Talk Elections

What if a person from the future tells you that there will finally be a new county tie after 32 years, where do you think will Trump and Warren have received the same number of votes?

My guess: Monongalia county

Albany County, WY

That's entirely possible if Bullock is Warren's running mate.

Ziebach county

Suffolk County, NY

Grand County, Utah

Eaton County, MI (Trump carried it by 4.72% last time)

Muscataine County, IA
Harris County, TX

Teton, ID

That would be amazing if the nation's third-biggest county produces a tie.


I don't like to act like a smartass, but it's Muscatine County. :)

Mahoning County.

Why should a Democratic county swing against Warren?

Bold prediction: Tarrant County, Texas.

If that happens, the Democrats will have Texas's 38 electoral votes locked.

Not locked, no. Tarrant county's voted about the same as Texas as a whole in the past three elections, so a tie in Tarrant means the state could probably go either way.

A tie in Tarrant County probably means about 30,000 additional votes for the Democrats (and about 30,000 fewer votes for the Republicans). Furthermore, it indicates a massive swing in the whole state of Texas.

Muskegon County, Michigan

Because it barely voted for Clinton, and I think wwc voters will continue fleeing dems en masse on the federal level.

Given that a county with a smaller population is much more likely to produce a tie, I'll go with Kenedy County, Texas. Just look at 2012!

Why is that even a county? ???

Surprising too. You'd think an area with a long stretch of land on the Gulf Coast would be a big resort area akin to PCB in Florida. I don't think it's really marshy like Louisiana or FL's Big Bend either. Maybe someone should buy land there, I see potential

Yes, someone ought to buy land there and install many photovoltaic power plants.

This is the best answer in the thread. Interesting note, the county seat (Sarita) is the most liberal city in Texas.

No way its more liberal than Boston Austin

Most likely in Indiana to tie in 2020 imo: Tippecanoe County.

I got the information from Wikipedia, which referenced this webpage (http://www.businessinsider.com/most-liberal-and-conservative-towns-in-each-state-2014-6). I can verify that this is at least very, very accurate for Maryland.

It almost happened in 2012.
http://houston.culturemap.com/news/city-life/11-07-12-00-42-romney-sweeps-texas-but-harris-country-remains-barely-blue-with-obama-win/

That proves - once again - that Houston should "break away" from Harris County; that county could easily and literally be divided into half and half. I think it's so abnormal that Texas houses both Loving County and Harris County.

Yeah, it's pretty unlikely for it it to be one of the largest counties. Much more likely is some county like Mahnomen, Minnesota.

Bronx County, New York because Warren is superduper unelectable. Obviously.

Between a generic D and generic R, I'd go with Coös County, New Hampshire.

Between Trump and Warren, it's just too unpredictable. Ties are so uncommon that the only one I've ever seen is Bruce Rauner and Pat Quinn tied in the Chicago suburb of River Forest in 2014.

If Trump blows Warren out, it's because he regains Romney-like numbers or better among the wealthy (who are opposed to Warren's desire to take their money) while expanding or at least holding onto his numbers among rural blue-collar voters. In this case, I would go with Marion County, Indiana (which Bush won) or Bucks County, Pennsylvania.

If Warren blows Trump out, she's probably found out a way to outflank him with lower-income rural whites without losing her hold on minorities or rich suburbanites. I'm assuming minorities are out of the picture for Trump no matter what after how his first term has gone. A Rust Belt county that voted Obama/Trump would be a good pick. Perhaps Elliot County, Kentucky.

In a close race, we probably move back toward Romney/Obama numbers a bit, in which case a good choice is Kent County, Delaware.

benson county nd