason Kander [D-MO] / Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto [D-NV]
Pres. Mike Pence [R-IN] / VP Nikki Haley [R-SC]
Yes, I took inspiration from TD's realignment TL. It's great!

2028
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Pres. Jason Kander [D-MO] / VP Catherine Cortez Masto [D-NV]
Fmr. Sen. Marco Rubio [R-FL] / Gov. Kim Reynolds [C-IA]
Kander is reelected, and an insurgent Conservative Party forms and teams up with the GOP.

2032
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Sen. Beto O'Rourke [D-TX] / Gov. Tim Ryan [D-IN]
Sen. Joni Ernst [C-IA] / Dwayne Johnson [R-CA]
The Ryan–Johnson debate was one for the ages. Also, the Republican-Conservative alliance continues, with the Tories on top this time

2036
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Sen. Mia Love [C-UT] / Paul Inlet [C-MD]
Pres. Beto O'Rourke [D-TX] / VP Tim Ryan [D-IN]
The sun belt/rust belt Dem ticket doesn't work this time, and the Tories have completely taken over the center-right, marking the end of the Party of Lincoln/Eisenhower/Reagan/Trump. A slow but dignified death for the GOP

2040
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Fmr. Gov. Pete Buttigieg [D-IN] / Sen. Lillian Ressly [D-NM]
Pres. Mia Love [C-UT] / VP Paul Inlet [C-MD]
The Democrats' Golden Boy is released to take down President Love.

I would continue further but I'm already taking up enough forum space as is. Italicized names are ones I made up, since 2036 and 2040 are far enough into the future that today's politicians probably won't have much to do with it.

Just a bit of a mapping exercise, going from 2020 to the 2052 map I posted earlier.

2020:
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2024:
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2028:
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2032:
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2036:
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2040:
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2044:
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2048:
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2052:
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2020:

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Rising Star Jason Kander (D-MO) / Governor Jason Carter (D-GA) - 335 EV - 51.4%
President Donald Trump (R-NY) / Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) - 203 EV - 46.5%

States within 3%: North Carolina, Wisconsin, Florida, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Georgia, Arizona

2024:
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President Jason Carter (D-MO) / Vice President Jason Carter (D-GA) - 396 EV - 53.5%
Fmr. Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) / Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) - 142 EV - 45.0%

States within 3%: Texas, ME-02, Florida, North Carolina

2028:

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States within 3%: North Carolina, Michigan, Minnesota, NE-02, ME-AL, Florida, Arizona

Vice President Jason Carter (D-GA) / Fmr. Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI) - 279 EV - 49.3%
Businessman Peter Thiel (R-CA) / Governor Adam Putnam (R-FL) - 259 EV - 47.0%

2032:

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Senator J.D. Vance (R-OH) / Currently Unknown Female Republican (R-?) - 295 EV - 48.9%
President Jason Carter (D-GA) / Vice President Gretchen Whitmer (D-MI) - 240 EV - 46.3%
Currently Unknown Left Winger (I-?) / Fmr. Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard (I-HI) - 0 EV - 2.7%

States within 3%: Florida, North Carolina, Minnesota

The Brightest Timeline

2020
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Senator Jack Reed (D-RI) / Fmr. Admiral James Stavridis (D-MA) - 359
President Donald Trump (R-NY) / Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) - 179

2024
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Attorney General Kamala Harris (D-CA) / Vice President James Stavridis (D-MA) - 378
Fmr. Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN)/ Senator Joni Ernst (R-IA) - 160

2028
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President Kamala Harris (D-CA) / Governor Jason Kander (D-MO) - 456
Senator Tom Cotton (R-AR) / Gov Raul Labrador (R-ID) - 82

2032
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Vice President Jason Kander (D-MO) / Governor Carte Goodwin (D-WV) - 368
Fmr. Senator Rob Portman (R-OH)/ Fmr. Gov Eric Holcomb (R-IN) - 170

2036
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Gov Elise Stefanik (R-NY) / Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) - 283
President Jason Kander (D-MO) / Vice President Carte Goodwin (D-WV) - 255

2040
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Governor Amanda Curtis (D-MT) / Senator Nanette Barragán (D-CA) - 388
President Elise Stefanik (R-NY) / Rep. Eric Brakey (R-ME) - 150

Wow these are great, Kamala!

2040 map using TD's timeline as a model:

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Cont:

After Pres. Buttigieg is killed, the ultra-liberal Ressly manages to ride his popularity to victory over a wannabe-Trump businessman-turned politician

A civil war in Venezuela turns brutal, and the peacenik Ressly defies public opinion by choosing not to intervene. She is primaried by pro-war Vercellotti, who keeps her VP for continuity's sake and manages to win despite a Democratic Party divided over war

Vercellotti succeeds in gathering a coalition to stabilize Venezuela and handles the war well. Things generally feel good, so the People reward their President

Vercellotti was popular, but so was Clinton when Bush was elected, so I guess weird things just happen sometimes

Mendoza liberalizes the space travel and mining industry and it sees rapid growth, boosting the economy

These are fun!

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2004:
Kerry/McCain      280
Bush/Cheney      258

1992 Republican Primaries
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Blue - Former Senator Henry Ross Perot of Texas
Green - Former Governor Andrew Lamar Alexander, Jr. of Tennessee
Red - Senator John Henry Heinz, III of Pennsylvania

1992 Presidential Election
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President Daniel Patrick Moynihan (Democrat-New York)/Vice President William Jefferson Clinton (Democrat-Arkansas) 405 electoral votes, 54.3% of the popular vote
Former Senator Henry Ross Perot (Republican-Texas)/Governor Lowell Palmer Weicker, Jr. (Republican-Connecticut) 133 electoral votes, 45.1% of the popular vote
Others: 0 electoral votes, 0.6% of the popular vote

1996 Democratic Primaries
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Red - Vice President William Jefferson Clinton of Arkansas
Blue - Governor Robert Patrick Casey of Pennsylvania

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384-134-13
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446-85

In a partisan inverse of RL 2016, political outsider Bernie Sanders proves nearly all political prognosticators incorrect with a surprise win over Republican establishment pick Mitt Romney by relying on the votes of WWC voters in the swing states of NH, OH, IA and CO.  Nevertheless, Romney bests Sanders in the popular vote by almost 2 points by running up his vote totals in the Deep South - where Sanders was a particularly poor fit for African-American voters.

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Joe Biden and Barack Obama (Democratic) 433 electors, 57% votes
Sarah Palin and John McCain (Republican) 105 electors, 42% votes
Others (Various) 0 electors, 1% votes

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2020 map Cory Booker/Jason Kander 332
 v Trump/Pence 206

1896
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William McKinley and Garret Hobart (Republican) 274 electors, 47% votes
Claude Matthews and Arthur Sewall (Democratic) 129 electors, 31% votes
William J. Bryan and Thomas Watson (Populist) 44 electors, 22% votes

1900
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William McKinley and Chauncey Depew (Republican) 300 electors, 53% votes
William Stone and Adlai Stevenson (Democratic) 106 electors, 32% votes
William J. Bryan and Wharton Barker (Populist) 31 electors, 15% votes

1904
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Richard Olney and Henry Davis (Democratic) 322 electors, 43% votes
Chauncey Depew and Charles Fairbanks (Republican) 99 electors, 28% votes
Thomas Watson and Horace Boies (Populist) 55 electors, 29% votes

1908
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William J. Bryan and Marion Butler (Populist) 249 electors, 38% votes
Joseph Foraker and Franklin Murphy (Republican) 174 electors, 33% votes
Richard Olney and Benjamin Shively (Democratic) 60 electors, 29% votes

A State Secretary of State getting the Democratic vice presidential nomination in the 21st century?

Whomever Booker picks can must be free of DC and ethics free. Just like the anti Bush era Dems came to power in 2006-2010. Jason Kander has the charisma just like Sherrod Brown did in 2006 to be on the nat'l ticket in 2020.  And he is a Vet, and that's what Booker lacks.

Fair point

Trump is unpopular enough to get O'Rouke elected in TX, but he still wins in a landslide?

If Sherrod Brown won re-elex and Beto O'Rourke somehow defeated Ted Cruz, then unless 9/11 2.0 happened sometime that year, no way they lose that pathetically. And North Carolina sure as hell isn't voting to the right of Montana, nor will Massachusetts vote to the right of New Mexico (at least, not in 2020).

How does Trump lose his home state but win Massachusetts?

1996 Republican Primaries
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Blue - Governor Hillary Rodham-Ryan of Illinois
Green - Senator Newton Gingrich of Georgia
Red - Former Governor Ronald E. Paul of Texas

1996 United States Presidential Election
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Governor Hillary Rodham-Ryan (Republican-Illinois)/Governor William Floyd Weld (Republican-Massachusetts) 286 electoral votes, 48.2% of the popular vote
Vice President William Jefferson Clinton (Democrat-Arkansas)/Congressman Collin Peterson (Democrat-Minnesota) 252 electoral votes, 48.5% of the popular vote

James Weaver in 1892 – bisection at 8.5 percent of popular vote:
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Eugene Debs in 1912 – bisection at 5.5 percent of popular vote:
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What’s striking about all “major” (over 5 percent national popular vote) third-party candidates up until 1976 is how poorly every one of them did in the Northeast (except for La Follette in anti-Prohibition parts of the “Metropolis”) – a trend abruptly changed by Anderson and Nader, who achieved their best results in Yankee regions (southern Vermont and Berkshires being the archetype) that Kevin Phillips described as “pro-establishment”.

Jimmy's Upset (Carter wins all states Reagan won with <50%)
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President Jimmy Carter (D-GA)/Vice President Walter Mondale (D-MN) - 284 EV
Fmr. Governor Ronald Reagan (R-CA)/Fmr. CIA Director George H. W. Bush (R-TX) - 254 EV

EDIT: I could see Reagan winning the popular vote here, while Carter (obviously) wins the electoral vote

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328: Former Treasury Secretary Nicholas Macron/Former State Secretary Condoleeza Rice - 26.5%
90: Senate Opposition Leader Bernie Sanders/House Opposition Whip Keith Ellison - 18.0%
88: New York City Mayor Ivanka Trump/House Opposition Leader Walter Jones - 18.7%
32: Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels/Senate Opposition Whip Rand Paul -  14.0%


()
"My dear fellow citizens, a new page in our history has been turned this evening. I want it to be that of renewed hope and confidence. The renewal of our public life will be a requirement for everyone as from tomorrow. Raising moral standards in our public life, recognising pluralism, and democratic vitality will be the bedrock of my action from the first day. I won't let any obstacle get in my way. I will work with determination and with due respect for everyone, because through work, school and culture, we will build a better future.

