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Title: NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +14 Post by: MT Treasurer on November 01, 2017, 01:49:23 PM Link. (https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NJ_110117/)
53% Murphy (D) 39% Guadagno (R) 2% Others (I) Title: Re: NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +14 Post by: BudgieForce on November 01, 2017, 01:56:28 PM Has Guadagno ever poll beyond 40%?
Title: Re: NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +14 Post by: UncleSam on November 01, 2017, 02:29:11 PM Monmouth seems pretty R-friendly in both major governor races this year. Obviously Murphy is safe but the margin will be interesting as regards the Maryland, Vermont, and Massachusetts races next year. Do Dems turn out beyond what pollsters see in blue states?
Title: Re: NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +14 Post by: MAINEiac4434 on November 01, 2017, 03:01:41 PM Will this race be called before or after 8:05 PM?
Title: Re: NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +14 Post by: Gass3268 on November 01, 2017, 03:03:39 PM Will this race be called before or after 8:05 PM? I'm guessing their will be no exit polls, so I'm guessing they'll have to wait for the first set of numbers to come in. Title: Re: NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +14 Post by: Eraserhead on November 01, 2017, 11:20:34 PM Will this race be called before or after 8:05 PM? I'm guessing their will be no exit polls, so I'm guessing they'll have to wait for the first set of numbers to come in. Actually both New Jersey and Virginia are getting exit polls this year. I confirmed this with Edison Research. Title: Re: NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +14 Post by: America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗 on November 01, 2017, 11:32:08 PM Anywhere from Murphy +15 to Murphy +30 is the reasonable range of outcomes for this race imo.
Title: Re: NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +14 Post by: Gass3268 on November 01, 2017, 11:33:05 PM Will this race be called before or after 8:05 PM? I'm guessing their will be no exit polls, so I'm guessing they'll have to wait for the first set of numbers to come in. Actually both New Jersey and Virginia are getting exit polls this year. I confirmed this with Edison Research. Aye! So yeah, NJ should be an insta call. Title: Re: NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +14 Post by: Chancellor Tanterterg on November 02, 2017, 07:12:42 AM If Murphy over-performs his poll numbers, is there any chance the margin makes some of the NJ and suburban Philly Republican Congresscritters re-consider their decision to run for re-election? At the very least I could see Freylinghusen retiring and Van Drew finally running and scaring LoBiondo into retirement.
Title: Re: NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +14 Post by: Phony Moderate on November 02, 2017, 07:23:12 AM D +14 would be pretty much a typical New Jersey statewide result.
Title: Re: NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +14 Post by: IceSpear on November 02, 2017, 02:51:09 PM Anywhere from Murphy +15 to Murphy +30 is the reasonable range of outcomes for this race imo. Murphy winning by 30 points is about as likely as Guadagno winning. Title: Re: NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +14 Post by: fluffypanther19 on November 02, 2017, 02:52:03 PM Anywhere from Murphy +15 to Murphy +30 is the reasonable range of outcomes for this race imo. Murphy winning by 30 points is about as likely as Guadagno winning. Title: Re: NJ-Monmouth: Murphy +14 Post by: Pragmatic Conservative on November 02, 2017, 09:22:12 PM If Murphy over-performs his poll numbers, is there any chance the margin makes some of the NJ and suburban Philly Republican Congresscritters re-consider their decision to run for re-election? At the very least I could see Freylinghusen retiring and Van Drew finally running and scaring LoBiondo into retirement. |