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Title: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: swf541 on November 02, 2017, 11:05:59 AM Northam 47 (+5)
Gillespie 43 (+1) Hyra 2% Lt Gov Fairfax: 44% Vogel: 40% AG Herring: 44% Adams: 42% Last poll from them was tied 42-42 http://www.suffolk.edu/news/74532.php#.WftCJtCnGUl Conducted Monday and yesterday, dont see any downballot info Title: Re: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: Dr. Arch on November 02, 2017, 11:08:31 AM Northamentum
Title: Re: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: Devout Centrist on November 02, 2017, 11:10:34 AM If Suffolk has this at +4, that’s a good sign.
Title: Re: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: swf541 on November 02, 2017, 11:12:08 AM Updated it and added Hyra's number as well. He is down to 2% also a good sign for Northam imo
Title: Re: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: Wiz in Wis on November 02, 2017, 11:12:49 AM Northam 47 (+5) Gillespie 43 (+1) Hyra 2% Last poll from them was tied 42-42 http://www.suffolk.edu/news/74532.php#.WftCJtCnGUl Conducted Monday and yesterday, dont see any downballot info https://twitter.com/davidpaleologos/status/926116738231660544 "Suffolk University VA poll shows Dems Fairfax (LG) and Herring (AG) slightly ahead of GOP foes with high undecided." Title: Re: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: Gass3268 on November 02, 2017, 11:14:35 AM Trump's approval is better than in other polls and Kaine/McAuliffe's are worse. Not bad for Northam to have a solid lead with that type of sample.
Title: Re: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: Dr. Arch on November 02, 2017, 11:15:55 AM Trump's approval is better than in other polls and Kaine/McAuliffe's are worse. Not bad for Northam to have a solid lead with that type of sample. Yep, it might be an indictments effect. Title: Re: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: _ on November 02, 2017, 11:17:53 AM Northam 47 (+5) Gillespie 43 (+1) Hyra 2% Last poll from them was tied 42-42 http://www.suffolk.edu/news/74532.php#.WftCJtCnGUl Conducted Monday and yesterday, dont see any downballot info https://twitter.com/davidpaleologos/status/926116738231660544 "Suffolk University VA poll shows Dems Fairfax (LG) and Herring (AG) slightly ahead of GOP foes with high undecided." No exact numbers? Title: Re: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: Gass3268 on November 02, 2017, 11:18:18 AM Trump's approval is better than in other polls and Kaine/McAuliffe's are worse. Not bad for Northam to have a solid lead with that type of sample. Yep, it might be an indictments effect. I think you misread what I said. Title: Re: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: Hindsight was 2020 on November 02, 2017, 11:19:22 AM But I was assured he was going to be lose
Title: Re: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: Oryxslayer on November 02, 2017, 11:20:41 AM http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/11_2_2017_marginals.pdf
not sure if these are the weighted numbers: Fairfax: 44% Vogel: 40% Herring: 44% Adams: 42% Didn't see a HoD ballot. Title: Re: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: swf541 on November 02, 2017, 11:21:21 AM http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/11_2_2017_marginals.pdf not sure if these are the weighted numbers: Fairfax: 44% Vogel: 40% Herring: 44% Adams: 42% Didn't see a HoD ballot. Thanks will update the op Title: Re: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: Dr. Arch on November 02, 2017, 11:22:10 AM Trump's approval is better than in other polls and Kaine/McAuliffe's are worse. Not bad for Northam to have a solid lead with that type of sample. Yep, it might be an indictments effect. I think you misread what I said. I understood that this is a sample that favors an R lean. Based on that, I observed that the notable margin in even this kind of sample is indicative of a potential larger swing against Rs caused by the indictments. I think this is the only poll that has come out that surveyed Virginians after Monday. Title: Re: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: Gass3268 on November 02, 2017, 11:24:12 AM Trump's approval is better than in other polls and Kaine/McAuliffe's are worse. Not bad for Northam to have a solid lead with that type of sample. Yep, it might be an indictments effect. I think you misread what I said. I understood that this is a sample that favors an R lean. Based on that, I observed that the notable margin in even this kind of sample is indicative of a potential larger swing against Rs caused by the indictments. I think this is the only poll that has come out that surveyed Virginians after Monday. Got it! Title: Re: VA-Gov Suffolk Northam +4 Post by: KingSweden on November 02, 2017, 02:20:57 PM Trendline is good, and I suspect this is the final margin, honestly
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