"We will no longer surrender this country or its people to the false song of nationalism. Nationalism is a threat to not just America, not just Europe, but to the worle. Our civilisation is at stake, our way of living, of being free, of promoting our values, our common enterprises and our hopes. I'll work to rebuild the link between America and the people it is made up of, between government and citizens. On your behalf, I send the world's nations the fraternal greetings of America. I say to their leaders that America will be active and mindful of peace, of the balance of power, of international co-operation, of respect for the commitments made on development and the fight against global warming. I tell them all that America will be at the forefront of the fight against terrorism, both on its soil and in international action. However long this battle lasts, we will fight it without growing weak."

The Baroni Era (2012)

()

New Jersey Sen. Bill Baroni (R-N.J.)/Nevada Gov. Brian Sandoval (R-Nev.)-337 EV/52.5%
President Barack Obama of Illinois/Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware-201 EV/46.1%

Baronism Is Here To Stay (2016)
()

President Bill Baroni (R-N.J.)/Vice President Brian Sandoval (R-Nev.)-406 EV/55.5%
Representative Keith Ellison (D-Minn.)/Senator Sally Kohn (D-N.Y)-132 EV/42.1%

Alternate 1976: No Watergate

()

322 EV - Sen. Henry M. Jackson (D-WA)/Sen. Walter Mondale (D-MN): 41.67%
216 EV - Fmr. Sec. of the Treasury John Connally (R-TX)/Sen. Bob Dole (R-KS): 44.78%
0 EV - Fmr. Sen. Eugene McCarthy (I-MN)/Rep. Shirley Chisholm (I-NY): 13.55%

:D

Random Maps i have in Pictures

()

()

()

()

() (With a 21.3% bonus)

Alternate 1980: Scoop Hangs On

()

319 EV - Pres. Henry M. Jackson (D-WA)/Vice Pres. Walter Mondale (D-MN): 49.90%
219 EV - Fmr. CIA Director George H.W. Bush (R-TX)/Sen. Howard Baker (R-TN): 49.22%

Alternate 1968: Nixon's interference in the Vietnam peace talks is exposed.
Close states (margin below 1%)
Calif., 46.33% > 46.32% > 7.35%
Ky., 40.23% > 40.01% > 19.77%
Mo., 44.06% > 43.67% > 12.27%
N.C., 34.25% > 33.44% > 32.31%

Margin between 1-5%
Alaska, 44.04% > 43.02% > 12.94%
Wisc., 46.46% > 45.33% > 8.21%
Nev., 43.75% > 42.57% > 13.68%
Ore., 47.41% > 46.13% > 6.45%
N.J., 45.68% > 44.20% > 10.11%
Ill., 46.3% > 44.5% > 9.2%
S.C., 34.8% > 32.9% > 32.3%
Va., 38.4% > 36.3% > 25.3%
Del., 43.9% > 41.7% > 14.3%
Fla., 36.1% > 33.4% > 30.5%
Ohio, 45.0% > 41.9% > 13.1%
Ind., 45.5% > 42.3% > 12.2%
Vt., 50.3% > 46.4%
Tenn., 36.4% > 31.9% > 31.7%

()
269: President Howard Baker/Vice President Mark Hatfield - 49.4%
269: Senator Henry "Scoop" Jackson/Governor Reubin Askew - 48.5%

Jackson is elected President in the House 230-191, with one Republican and thirteen Democrats abstaining. Hatfield is elected Vice President 51-47. Jeremiah Denton and Don Nickles abstain, Bayh and McGovern reluctantly vote for Askew, and the Liberal Jacob Javits votes for Hatfield.

Scoopmania has taken over the thread.

Alternate 1984: Return to Normalcy Redux

()

355 EV - Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)/Rep. Jack Kemp (R-NY): 50.23%
183 EV - Pres. Walter Mondale (D-MN)/Sen. Gary Hart (D-CO): 48.84%

Switching the PV totals in each election since 2000:

2000 (R+0.51):
()
George W. Bush / Dick Cheney - 301 EV, 48.38%
Al Gore / Joe Lieberman - 237 EV, 47.87%

2004 (D+2.47):
()
John Kerry / John Edwards - 284 EV, 50.73%
George W. Bush / Dick Cheney - 254 EV, 48.26%

2008 (R+7.26):
()
Barack Obama / Joe Biden - 278 EV, 45.60%
John McCain / Sarah Palin - 260 EV, 52.86%

2012 (R+3.86):
()
Barack Obama / Joe Biden - 272 EV, 47.15%
Mitt Romney / Paul Ryan - 266 EV, 51.01%

2016 (R+2.09):
()
Donald Trump / Mike Pence - 320 EV, 48.03%
Hillary Clinton / Tim Kaine - 218 EV, 45.94%

You need to double your uniform swing if you want to switch the PV totals. As it stands you have the results of a PV tie in each election since 2000.

So, in the case of 2016, Trump's margins would increase by 4.18%? If that's the case, it makes sense- the change in elections like 2008 seemed a little strange.

Futuristic election map:

()

This is really fascinating.

2008 Democratic Primaries
()
Red - Senator Condoleezza Rice of Alabama
Green - Governor Brian David Schweitzer of Montana

Condi hasn't lived in Alabama since childhood. She's much more suited to be a Senator from California, if anything.

o wow rly butterflies mang

()

Richard M Nixon: 276 - 50.24%
John F Kennedy: 253 - 49.59%

Camelot Returns

After losing the hotly contested 1968 Democratic primaries to Vice President Hubert Humphrey, Senator Robert F. Kennedy's star continued to rise. Declining to run in 1972, he saw an opening in 1976 to reclaim the White House his brother once held. The early frontrunner in a sprawling field of primary candidates, RFK handily bests President Ford in the fall election, himself battered by a bruising primary challenge from his right by Ronald Reagan.

()
351 EV - Sen. Robert F. Kennedy (D-NY)/Sen. Walter Mondale (D-MN): 52.11%
183 EV - Pres. Gerald Ford (R-MI)/Sen. Bob Dole (R-KS): 47.23%


RFK's charm and persistent optimism is credited with setting the nation back on course after the dark days of Vietnam and Watergate, and his implementation of universal national health insurance proves deeply popular. Yet a tanking economy threatens to derail his re-election chances, and he finds a tough opponent in Ronald Reagan. The president, for his part, runs a spirited campaign, touting his administration's accomplishments while painting Reagan as a dangerous extremist who would undo them. It just barely proves enough for RFK to earn a second term - despite losing the popular vote.

()
306 EV - Pres. Robert F. Kennedy (D-NY)/Vice Pres. Walter Mondale (D-MN): 48.82%
232 EV - Fmr. Gov. Ronald Reagan (R-CA)/Fmr. CIA Dir. George H.W. Bush (R-TX): 50.29%


The economy improves somewhat during RFK's second term, but is far from booming. Despite relative calm overseas and at home, voters are eager for a change to the status quo. Vice President Mondale sweeps the Democratic primaries, yet proves to be a far less inspiring campaigner than RFK and receives a lukewarm response from the public. On the Republican side, the field winnows down to a bitter contest between John Connally and George Bush, with the former's angry populism ultimately triumphing over the latter's restrained moderation. Connally's nomination prompts a third party run by moderate Republican John Anderson, who ends up drawing votes from both parties. In the end, Connally pulls off a win and puts the White House back into GOP hands.

()
297 EV - Fmr. Treasury Sec. John Connally (R-TX)/Sen. Howard Baker (R-TN): 46.55%
241 EV - Vice Pres. Walter Mondale (D-MN)/Sen. Gary Hart (D-CO): 43.22%
0 EV - Rep. John B. Anderson (I-IL)/Fmr. Gov. Patrick Lucey (I-WI): 9.67%

Hostile Takeover the Democratic Party
()
Donald J. Trump/Albert Gore: 395 (54.15%)
George H.W. Bush/Dan Quayle: 143 (44.06%)

()

Donald J. Trump/Albert Gore: 471 (59.90%)
Robert Dole/Jack Kemp: 67 (39.68%)

2008

()

Businessman Donald J. Trump of New York/Senator Barack H. Obama of Illinois (D): 333
Senator John S. McCain III of Arizona/Governor Sarah H. Palin of Alaska (R): 216


2012

()

President Donald J. Trump of New York/Vice President Barack H. Obama of Illinois (D,
 Inc.): 353
Former Governor Mike Huckabee of Arkansas/Governor Jon M. Huntsman, Jr. of Utah (R): 185


2016:

()

Former Governor Jeb Bush of Florida/Governor Chris Christie of New Jersey (R): 275
Vice President Barack H. Obama of Illinois/Former Governor Martin O'Malley of Maryland


Sorry for this :P

()


Governor Thomas Dewey(R-NY)/Governor Earl Warren(R-CA):  267
President Harry Truman(D-MO)/Senator Alben Barkley(D-KY):  226
Governor Strom Thurmond(Dixiecrat-SC)/Governor Fielding Wright(Dixiecrat-MS):  38

()
Colin Powell/Jack Kemp: 281 (48.79%)
Bill Clinton/Al Gore: 257 (47.96%)

()
Colin Powell/Jack Kemp: 364 (53.05%)
Al Gore/Bill Bradley: 174 (45.11%)

()
Howard Dean/John Kerry: 270 (48.00%)
John McCain/Mike Huckabee: 268 49.03%)

()
Mitt Romney/Tim Pawlenty: 381 (53.90%)
Howard Dean/John Kerry: 157 (44.96%)

()
Mitt Romney/Tim Pawlenty: 407 (55.88%)
Hillary Clinton/Evan Bayh: 131 (42.97%)

1936 and 1972 PV totals applied to the 2016 election:

1936 (D+22.17):
()
Hillary Clinton / Tim Kaine - 60.8%, 476 EVs
Donald Trump / Mike Pence - 36.54%, 62 EVs

1972 (R+25.54%):
()
Donald Trump / Mike Pence - 60.67%, 452 EVs
Hillary Clinton / Tim Kaine - 27,52%, 86 EVs

()
General Colin L. Powell (R-NY)/Senator John McCain - 379 EV, 49.2%
Vice President Al Gore (D-TN)/Senator Bob Graham - 159 EV, 43.8%
Ralph Nader (G-CT)/Winona LaDuke (G-MN) - 0 EV, 3.87%
Pat Buchanan (C-VA)/Curtis Frazier (C-MO) - 0 EV, 2.99%

Partially inspired by BTM, partially by boredom.

2030 New York Gubernatorial Election:
()
NYC Mayor Eric Ulrich / Fmr. U.S. Rep. Phil Palmesano:
3,108,984 - 47.15%
Lieutenant Governor Michael Gianaris / Syracuse Mayor Susan England:
2,245,837 - 34.61%
Erie County Executive Patrick Guthrie / Fmr. State Assemblyman Luis Sepúlveda:
1,202,729 - 18.24%
Margin:
863,147 - 12.54%

Ulrich, a popular Republican Mayor of New York City and a longtime rising star in the Republican ranks, wisely opted out of a 2028 run against President Cordray in order to seek the state's Governorship in 2030. He easily secured the Republican nomination over no-name opposition, and picked well-regarded former Congressman Phil Palmesano, who was narrowly defeated for reelection in the 2026 midterms, as his running mate.

The Democrats, meanwhile, had a far more divisive affair. Progressive Rep. Ruben Diaz Jr. and the more moderate Lieutenant Governor Michael Gianaris were the top two Democratic candidates, with several others hanging out in the back of the pack. After a viciously negative primary election, Gianaris came out on top by a precarious 41-38 margin, and flipped the bird to his progressive opponents by selecting Susan England, Syracuse's extremely moderate Mayor, as his running mate.

However, a shocker was in store -- the Working Families Party endorsed Patrick Guthrie, the Executive of Erie County. Only 38 years old, Guthrie had made a fortune in the tech industry shortly after discovering politics on Bernie Sanders' 2016 campaign, and had proven to be a dynamic candidate in his runs against Democratic establishmentarian politicos. Guthrie ran a boldly progressive campaign, and was able to secure the WFP endorsement for a non-Democrat for the first time in decades.

Polling showed a genuine three-way race up until the fall, when Gianaris and Ulrich both trained their fire on Guthrie and sent him into the low teens. However, after a major campaign finance scandal erupted in the last two weeks of campaigning, Gianaris once again began bleeding support to both candidates, and on election day suffered a bruising 13-point loss. Guthrie almost completely outpaced the incompetent Gianaris in Upstate NY, and Ulrich racked up ungodly margins there while cutting heavily into his margins in NYC, allowing Republicans to take back the Governor's Mansion for the first time since Pataki, more than 20 years earlier.

Kerry/Gephardt in '04!!

()

Sen. John Kerry/Rep. Dick Gephardt: 295 Electoral Votes, 48.9%
Pres. George W. Bush/V.P. Dick Cheney: 243 Electoral Votes, 48.6%

John Kerry selecte House Minority Leader Dick Gephardt as his running mate, though seen as "boring", Kerry's prediciton holds true. Gephardt somehow manages to serve as a good attack dog and protects the Rust Belt. Missouri and a couple other blue collar states go into Kerry's column. At 2 A.M, Bush concedes. The Kerry administration started off rough, with Iraq, and a general unease in the country. Kerry is unable to get out of Iraq, and the Economy is going in a downward spiral. After a close encounter with an Iranian jet in the Strait of Hormuz, a U.S destroyer was commanded not to fire even though it had been struck with several machine gun rounds in its hull, killing 2 U.S Navy sailors. The destroyer is ordered to retreat due to Kerry's "negotiations". Secretary of State Bill Richardson resigns in protest, yet declines to challenge Kerry. Kerry's approvals sink to the 30's by late 2007, and Representative Dennis Kucinich challenges him for the Democratic nomination, yet only wins five states: Vermont, Oregon, Alaska, West Virginia, and Montana, just coming up short in Ohio. Kerry is failing at home and abroad, and the Republicans select John McCain as their nominee, and McCain selects Senator Olympia Snowe as VP (Despite McCain vetting Fmr. Pres. Bush for the job, Bush declines for the good of the country.) McCain is portrayed as "the New Coming of Reagan", and in August, the Housing bubble pops, economic meltdown sets in. Kerry is destroyed in the debates by a hopeful McCain. Election Night comes, Kerry had no chance.

Swiftboated!!

()

Sen. John McCain/Sen. Olympia Snowe: 376 Electoral Votes, 54.2%
Pres. John Kerry/V.P. Dick Gephardt: 162 Electoral Votes, 42.9%

The McCain Administration started off with big hopes, big changes. The economy was in shambles, but the GOP Revolution of 2006 helped him pass key domestic legislation quickly. The McCain Administration was no dove on foreign policy, and quickly imposed strict sanctions on the "Axis of Evil" nations. Secretary of State Lieberman had met several leaders in the first 100 days. Olympia Snowe used her connections in the Senate to pass sensible VA care, and got the economy rebounding by 2010. Democrats made gains in 2010, but they were very narrow and the GOP still had a majority. McCain had a 50% approval rating by the start of 2011.  Iraq kept dragging his situation down, yet he had got the job done quicker. On January 23rd, 2011, The last U.S combat forces pulled out of Iraq. Weeks later, the primaries got new entries. The Democratic front runners were Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Though the Dem field was still interesting.... It included former SoS Bill Richardson, NC Gov. John Edwards, Senator Bernie Sanders, 2008 runner up Dennis Kucinich, Senator Joe Biden, Senator Chris Dodd, and Activist Michael Moore. After the early primaries, Clinton took great Super Tuesday leads. Obama and Sanders won states though, but after both candidates withdrew, the Democrats seemed unified. Hillary Clinton chose Barack Obama as her running mate, and the polls showed the voters wanted Clinton. After an intense election season, and the economy recovering, the election became closer. McCain seemed clueless in the first debate, but destroyed Clinton in the next two. Alas, election night had arrived.

Stability in Politics?

I always thought that a Kerry/Gephardt ticket would have beaten Bush/Cheney. Gephardt and Vilsack were safe choices for Kerry instead of slick Edwards.

Yeah, same here. He should have chosen Gephardt. But he'd lose pretty bad in '08. I may actually edit the TL hold on brb

Stability in Politics?

()

Sen. Hillary Clinton/Sen. Barack Obama: 271 Electoral Votes, 49.5%
Pres. John McCain/V.P. Olympia Snowe: 267 Electoral Votes, 48.0%

Three states were too close to call when Election Night came. Maine was a lot closer than expected, and though it was originally in the "Likely Hillary" column, Snowe delivered 3 of Maine's 4 Electoral Votes for McCain. New Hampshire, decided by a few thousand votes, for Hillary. Virginia was decided by 737 votes, and called at around 7:37 AM two days after the election. McCain conceded and wished Clinton the best. The Clinton administration started off rocky, with a hostage situation at the U.S Embassy in Benghazi due to the Civil War. The Libyan Government shot down U.S rescue forces and executed Ambassador Stevens. The President's approval ratings went down to 35%, and she got none of her domestic agenda through with a GOP congress. Clinton was forced to invade Libya, supporting southeastern Rebel forces. The situation was eerily similar to Iraq's, and by the time of the 2014 midterms, voters felt betrayed, they felt hundreds of U.S servicemens' lives was on Hillary's hands. The Republicans made several gains in both the House and the Senate. In 2015, a scandal broke out about The Clinton foundation's involvement in Haiti and evidence was found that criminal wrongdoing happened. Articles of impeachment were introduced by Representatives Louie Gohmert and Marsha Blackburn. She was impeached by both the House and the Senate, and Vice President Obama took office on May 1st, 2015. Obama quickly pardoned Clinton, and cleared the "potential problems" of Clinton's cabinet, getting a new staff and a few new ambassadors. Obama announced his intention to not seek a full term, but to serve out his term to save the country. The Democrats were in disarray, it's superstars were gone, they needed a savior. Many high prominent democrats declined to run, fearing a potential McCain(?!) comeback. Former SoS Bill Richardson was the first to announce his candidacy, then Fmr. Gov Martin O'Malley, Senator Jim Webb, Senator Amy Klobuchar, Governor Andrew Cuomo, and Senator Bernie Sanders. There was strong populist sentiments, and Bernie took several states, knocking his closest competition out by April. The Republicans were much more divisive, Ted Cruz and former VA Sec. Jim Gilmore won Iowa, and NH, respectively. SC went to Bobby Jindal and Nevada went to Cruz. Eventually, Cruz won the nomination. By July, and the conventions ending, it was dead heat. Obama distanced himself from partisanship, and just tried to make the Libya situation easier on his successor. After months of a tough, destructive campaign, Bernie Sanders/Al Franken faced off against Ted Cruz/Jim Gilmore.

Conservative Revolution

()

Sen. Ted Cruz/Fmr. Sec. Jim Gilmore: 308 Electoral Votes, 49.3%
Sen. Bernie Sanders/Sen. Al Franken: 230 Electoral Votes: 45.6%
Fmr. Gov. Gary Johnson/Fmr. Rep. Kerry Bentvolio: 3.5%

2016 U.S. Presidential Election:
()
Fmr. Mayor Mark J. Green (D-NY) / Fmr. Governor Mark F. Green: 52.7% - 347 EVs
Governor Mark A. Green (R-WI) / Rep. Mark E. Green (R-TN): 46.2% - 191 EVs

2016: The Runner Up takes the nod

()

Fmr. SoS. Hillary Clinton/Sen. Tim Kaine: 308 Electoral Votes, 48.9%
Fmr. Sen. Rick Santorum/Gov. Mary Fallin: 230 Electoral Votes, 45.6%
Fmr. Gov. Gary Johnson/Fmr. Rep. Kerry Bentivolio: 0 Electoral Votes, 4.0%

The 2016 Republican Primaries were won by the 2012 runner up, Rick Santorum. Originally placing low in the polls, the conservative movement rallied behind Santorum after his repeat of an "Iowa miracle" becoming the conservative standbearer of the party. New Hanpshire, South Carolina, and Nevada didn't go his way, but he carried the most states on Super Tuesday. By May, he was the nominee. Few people wanted to be his running mate due to his "stupid, uninformed" comments. Hillary Clinton narrowly won the Democratic nomination against Senator Bernie Sanders. After the conventions, Santorum took the lead. But the debates showed Santorum as a crazy right wing nut job, and when election night came, Clinton won.


2020: A House of Cards:

(Writing)

1976:  Disaster Averted

()

President Gerald Ford (R-NE)/Senator Bob Dole (R-KS):  284 EVs
Governor Jimmy Carter (D-GA)/Senator Walter Mondale (D-MN):  254 EVs

()
()
Former Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton (Liberal-New York)/Senator Timothy Michael Kaine (Liberal-Virginia) 17,372,041 Votes, 28.82%, 20 States
Mr. Donald John Trump (American-New York)/Governor Michael Richard Pence (American-Indiana) 14,010,144 Votes, 23.24%, 11 States
Senator Bernard Sanders (Social Democrat-Vermont)/Elizabeth Ann Warren (Social Democrat-Massachusetts) 13,630,298 Votes, 22.61%, 12 States
Senator Rafael Eduardo Cruz (Conservative-Texas)/Mrs. Cara Carleton Fiorina (Conservative-California) 7,491,319 Votes, 12.43%, 5 States
Governor John Richard Kasich (Torie-Ohio)/Senator Susan Margaret Collins (Torie-Maine) 1 State
Senator Marco Antonio Rubio (Freedom-Florida)/Former Governor Willard Milton Romney (Freedom-Massachusetts) 3,486,491 Votes, 5.78%, 0 States

()
Left Bloc (Liberal, Social Democrat) 31,002,339 Votes, 51.43%, 24 States
Right Bloc (American, Conservative, Torie, Freedom) 29,277,818 Votes, 48.57%, 27 States

I'm assuming this is the primaries, hence why WY and ND are titanium Left Bloc?

Naturally. Decided by vote totals as opposed to percentages.

2008

()
()
Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton (Liberal-New York)/Senator Evan Bayh (Liberal-Indiana) 17,934,447 Votes, 32.05%, 19 States
Senator Barack Hussein Obama, Jr. (Progressive-Illinois)/Joseph Robinette Biden, Jr. (Progressive-Delaware) 17,805,047 Votes, 31.82%, 25 States
Senator John Sydney McCain, III (Conservative-Arizona)/Governor Sarah Palin (Conservative-Alaska) 9,358,708 Votes, 16.73%, 3 States
Former Governor Willard Milton Romney (Freedom-Massachusetts)/Congressman Peter Hoekstra (Freedom-Michigan) 4657998 Votes, 8.33%, 2 States
Former Governor Michael Huckabee (Christian Union-Arkansas)/Senator Samuel Brownback (Christian Union-Kansas) 4261546 Votes, 7.62%, 1 State
Congressman Ronald E. Paul (Liberty-Texas)/Former Congressman Barry Morris Goldwater, Jr. (Liberty-California) 1184026 Votes, 2.12%, 0 States
Former Senator Johnny Edwards (People's-North Carolina) 747,360 Votes, 1.34%, 0 States

()
Left Bloc (Liberal, Progressive, People's) 36,486,854 Votes, 65.21%, 40 States
Right Bloc (Conservative, Freedom, Christian Union, Liberty) 19,462,278, 34.79%, 11 States

()
()
Vice President Albert Arnold Gore, Jr. (Liberal-Tennessee)/Senator Joseph I. Lieberman (Liberal-Connecticut) 11,076,941 Votes, 38.41%, 28 States
Governor George Walker Bush (Conservative-Texas)/Former Secretary of Defense Richard Bruce Cheney (Conservative-Wyoming) 10,267,970 Votes, 35.60%, 18 States
Senator John Sydney McCain, III (Freedom-Arizona)/Senator Fred Thompson (Freedom-Tennessee) 4,588,392 Votes, 15.91%, 4 States
Former Senator William Bradley (Progressive-New Jersey) 2,905,862 10.08%, 0 States
Uncommited: 0 Votes, 0.0%, 1 State

()
Right Bloc (Conservative, Freedom) 15,346,995 Votes, 52.33%, 23 States
Left Bloc (Liberal, Progressive) 13,982,803 Votes 47.67%, 28 States

Collapse:

()
(D) Barack Obama/Joe Biden: 476 (50.91%)
(NL)Jon Huntsman/Joe Manchin: 46 (27.59%)
(R) Herman Cain/Michelle Bachmann: 16 (19.50%)

A New Party Emerges
()
(D) Hillary Clinton/John Kasich: 269 (48.05%)
(P) Joe Manchin/Bernie Sanders: 269 (48.96%)

*NL= No Label's Party; evolves into People's Party

Here's a presidential election map based off this neat post from AH.com depicting British parties in the U.S.: (https://www.alternatehistory.com/forum/threads/alternate-wikipedia-infoboxes-iii.384720/page-428#post-13571744)
()
Conservatives - 44.1% PV, 282 EV
Labor - 39.6% PV, 176 EV
Southern Nationalist Party - 10.3% PV, 57 EV
Democratic Unionist Party - 1.4% PV, 17 EV
Ourselves Alone - .7% PV, 6 EV
Others - 3.9% PV, 0 EV

1996: Remember your ABC's: Alexander Beats Clinton:

()

Fmr. Gov. Lamar Alexander/Sen. John McCain: 279 Electoral Votes, 48.5%
Pres. Bill Clinton/VP. Al Gore: 259 Electoral Votes, 45.3%
Mr. Ross Perot/Fmr. Sen. David Boren: 0 Electoral Votes, 6.0%

Lamar Alexander beats out Bob Dole, Phil Gramm, and Pat Buchanan for the Republican Nomination. Buchanan supporters trust Alexander's pledge to "recheck" NAFTA to make sure it would be beneficial for the American worker at the convention, so Perot's numbers dwindle. President Clinton finds Alexander hard to beat, as he tries to appear "hip and cool" at a debate while Alexander debated the issues. Both thrived in the town hall debate. When Election Night came, it was close, the race was in dead heat. Eventually, the Former Tennessee Governor had been named the President-Elect.

2000: Re-elect Lamar!

()

Pres. Lamar Alexander/VP. John McCain: 320 Electoral Votes, 51.3%
Sen. Bill Bradley/Gov. Gary Locke: 218 Electoral Votes, 47.6%

President Alexander immediately filled his cabinet with experienced officials, cut government waste, and was seen as a bipartisan reformer, not from the era of Gingrich. The nation was in an economic boom, Alexander had re-negotiated NAFTA, and the U.S was not bogged down in any interventions. In 1999, Gingrich was ousted and had been replaced by Dennis Hastert. The Democrats were not united in 2000, with the fight for the nomination being mainly between Former New Jersey Senator Bill Bradley, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, and West Virginia Senator Jay Rockefeller. Bill Bradley eventually defeated Kerry around May, and was the nominee. Alexander held a lead for most of the campaign, but did have a couple gaffes here and there, but Bradley was painted as too liberal. Alexander cruised to re-election on Election Night, although the popular vote total was much closer than expected.

2004: President McCain?:

()

VP. John McCain/Gov. Tommy Thompson: 301 Electoral Votes, 50.1%
Sen. John Kerry/Sen. Jon Corzine: 237 Electoral Votes, 46.1%

In September 2001, President Alexander's honeymoon period was cut short when Al Qaeda terrorists attacked Boston streets, as well as an attempt at Times Square. 34 civilians were killed in the attacks, while 4 gunmen were killed, but up to 19 were later discovered to be involved, all of whom were busted days after the attacks. Al Qaeda claimed responsibility for the attack, and President Alexander vowed to hunt down the perpetrators and their leader, Osama Bin Laden. The Taliban declined to turn over Bin Laden, so U.S troops launched strikes against Talibani positions, and encouraged a local government coup. By October, 50,000 U.S troops had surrounded remaining Talbiani positions, and Osama Bin Laden tried to escape but was captured by local tribesmen. The U.S would stay until 2005, but Alexander enjoyed a 57% approval rating by 2003. VP John McCain beat back Texas Governor George Bush for the nomination, with a couple other Republicans running. The Democrats were again not united. The 2000 runner up, John Kerry had beat back the 2000 VP Nominee Gary Locke, Former Senator Gary Hart. McCain touted his experience, and the country's prosperity as reasons he should be elected throughout the whole campaign. Kerry never got his steam, and was doomed to lose in 2004.

()

Battleground map, 2052. Something something realignment.

If your map of elections in 40 years is just 2016 trends extended, you will be wrong.

1964
()
Senator Eugene Joseph McCarthy (Democrat-Minnesota)/Senate Majority Leader Lyndon Baines Johnson (Democrat-Texas) 285 electoral votes
Governor Nelson Aldrich Rockefeller (Republican-New York)/Senator Thruston Ballard Morton (Republican-Kentucky) 243 electoral votes
George Curley Wallace (Independent Democrat-Alabama)/Senator Harry Flood Byrd Sr.
 (Independent Democrat-Virginia) 10 electoral votes

()
President Eugene Joseph McCarthy (Democrat-Minnesota)/Vice President Lyndon Baines Johnson (Democrat-Texas) 313 electoral votes
Senator Barry Morris Goldwater (Republican-Arizona)/Former Senator Prescott Sheldon Bush, Sr. (Republican-Connecticut) 225 electoral votes

()
Senator Jim Webb (D-VA)/Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV) - 385 EV
President John McCain (R-AZ)/Vice President Tim Pawlenty (R-MN) - 149 EV
Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT)/Activist Ralph Nader (I-CT) - 4 EV

1956
()
President Richard Milhous Nixon (Republican-California)/Ambassador to the United Nations Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr. (Republican-Massachusetts) 30 electoral votes
Former Governor Adlai Ewing Stevenson, II (Democrat-Illinois)/Senator Estes Kefauver (Democrat-Tennessee) 225 electoral votes

1960
()
President Richard Milhous Nixon (Republican-California)/Vice President Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr. (Republican-Massachusetts) 383 electoral votes
Senator Samuel James Ervin, Jr. (Democrat-North Carolina)/Senator Eugene Joseph McCarthy (Democrat-Minnesota) 154 electoral votes

What If: Primary Runners-Up in 1964
()
138 EV: Gov. George Wallace (D-AL)/Sen. George Smathers (D-FL) - 44.89%
400 EV: Gov. Nelson Rockefeller (R-NY)/Gov. George Romney (R-MI) - 53.89%

1968: The Anti-Establishment Upset
()
287 EV: Sen. Eugene McCarthy (D-MN)/Sen. Ed Muskie (D-ME) - 49.94%
251 EV: Pres. Nelson Rockefeller (R-NY)/Vice Pres. George Romney (R-MI) - 48.68%

1972: McCarthy's Triumph
()
459 EV: Pres. Eugene McCarthy (D-MN)/Vice Pres. Ed Muskie (D-ME) - 54.30%
82 EV: Gov. Ronald Reagan (R-CA)/Sen. Richard Schweiker (R-PA) - 44.66%

1976: The Backlash
()
129 EV: Vice Pres. Ed Muskie (D-ME)/Gov. Jimmy Carter (D-GA) - 46.30%
409 EV: Fmr. Sec. of State Richard Nixon (R-CA)/Sen. Bob Dole (R-KS) - 52.62%

1980: Nixon Hangs On
()
232 EV: Sen. Ted Kennedy (D-MA)/Sen. Gary Hart (D-CO) - 49.12%
306 EV: Pres. Richard Nixon (R-CA)/Vice Pres. Bob Dole (R-KS) - 49.73%

1984: Out of the Wilderness
()
321 EV: Sen. Gary Hart (D-CO)/Sen. Walter Mondale (D-MN) - 50.37%
217 EV: Pres. Bob Dole (R-KS)/Sen. George H.W. Bush (R-TX) - 48.40%

Millions of Illegal Votes

May 1st, 2019

"How big should we make this thing?"

"Make it a landslide. That way, he'll have something to jerk it to while we take care of our business.

---

2020 Democratic Presidential Primaries:
()
Hawaii Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard: 42.9%, 2,363 delegates
New Jersey Senator Cory Booker: 47.1%, 2,319 delegates
California Senator Kamala Harris: 4.2%, 119 delegates
Virginia Governor Terry McAuliffe
Former Maryland Governor Martin O'Malley
Former Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper
California Congressman Adam Schiff
Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar
New York Governor Andrew Cuomo

---

---

2020 U.S. Presidential Election:
()
President Donald Trump (R-NY) / Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 81,038,024 - 59.3% - 455 EVs
U.S. Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI)/ U.S. Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA): 47,827,399 - 35.0%
 - 83 EVs
Margin: 33,210,625 - 24.3% - 372 EVs

---

1972 Republican Presidential Primaries
()
Blue - Vice President William Warren Scranton of Pennsylvania
Red - Governor Spiro Theodore Agnew of Pennsylvania
Green - Congressman Paul Norton "Pete" McCloskey, Jr. of California

1972 Democratic Presidential Primaries
()
Green - Senator John Vilet Lindsay of New York
Blue - Senator Henry Martin Jackson of Washington
Red - Senator Hubert Horatio Humphrey of Minnesota
Yellow - Delegate Walter Fauntroy of the District of Columbia

1972 Presidential Election
()
Senator John Vilet Lindsay (Democrat-New York)/Senator Thomas Francis Eagleton (Democrat-Missouri) 326 electoral votes, 44.72% of the popular vote
Vice President William Warren Scranton (Republican-Pennsylvania)/Senator Robert Joseph Dole (Republican-Kansas) 45.42% of the popular vote
Congressman John George Schmitz (Independent-California)/Congressman John Milan Ashbrook (Independent-Ohio) 0 electoral votes, 8.9% of the popular vote

1976 Republican Presidential Primaries
()
Red - Former Governor Spiro Theodore Agnew of Maryland
Blue - Governor Daniel Jackson Evans of Washington
Green - Senator Robert Joseph Dole of Kansas

1976 United States Presidential Election
()
President John Vilet Lindsay (Democrat-New York)/Vice President Thomas Francis Eagleton (Democrat-Missouri) 298 electoral votes, 50.7% of the popular vote
Former Governor Spiro Theodore Agnew (Republican-Maryland)/Senator George Herbert Walker Bush (Republican-Texas) 140 electoral votes, 48.8% of the popular vote

()
Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA), 222 EV's
Businessman Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Governor Mike Pence (R-IN), 209 EV's
Governor John Kasich (I-OH)/Senator Marco Rubio (I-FL), 107 EV's

The House elects Kasich the President and Rubio the Vice President, Trump finished second and Clinton finished third.

2012:  "We must persuade those 47% to vote for us"

()

President Barack Obama (D-IL)/Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE):  273 EVs
Fmr. Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA)/Representative Paul Ryan (R-WI): 265 EVs


2016:  Lanes Wide Open
(Title Stolen from Irritable Moderate)

()

Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ)/Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY):  370  EVs
Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ):168 EVs


2020:  The Fruits of Sensible Conservatism

()

Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ)/Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY):  460  EVs
Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT)/Representative Keith Ellison (D-MN):  78 EVs

1976: Primaried
()
Former Governor Ronald Reagan (R-CA) / Senator Richard Schweiker (R-PA) - 277
Former Governor Jimmy Carter (D-GA) / Senator Walter Mondale (D-MN) - 261
1980: Started From The Bottom
()
Senator Joe Biden (D-DE) / Senator John Glenn (D-OH) - 365
President Ronald Reagan (R-CA) / Vice President Richard Schweiker (R-PA) - 173
July 14, 1983: Uncle Joe And Tippecanoe
President Biden dies unexpectedly of an aneurysm.
1984: Now We're Here
()
President John Glenn (D-OH) / Vice President Gary Hart (D-CO) - 521
Former Vice President Richard Schweiker (R-PA) / Representative Olympia Snowe (R-ME) - 17
1988: Johnson Couldn't, Glenn Shouldn't (But How 'Bout He Does Anyway?)
()
President John Glenn (D-OH) / Vice President Gary Hart (D-CO) - 335
Governor George Bush (R-TX) / Senator Richard Lugar (R-IN) - 203
1992: Hart Failure
()
Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)/ Representative Jack Kemp (R-NY) - 353
Vice President Gary Hart (D-CO) / Governor Bill Clinton (D-AR) - 185
1996: Strong and Stable
()
Senator Bob Dole (R-KS)/ Representative Jack Kemp (R-NY) - 384
Senator John Kerry (D-MA) / Senator Al Gore (D-TN) - 154
2000: Madam President
()
Former Governor Ann Richards (D-TX) / Donald Trump (D-NY) - 388
Vice President Jack Kemp (R-NY) / Secretary Dick Cheney (R-WY) - 150
2004: Four More Years
()
President Ann Richards (D-TX) / Vice President Donald Trump (D-NY) - 378
Senator John McCain (R-AZ) / Senator Orrin Hatch (R-UT) - 160
September 13, 2006: Bing Bong, The Texan's Dead
President Richards dies as per OTL.
2008: Them That Dance With The Donald...
()
President Donald Trump (D-NY) / Vice President Buddy McKay (D-FL) - 324
Former Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA) / Senator Kay Bailey Hutchinson (R-TX) - 214
2012: ...Are Bound To Get Scorched
()
Senator Gordon Smith (R-OR) / Representative Paul Ryan (R-WI) - 294
Vice President Buddy McKay (D-FL) / Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN) - 244
2016: Or Would He?
()
President Gordon Smith (R-OR) / Vice President Paul Ryan (R-WI) - 419
Senator Bernie Sanders (ID-VT) / Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) - 119
2020: GOPocalypse Now
()
Senator Daniel Mongiardo (D-KY) / Governor Roy Cooper (D-NC) - 438
Vice President Paul Ryan (R-WI) / Governor Mike Pence (R-IN) - 100

2012 Republican Primaries
()
Blue - Governor James R. "Rick" Perry of Texas
Red - Former Ambassador Jon Hunstman, Jr. of Utah
Green - Former Speaker Newton L. Gingrich of Georgia

2016 Republican Primaries
()
Blue - Senator Willard Milton "Mitt" Romney of Massachusetts
Yellow - Senator Eduardo Rafael "Ted" Cruz of Texas
Red - Senator Marco Antonio Rubio of Florida

2020: Vote for the Homo, not Cuomo
()
Senator Tammy Baldwin (D-WI)
Governor Andrew Cuomo (D-NY)
()
Senator Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) / Senator Al Franken (D-MN) - 375
President Mike Pence (R-IN) / Vice President Nikki Haley (R-SC) - 163

()
()

This was from a President Elect game that I simulated. I have no idea how it got to be that way.

()

John F. Kennedy/Lyndon B. Johnson-335/51%
Richard M. Nixon/Everett Dirksen-202/49%

()

Thomas Dewey (R-NY) / Earl Warren (R-CA): 336
Harry Truman (D-MO) / Alben Barkley (D-KY): 157
Strom Thurmond (SRD-SC) / Fielding Wright (SRD-MS): 38

()
Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R-NY)/Governor Mitt Romney (R-MA) - 275 EV 48.2%
Senator John Edwards (D-NC)/Senator Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) - 263 EV 47.8%

I did a computer simulation on President Elect of Bill Clinton and Bob Dole in 1988:
()
Bob Dole - 276 EV
Bill Clinton - 262 EV

2004 : How the Tables Have Turned
()
Albert Gore and Howard Dean (Democratic) 284 electors, 49.3% votes
George W. Bush and Dick Cheney (Republican) 254 electors, 49.7% votes
Others (Various) 0 electors, 1.0% votes

The results of a recent President Infinity game; Eisenhower decides not to run, leading Thomas Dewey to seek the Republican nomination for a third time. Taft wins the popular vote and a delegate plurality but Dewey wins at the convention with the help of Earl Warren, and the 1948 nominee finally wins in 1952.

If the winning candidate won every state but the home states of the loser's and their running mates (only if loser received a EV)









Continued Later

Democratic Primary, 2020
()
Free Girls (OK)
Fries (NC)
After 104 ballots, Fries concedes to Free Girls in exchange for the VP slot.
General Election
()
Free Girls (D-OK) / Fries (D-NC) - 538
President Donald Trump (R-NY) / Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) - 0

I like this map! It would be something if you could go into more detail about the scenario here.

Tracy: Have I lost touch with my roots? I better talk to Rabbi Shmuley about this.
Jenna: Jack, if it would help the show, I would be willing to ''go country''.
Jack:   Really?
Liz:''Go country''? what does that mean?
Jenna: It's a totally legitimate career move, Liz. The best way for a lady to get heat in this industry is to either record a country album or have a lesbian relationship.
Jack:   Uh, we'll start with ''going country''. To T.G.S. we'll trick those race-car-loving wideloads into watching your lefty, homoerotic propaganda hour yet.
Liz:   Well, you just don't like anybody, do you?
Jack:   Well...


Brian Schweitzer (D-MT)/Bill Richardson (D-NM) - 381 EVs
Mitt Romney (R-MA)/ Lamar Alexander (R-TN) - 157 EVs


Brian Schweitzer (D-MT) / Mary Landrieu (D-LA) - 346 EVs
Haley Barbour (R-MS) / Rob Portman (R-OH) - 192 EVs



Scott Walker (R-WI) / Bob McDonnell (R-VA) - 282 EVs
Mary Landrieu (D-LA) / Martin Heinrich (D-NM) - 256 EVs


Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D-SD) / Charlotte Pritt (D-WV) - 418 EVs
Scott Walker (R-WI) / Bob McDonnell (R-VA) - 120 EVs
Donald Trump (I-NY) / Chris Christie (R-NJ) - 0 EVs

2008
()
Gov. Mitt Romney and Gov. Tim Pawlenty (Republican) 300 electors, 52% votes
Pres. John Kerry and Gov. Bill Richardson (Democratic) 238 electors, 46% votes
Others (Various) 0 electors, 2% votes

2020:
()
384: AFL-CIO President Elizabeth Shuler/Governor Stephen Benjamin - 53.7%
154: Attorney General Jeff Sessions/Secretary Benjamin Carson - 44.2%

2024:
()
338(347): President Elizabeth Shuler/Vice President Stephen Benjamin - 49.1%
200(191): Senator Carlos Curbelo/Former Governor Christopher Sununu - 46.2%

2028:
()
275(292): Senator Elise Stefanik(R-NY)/Governor Charles Djou(R-HI) - 50.9%
263(246): Governor Robert Kennedy Jr.(D-AL)/Senator Ben McAdams(D-UT) - 47.0%

2020:  Stumped

()

Senator Cory Booker(D-NJ)/Senator Elizabeth Warren(D-MA):  406 EVs
President Donald Trump(R-NY)/Vice President Mike Pence(R-IN):  102 EVs
Fmr. Governor John Kasich(I-OH)/Senator Lisa Murkowski(I-AK):  30 EVs


2024:  Moderation

()

President Cory Booker(D-NJ)/Vice President Elizabeth Warren(D-MA):  283 EVs
Fmr. Governor John Kasich(R-OH)/Fmr. Governor Nikki Haley(R-SC):  255 EVs


2028:  Party of Lincoln

()

Governor Will Hurd(R-TX)/Senator Evelyn Sanguinetti(R-IL):  407 EVs
Senator Kirsten Gillibrand(D-NY)/Senator Jared Polis(D-CO):  131 EVs

()

A different map, of a outrageously implausible scenario for 2020, in which Trump is defeated for reelection. It includes a fictional Democratic nominee:


()

If I'm reading that right, it says "Johansson" is the Dem nominee............

2010: From Kings to Commoners: A More Moderate Tea Party, a United GOP, and the Democratic collapse in the 2010 Midterms.

()

Not the one that you think of. It was a fictional candidate that I created.

And here is a results-by state map, with the basic scenario outlined:


Again, keep in mind that this would be a sort of alternative universe, with the Democratic nominee being similar (basically a parallel to someone like Steve Bullock). The colors used to identify the parties are network colors, not Atlas colors.

Senator Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) / Governor Roy Cooper (D-NC) - 50.4% 324 EVs
President Donald Trump (R-NY) / Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) - 46.3% 214 EVs


President Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH) / Vice President Roy Cooper (D-NC)  - 52.3% 359 EVs
Former Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) / Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) - 46.9% 179 EVs


Governor Stefany Shaheen (D-NH) / Senator Jeff Jackson (D-NC) - 54.2% 381 EVs
Senator Mike Lee (R-UT) / Senator Eric Gretiens (R-MO)- 45.2% 157 EVs


President Stefany Shaheen (D-NH) / Vice President Jeff Jackson (D-NC) - 64.6% 538 EVs
Mr. Donald Trump Jr. (R-NY) / Senator James Lankford (R-OK) - 33.4% 0 EVs

Stacey/VPeebs 2036?!

Elle, Stefany's daughter, would be old enough to be president in 2036. So PresidentiElle/VPeebs 2036.

Am I allowed to post a map or two here if I plan on doing a alternate history timeline that covers all the way from 1788 to like 2032 or something like that. Anyways, here is one that I find interesting

1896 Bryan wins

()

I didn't know Elle existed, so I guess she works. :P

(Sidenote: Elle/VPeebs would be the youngest President/VP pair ever at a combined age of 71 or 72, depending on Elle's birthday.)

Here's your fun guessing game map! How does this happen?

()

(FYI, for 2012-2020 EVs, this is 161 D, 220 R, 157 I.)

KRT presidential primaries
()
Pres. Arthur Pendragon — 24 states + DC + PR
V.P. Mordred Pendragon-Orkney — 22 states
Sec. of War Lancelot du Lac — 4 states

General election
()
Pres. Arthur Pendragon and Sec. of War Lancelot du Lac (KRT) 400 electors
V.P. Mordred Pendragon-Orkney and General Agravaine Orkney (ONP) 138 electors

Map 1

()

Map 2

()

Take a guess what these are about?

Map 1: State changes from 1976 to 2012
Map 2: State changes from 1988 to 2016

I might come back to my TL soon, with some modifications. But this is the 2020 map I plan:

()

Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-Hawaii)/Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio): 54.8% popular vote, 368 Electoral Votes
President Michael Pence (R-Indiana)/ Vice President Marsha Blackburn (R-Tenn.): 43.6%
popular vote, 170 EVs

Triumph to Doom
()

Dick Gephardt defeats George W. Bush on the strength of union workers and antiwar voters. His strong campaign capitalizes on national anger against Bush.

Dick Gephardt (D-MO)/Patty Murray (D-WA)-286 EV, 52%
George W. Bush (R-TX)/Dick Cheney (R-WY)-252, 47%

()
John McCain (R-AZ)/Joe Lieberman (I-CT)-359 EV, 54%
Dick Gephardt (D-MO)/Patty Murray (D-WA)-179, 42%
Dennis Kucinich (D-OH)/Cynthia McKinney (I-GA) 0 EV, 3%

While the economy spirals out of control in 2007, President Gephardt attracts a primary challenge from Dennis Kucinich, who, while winning no states against the incumbent Gephardt, garnered 37% in New Hampshire, 28% in Iowa, 43% in the Alaska Caucus, 32% in the Idaho Caucus, and 29% in the Minnesota Caucus. Kucinich goes on to run an independent campaign that helps deny Gephardt victory in crucial states. McCain, running with Joe Lieberman, runs against Gephardt's failing strategy in Iraq and the difficult economy, making himself the anti-establishment maverick and securing a HUGE victory.

2020: 1980 in Reverse

()

413 EV: Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)/Gov. Roy Cooper (D-NC) - 49.12%
125 EV: Pres. Donald Trump (R-NY)/Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN) - 39.84%
0 EV: Fmr. Gov John Kasich (I-OH)/Fmr. Gov. John Hickenlooper (I-CO) - 8.95%


2024: Morning in America Redux

()

~441 EV: Pres. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)/Vice Pres. Roy Cooper (D-NC) - 55.94%
~97 EV: Fmr. Vice Pres. Mike Pence (R-IN)/Fmr. UN Ambassador Nikki Haley - 42.26%


2028: The Democratic Majority

()

~344 EV: Vice Pres. Roy Cooper (D-NC)/Unknown Democrat - 52.17%
~194 EV: Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR)/Unknown Republican - 46.89%


2032: The New Republicans

()

~217 EV: Vice Pres. Roy Cooper (D-NC)/Unknown Democrat - 45.96%
~321 EV: Unknown Republican/Unknown Republican - 50.39%

2016 18-29 PVI map (assumptions made for states with no exit polls):

()

It actually all comes down to Texas, which voted right on the national average.

()
271: John Kasich/John Hickenlooper - 38.9%
136: Bill de Blasio/Jonathan Jackson - 29.9%
131: Donald Trump/Jeff Sessions - 30.2%
Others - 1.0%

2000 McCain vs Gore:

()

Senator John McCain/Governor Tom Ridge 306  51%
Vice President Al Gore/Senator Joe Lieberman 232 48%


2004:


()

President John McCain /Vice President Tommy Thompson 365 53%
Senator John Kerry/House Minority Leader Dick Gephardt 173 46%


2008:

()


Senator Hillary Clinton/Senator Evan Bayh 352 53%
Vice President Tommy Thompson / Former Mayor Rudy Giuliani 186 46%


2012:

()


President Hillary Clinton /Vice President Evan Bayh 288 49.5%
Governor Mitt Romney / Senator Rob Portman 250 49.7%


2016:


()

Senator Gordon Smith/Senator Marco Rubio 326 52%
Vice President Evan Bayh/Governor Andrew Cuomo 212 47%

()

what might this map be?

From an alternate timeline:


Could you guess the layout of this scenario?

William Rutherford wins in 2012.  He is a tremendously popular president on the scale of FDR and Reagan and more so in fact with approvals constantly above 55% and in fact above 60-65% for a large part of his first term. This could only be done due to a extremely successful domestic policy (Since he is a democrat then say a New new deal) plus possibly a foreign war that is being won which could inflate his numbers. The republicans know they cant win in 2016 and so nominate controversial billionaire as lamb slaughter to the president. Trump never polls above 40% and is humiliated by Rutherford in the debates and is shown for as a fraud and strips him of whatever populist appeal he has. Say a supporter of his in trumps name shoots up a building or something and also more successful foreign and domestic news puts the final polling day in November 8th, 2016 at 60%-33% for Rutherford. He over performs the polls and wins 63.58%-34.07% combined with a 528 electoral vote victory over trumps 10. He only wins Oklahoma and barely wins heavily republican Wyoming and even barely loses west Virginia were his whole populist message backfired along with Arkansas. Rutherford's best state is Hawaii were he gets 82.46% of the vote to Trumps 15.96%. He is remember as a tremendous president from there on to be admired and studied in the likes of FDR, Lincoln, and Reagan as one of the greatest presidents.

Alternate McCain's Way

2000:
()
Senator John McCain (R-AZ)/Governor Tom Ridge (R-PA) - 297 EV
Vice President Al Gore (D-TN)/Senator Bob Graham (D-FL) - 241 EV

2004:
()
President John McCain (R-AZ)/Vice President Tom Ridge (R-PA) - 481 EV
Governor Howard Dean (D-VT)/Senator Dick Durbin (D-IL) - 57 EV

2008:
()
Senator Christine Whitman (R-NJ)/Former Governor Jeb Bush (R-FL) - 293 EV
Governor Ed Rendell (D-PA)/Governor Tom Vilsack (D-IA) - 245 EV

2012:
()
President Christine Whitman (R-NJ)/Vice President Jeb Bush (R-FL) - 276 EV
Former Governor Kathleen Sebelius (D-KS)/Governor Ted Strickland (D-OH) - 262 EV

2016:
()
Senator Mark Warner (D-VA)/Senator Mary Landrieu (D-LA) - 314 EV
Vice President Jeb Bush (R-FL)/Governor Susana Martinez (R-NM) - 224 EV

This very closely resembles my actual scenario. I've actually created a version of it here: http://fiction.wikia.com/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_2016.

And in conjunction with this, a county map of the election:


https://vignette1.wikia.nocookie.net/novelas/images/3/3d/2016_64%25_Democratic_Landslide.png/revision/latest?cb=20170831040955

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332-206

What on earth happened here

Click the map.

For this large of a blowout (on the county level) to happen, 2 very implausible things would have to happen: the Democratic ticket would have to be something like Manchin/Edwards, and Trump would have to shoot a man on 5th avenue the weekend before the election.

It is an alternate history scenario, with a fictional Democratic nominee. But I also have posted here another scenario, derived from the Campaign Trail Game, that I am also seeking comment on.

https://www.americanhistoryusa.com/campaign-trail/game/532449

Campaign Trail 1916.  Has anyone managed to win both the popular and electoral vote as Hughes?  Because I can't do it.

()

Governor Tomás Lopez (D-NM)/Senator Marcus Smith (D-WY): ~317 EVs, ~51%

Vice President Austen Petersen (R-MO)/Governor Simone Johnson (R-FL): ~238 EVs,
 ~49%

The Presidential Election of 2044 was the closest Presidential election since 2016. New Mexico's Tomás Lopez was able to come out on top by turning out the Ascendant Coalition: a combination of recently upwardly mobile regions that had benefitted from the programs of the Brown and Harris Presidencies that Conservative firebrand and Vice President Petersen was seen as wanting to cut. Vice President Petersen, to his credit, won many of the states that put Outgoing President Aaron Seagull (R-NY) over the top, like Minnesota and Illinois, as well as traditionally Republican (at the Presidential level) Oregon and Washington and many traditional swing states like Florida, Tennessee, Pennsylvania and Connecticut.

However, it wasn't quite enough. He couldn't quite crack majority-black Georgia and Mississippi, nor could he make inroads in the Democratic Strongholds of the Southwest and Appalachia, both regions that owed much to the Democratic Party of the last 24 years. The biggest story turned out to be the "New West." President Brown's infrastructure project included a massive investment in high speed rail throughout the nation, (dubbed BrownRoads) and this led to new cities and substantial population growth in the states of Montana, New Mexico, Wyoming, Idaho, and South Dakota. The growth in those states helped pad Seagull's two victories, but now all of those states (except Idaho and South Dakota) have officially gone the way of Colorado. Wyoming in particular broke nearly a century-long GOP streak to vote for the ticket of Lopez and its favorite son Marcus Smith.

The New West didn't get Lopez over the top, per se, but it helped. Without Colorado, Wyoming, and Montana, Lopez would have had to rely on his razor-thin margin in Michigan to win the Presidency.

The two parties broke even in the Senate for the first time since 1998, with Democrats trading losses in Iowa and Tennessee for gains in Oklahoma and Montana. President-elect Lopez enters office with a 60-43 majority in the Senate* (pending the appointment of a replacement for Vice President-elect Smith) and a 30-seat majority in the House of Representatives. This will also be the first time that the leaders of the House, Senate, and White House will all be of Hispanic ethnicity. The Speaker is Sonya García (D-PR) and the Senate Majority Leader is Moises Serrano (D-NC).

This election is also notable for one of its Senate races in particular. Senator-elect Sebastian Miranda (D-DC) is one of very few individuals who will be joining the US Senate at age 30.

*That wouldn't be enough to break a filibuster, but the filibuster was weakened in 2037 with bipartisan approval to actually require effort to maintain.

(prequel to 2044 post)

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President Kamala Harris (D-CA)/Vice President Adam Edelen (D-KY): ~388 EVs, ~53%

Governor Josh Hawley (R-MO)/Senator Chris Sununu (R-NH): ~167 EVs, ~47%

His last name was Hawley, but he may as well be called Dewey.

The Presidential Election of 2032 was the biggest surprise in sixteen years. President Kamala Harris, widely expected to lose re-election after twelve years of Democratic control over the White House, instead won handily against Missouri Governor Josh Hawley. In the wake of the 2032 recession, President Harris proposed expanding the widely popular high-speed rail program enacted under her predecessor (dubbed BrownRoads in his honor) as well as other government stimuli. Governor Hawley tried to pin the recession on the first female President and proposed fiscal policies right out of the playbook of Paul Ryan and soon to be Former House Speaker Kristi Noem. (R-SD)

The electoral map was a strange combination of old and new. Hawley's appeal to moral conservatism got him farther than it got former Vice President Mike Pence in 2024, but it also cost him some states that would have been very winnable for a different kind of Republican, and indeed (as of 2044) have not voted Democratic since. Almost as if re-awakening an evangelical spirit from a long-dead era, he won Texas, the Twin Carolinas, Wisconsin (the state almost voted for George W. Bush twice, after all), and Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District, all Harris 2028 states (and, with the exception of South Carolina, two-time Brown states). However, he lost Pennsylvania, Illinois, New Jersey, Washington, Oregon, Connecticut, and Maine possibly because of his clinging to evangelical appeals. Then-New York Governor Aaron Seagull (R-NY) would take note of this in his 2036 bid for the Presidency.

Neither Hawley nor Senator Sununu are strangers to a high-profile loss. Hawley lost a US Senate race against Claire McCaskill in 2018, while Chris Sununu lost his Governorship in 2020. Both mastered the art of the comeback to win their current offices. It's extraordinary how far both men came, but even so, they couldn't quite make it to the top. Cultural and social conservative appeals no longer meant anything in Appalachia, which voted en mass for its economic best interest. Presidents Brown and Harris treated the region well, after all. Nor did it play well in majority-black Georgia.

Special mention should be given to four states in particular. Mississippi was the closest state in the union and very nearly gave way to Hawley's evangelical siren call. However, the state has gotten less white since the GOP last won the state in 2020, and while the state isn't majority-black yet, black voters and Appalachian whites were able to deliver the state to Harris/Edelen by .3%. New Hampshire was just as close, decided by .4%, but the state's aversion to Hawley's brand of Republicanism was outweighed by the presence of their popular Senator on the ballot. Tennessee was not close, but Harris' margin there matched her nationwide margin almost perfectly. Conservative suburbs were balanced out by a Democratic Appalachian region and Nashville. Finally, Oklahoma is the one and only Harris 2032 state that neither Harris nor President Brown had won before. It had been slower to go the way of West Virginia and Kentucky, but BrownRoads served the state well, and Harris' proposed expansion resonated with it. Campaigning from the state's popular Governor turned Senator Scott Inman (who would lose his Senate seat in 2034 and go on to become President Seagull's Secretary of Transportation in a nod to bipartisanship) didn't hurt.

Democrats took back the House, turning a 20 seat deficit into a 26 seat majority. In the Senate, Democrats picked up seats in Georgia, Minnesota, West Virginia, Mississippi, Tennessee, and Alaska, while losing Montana, for a net gain of 5. That gives them a 64 to 40 majority, regaining the filibuster-proof majority they lost in 2030.

The final thing to mention about this election is its impact on the Supreme Court, which was already 7-2 in favor of the liberals. In the second term she wasn't expected to get, President Harris would replace Justices Kagan and Alito, creating a supreme court that had 8 justices appointed by Democrats and only one, Neil Gorsuch, appointed by a Republican.

edit: changed the identity of Kamala Harris' running mate

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Feingod(D-WI):  538 EVs
RoJo(R-WI):  0 EVs

Western United States presidential election, 2016
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Steve Bullock and Mark Begich (Democratic—Farmer Labor) 113 electors, 48% votes
Brian Sandoval and Susana Martinez (Republican) 71 electors, 45% votes
John Huntsman and Nathan Johnson (Deseret National) 6 electors, 5% votes
Gary Johnson and Dan Cox (Libertarian) 0 electors, 1%
Others (Various) 0 electors, 1%

Volusia going D and Palm Beach going R?!?! Absolute chaos^

1924 to present with similar House growth rates.
Part 1: 1924 to 1940
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417-148-14
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486-93
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568-70
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628-10
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541-97

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Governor Aaron Seagull (R-NY)/Senator Austen Petersen (R-MO): ~310 EVs, ~49%

Senator Jason Kander (D-MO)/Governor Malcom Washington (D-GA): ~245 EVs, ~43%

The US Presidential election of 2036 hit so many milestones it's not even funny.

Governor Aaron Seagull was the first Republican to win a plurality of the popular vote in 32 years, and the first to win the White House in 16. He was the first Republican to ever ascend to the Presidency while losing the state of Ohio and while losing Arizona. (I think at this point Alaska and North Dakota are the only states left that no Republican has won without) He broke Minnesota's 50 year Democratic streak, and flipped states like New Jersey, Connecticut, Maine, Oregon, Washington, Virginia, and Illinois that were thought to be permanently gone for the GOP.

He broke the Democratic stranglehold over the federal government by running as a different kind of Republican. He was a northern technocratic moderate, not an evangelical firebrand Tea Partier. Despite Democratic attacks on more conservative statements he made in his youth, the electorate took Seagull at his word. After all, they were itching for a change. Missouri's junior Senator helped convince traditional conservative voters that this GOP wouldn't entirely abandon conservative priorities, which was necessary to keep the entire South from turning on him. Instead, while he did lose Appalachia and the African American-heavy states of Georgia and Mississippi, he carried the rest of the region fairly handily. He even won Virginia!

Missouri's other Senator, Jason Kander, to be fair, was the best hope the Dems had to hold onto the White House for four more years. He was an excellent campaigner, going from losing a Senate race by 3 points to serving as the state's popular Governor for 8 years, winning the same Senate seat he once lost in 2028, and even surviving the 2034 wave even while Senators like Andrew Gillum, (D-FL) Scott Inman (D-OK), and Maggie Hassan (D-NH) did not. With the Governor of Georgia by his side, he was able to turn out black voters and some working class whites to his side, but it wasn't quite enough. He did at least carry his home state by the same 4-point margin that Seagull carried the nation, and even though he lost Virginia, he kept Delaware and Maryland in his column.

On the congressional side, Democrats had a 6 seat House majority going into this race that they promptly lost. The Republicans got themselves a 10 seat majority that will prove challenging to govern with. In the Senate, Democrats thought they didn't have much room left to fail after they lost 9 seats in 2030, but hoo boy were they wrong. Not only did they fail to gain back any of the seats they lost, but they also lost seven more seats: Tennessee, Nevada, Virginia, Maine, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and most crushingly of all, Connecticut. The Senate Majority Leader lost both his majority and his own seat. Senate Minority Leader Tom Cotton (R-AR) will get the job of Majority Leader with a 55-49 majority to work with. Senator Moises Serrano (D-NC) will lead the Democrats in opposition.

Only time will tell how this new President will do. The two Republicans who came before him, Donald Trump and George W. Bush, were both regarded very, very poorly, but he wasn't of their mould. Still, he should enjoy that congressional majority while it lasts; he'll lose both houses in two years.

edit: This also marks the very first time that Vermont and Georgia vote together for a losing candidate.

Despite nobody wanting these, here's another one!

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President Aaron Seagull (R/NY)/Vice President Austen Petersen (R-MO): ~330 EVs, ~52%
Governor Naomi Brown (D-OH)/Senator Chris Hall (D-IA): ~225 EVs, ~46%

The stars aligned. Dogs and cats lived together. Up was down and down was up. That's how the political world felt when a Republican President not only won re-election, but won the popular vote twice, a feat no member of the GOP had pulled off since Reagan. This was the Presidential Election of 2040.

True, President Seagull did face some setbacks. Though he was able to weaken the Filibuster and pass some substantial legislation in his first two years, major conservative priorities like reversing gains made by unions and privatizing BrownRoads went absolutely nowhere, and contributed to him losing both houses of congress in 2038. How did Seagull go from that loss to winning re-election by 6 points? Triangulation, Bill Clinton style.

Even so, he didn't exactly get a cakewalk. Naomi Brown was a two-term Governor of one of the most Democratic states in the union: Ohio. She and four-term Senator Chris Hall knew they were fighting an uphill battle against a President with good approvals that many liberals were okay with. She knew she didn't have all that strong a chance, but she ran one of the toughest campaigns in recent memory to make Seagull fight for his second term. And in a sense, she got probably the very definition of a Moral Victory. She pushed for popular liberal policies like Universal Basic Income, defense cuts, and expanding immigration, and got Seagull to triangulate on those issues in order to win. While her policy platform didn't get her into the White House, many Democratic candidates on the Congressional level did win on those policies. And finally, her exhaustive campaign set up the infrastructure throughout the nation that New Mexico Governor Tomás Lopez would utilize to win his election four years later.

The electoral map didn't change all that much from four years ago. Without its favorite son on the ticket, Missouri returned to its default status as a Republican state. Aside from that, President Seagull traded Maine and Oklahoma for the more electoral-rich combination of NE-02 and Michigan. Alaska and Hawaii also traded places, Hawaii because of its affection for incumbents and Alaska because of a last-minute push from the Naomi Brown campaign. (this leaves North Dakota as the final state that no Republican has won without) However, Seagull did sweat a bit on election night; Michigan, Indiana, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Illinois, and Pennsylvania were all decided by less than 3%. Had all of them gone the other way, Seagull would have lost the electoral college while still probably winning the popular vote, a grave irony for the Republican Party.

At the congressional level, not much changed. The Democrats gained about six seats in the House, increasing their majority to 30 seats. In the Senate, for the first time since 2012, both parties made gains, though some of it was a reversion to the state's new partisan identity. Democrats picked up Colorado, Oklahoma, Wisconsin, and Florida, while losing increasingly Republican Pennsylvania and Oregon. They now have a 57-47 majority in the upper chamber. Just like the 1996 Republicans, the 2040 Dems ran a "check and balance" campaign that helped them hold onto their Senators in states like New York, Illinois, North Carolina, and Missouri. Though ticket splitting did help the GOP as well, in states like Alaska and Arizona, where Seagull lost but incumbent Republican Senators survived.

And here is another version of my earlier map, with the basic results outlined:



Clearer version here: https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/novelas/images/c/c8/Map_of_the_2016_Election_Detailed.png/revision/latest?cb=20170907032913

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Noticed that 6% of Trump voters apparently regret their vote. So I gave Trump 94% of his 2016 vote total with nothing else changing.

2016:  The Dawn of Sunshine

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Fmr. Gov. Jon Hunstman Jr.(R-UT)/Senator Marco Rubio(R-FL):  355 EVs
Fmr. SOS Hillary Clinton(D-NY)/Senator Cory Booker(D-NJ):  180 EVs
Jill Stein(G-MA)/Ajamu Baraka(G-IL):  3 EVs

Part 2: 1944 to 1960
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533-125
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374-237-47
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600-119
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619-100
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420-294-11

Canada 2015:  Dawn of Summer

NDP/MP Jack Layton:  178 Seats  (37.4% PV)
Conservatives/PM Stephen Harper  84 Seats  (26.2% PV)
Liberal/MP Justin Trudeau:  69 Seats (24.4% PV) 
Bloc Québécois/Gilles Duceppe:  5 Seats (6.4% PV) 
Greens/Elizabeth May:  2 Seats  (4.2% PV)
Others:  0 Seats  (1.4% PV)


Note:  Sorry for not having a map for this, I don't have a map to make the Canadian Election on.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2017/04/23/trump-voters-dont-have-buyers-remorse-but-some-hillary-clinton-voters-do/?utm_term=.2405d31adcf7

That's too complicated. Let me live! :P

2020
Donald Trump v Kamala Harris

The Narrow reelection

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2024
Amy Klobuchar v Ron Johnson

Johnson carry's on the populist message

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2028
Amy Klobuchar v Tom Cotton

A Decisive Defeat

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2032
Justin Amash v Julian Castro

The last breath

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2036
Tulsi Gabbard v Justin Amash

And the dive

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2040
Tulsi Gabbard v T.W. Shannon

Republicans hit bottom

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2044
Chris Murphy v Mia Love

Senator v Senator

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2048
Chris Murphy v John Cameron Henry Jr.

Republicans must be extinct by now

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2052
Elise Stefanik v Daniel Harkip

And the triumphant return

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2004:  A Broken Dynasty

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Senator John Kerry(D-MA)/Senator John Edwards(D-NC):  270 EVs
President George W. Bush(R-TX)/Richard Cheney(R-WY):  268 EVs


2008:  Son of George

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Fmr. Governor Mitt Romney(R-MA)/Governor Tim Pawlenty(R-MN):  406 EVs
President John Kerry(D-MA)/Vice President John Edwards(D-NC):  132 EVs

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Achmed Obunga (R-IL) / Barrab Obabo (R-IL) - 269
Barrab Obabo (D-IL) / Achmed Obunga (D-IL) - 248
Barrab Obabo (D-IL) / Joj Bidib (D-DE) - 21
EDIT: Forgot IL had 21 EVs.

Since no one guessed, I will tell now:

This map is based on the number of times each state voted for landslide losers in the past 100 years.

The landslide losers are:

Smith in 1928
Hoover in 1932
Landon in 1936
Wilkie in 1940
Dewey in 1944
Stevenson in 1952
Stevenson in 1956
Goldwater in 1964
McGovern in 1972
Carter in 1980
Mondale in 1984

Gray states never voted for a landslide loser.
The lightest shade of green voted for a landslide loser once.
The darkest shade of green voted for 5 landslide losers (Georgia).

Please use the correct color scheme.

He used the color scheme employed by the networks and other media outlets. I don't see a problem with that.

Mods pls ban, Obama pls drone, Trump pls deport, etc.

What is this supposed to mean?

Blue = GOP
Red = Dem

Now you will be banned for this Blasphemy.

It wasn't me who put up the map. It was someone else. But anyways, moving on.

Blasphemy by association. Likewise, Westy will be physically removed for the same reason.

43-40 looks something like this:

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Trump - 337 EV
Clinton - 201 EV

Virginia votes for Clinton by less than half a percent.

Here are a series of maps for an alternate, parallel version of the early twenty-first century in the United States. These maps cover the elections from 2000 to 2020:

funny how your timeline has Arkansas going from Democrat in 2008 to Republican in 2012 even as 2008 is a close Republican win and 2012 is a comfortable Democrat win.

Someone should do a TL about the grand epic of William J. Rutherford, the political god who transcends time and space to influence politics in as many multiverses as he can.

Doing another from my strange, strange series. Here's 2052!

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Governor Derek Richardson (R-SC)/Governor Timothy Tang (W-WA): ~350 EVs, ~53%
Vice President Marcus Smith (D-WY)/Governor Jessica Jean (D-TN): ~205 EVs, ~47%

Hoo boy, there's a lot to unpack here.

The Presidential election of 2052 saw a Republican return to the White House after eight years in opposition, and represents a nation crying out for change as the Democratic Party was rocked by economic misfortunes, a worsening world stage, and corruption scandals that consumed the Lopez White House. Future historians might take pity on Lopez, as he did advance some amazing policies as President and the economy and world stage were out of his control, but the corruption was entirely on him and his staff (minus one, but we'll get to him later).

This opened an opportunity for Derek Richardson, deputy communications director under President Seagull turned Governor of South Carolina turned President-elect. He campaigned on an uplifting platform of change, clearly drawing inspiration from Barack Obama. With his party still being the technocratic moderate party, he was given the perfect vehicle to run against an administration seemingly brought to its knees by scandal. In August polls, he was up against Vice President Marcus Smith by as much as 15%! To his credit, Smith did have a lot going for him. He was never implicated in the scandals, and ran a solid campaign focused on policy and on reasoned solutions to the nation's struggles abroad. For his efforts, he was given the job of Secretary of State under the Richardson administration.

With that out of the way, let's talk about the states. This six-point win led to some very weird results. (then again, this alignment has no region voting as a monolith, so weird is to be expected) Texas had been a solidly Democratic state, voting for the Ds in every election but one from 2020-2048. But growing and increasingly Republican suburbs have thrown a wrench into that status. With Democratic cities, a Democratic Southwest area, Republican suburbs, and Republican rural areas, Texas has gone from Solid D to toss-up, and Richardson won it by the same 6-point margin he carried the nation with.

California had also shifted to the center. While its Southern region remained solidly Democratic, Northern California started to resemble its brothers to the north, Oregon and Washington. Aiding the Republican shift was BrownRoads, the high-speed rail that connects the nation together. The cities that make up the New West were started by people leaving California and the PNW states, making the remaining electorate on the coast more Republican. All these factors together gave Richardson a 2-point win in a state that, until now, had yet to go Republican this century.

Finally, the New West, or "Mirror Appalachia." Both it and its spiritual sibling in the East benefitted from BrownRoads with new cities, leading to population growth, economic improvement, and the most liberal suburbs in America. When President Lopez won his first election, Montana and Wyoming had shifted fully, but Idaho and South Dakota had yet to get there. Here, Idaho and South Dakota have swung sway from the GOP, "Vermonting," so to speak. Montana was the lone holdout, going for Richardson by a single percentage point.

At the congressional level, the GOP expanded their House majority by 16 seats, and picked up the Senate for the first time since 2036. They gained a net of 6 seats, taking Washington, California, Connecticut, Florida, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Nevada, but losing a seat in Idaho. And because Democrats were so overexposed in the upcoming Class 1, this Senate majority would last more than one election cycle! Senator William Huntsman (R-UT) will lead the GOP Senate Majority, and Senator Moises Serrano (D-NC), who won re-election this year by a single percentage point, will lead the Democratic minority.

This will be Serrano's final term, and when he does leave, (either in 2058 or as part of the cabinet should a Democrat win in 2056) Ethan Jackson (D-NM) will replace him. Jackson is a political legend. He contributed heavily to President Harris' re-election at the age of 22 before managing President Lopez' successful 2044 campaign. After that, he was Chief of Staff for 3 years before leaving to win an open Senate seat in New Mexico in 2048, during which time he has been a natural legislator and expert vote-getter. And while he probably should have been sullied by the Lopez corruption scandals, the most comprehensive accounts of the corruption at the Lopez White House has everything beginning about 4 months after Jackson's departure.

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My first full on map here. One showing trump winning by a large margin in 2020. This is for my timeline I plan on making later. The larger numbers show that the electoral college is now changed on now the districts are proportional to the smallest state population.

(weighing whether to do 2048 or 2056 next from my series. Or whether to do midterms)

Either one (or both) sounds really interesting! I almost posted midterms from my series last night but I was too lazy